PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Verona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.4/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game90.8
ItalyLega ARound 16· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Varese v Verona
17 Jan 2027
VAR v VER
upcoming
26 Mar 2023
VAR98
VER94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Verona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 77
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 77
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 77
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 77
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 77
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
90avg 77
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
26-14
23-26
14-27
18-17
20-28
27-30
17-21
32-22
34-18
21-22
25-18
19-26
175.2Avg total
89.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.187.1176.2+2.062%
Season at home (4)86.290.2176.5-4.050%
Season away (4)92.084.0176.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)89.086.2175.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)94.083.6177.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.590.2173.7-6.636%
vs Similar (14)87.486.9174.2+0.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.679.4172.0+13.280%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 75
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 75
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 75
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 75
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
52avg 75
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
99-108
99
108
-9
88avg 75
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
86avg 75
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
27-23
26-28
24-28
22-29
23-25
21-25
27-23
17-26
22-21
14-21
27-26
18-27
29-31
23-19
21-19
16-19
174.4Avg total
86.1Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.590.8179.2-2.250%
Season at home (3)85.784.0169.7+1.767%
Season away (5)90.294.8185.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)86.188.3174.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)90.294.2184.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.893.5179.2-7.825%
vs Similar (17)80.474.4154.8+6.082%
vs Weaker (9)86.176.6162.7+9.678%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
VareseVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A14/11
Lega A
86.7Avg total
45.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.286.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.283.9-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.686.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.691.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.546.087.5-4.527%-
vs Similar (14)41.641.483.1+0.257%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A14/11
Lega A
93.4Avg total
47.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.3+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.137.582.6+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.883.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.346.193.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.896.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.245.289.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (17)41.538.880.2+2.765%-
vs Weaker (9)47.239.286.4+8.078%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.1
69.2%
74.6%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.6
56.8%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.716.4
69.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWWWLLWL
Verona
WLLLWWWLWL
#6
League position
#10
-1.2
Net rating
+2.5
91.5
Offensive rating
101.0
92.7
Defensive rating
98.6
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.3%
3-point %
32.1%
66.7%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 101.0Defence92.7 · 98.6Shooting52.4% · 53.0%3-point %36.3% · 32.1%Ball care18.5% · 12.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
0
Verona wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Verona v Varese88-99
26/03/23Varese v Verona98-94
27/11/22Verona v Varese91-98
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AReggiana99-84
11/11/26APeristeri96-101
08/11/26HUdine81-84
31/10/26AVerona99-88
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABC Roma89-88
09/11/26AVirtus Bologna81-95
31/10/26HVarese88-99
25/10/26ATrieste99-108
18/10/26HReggiana94-81
11/10/26AScafati89-82
05/10/26HOlimpia Milano75-72
27/09/26ATortona93-101
14/06/26ARimini83-75
12/06/26ARimini70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game89.186.292.0
Allowed / game87.190.284.0
Point differential+2.0-4.0+8.0
Avg total176.2176.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Verona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game88.585.790.2
Allowed / game90.884.094.8
Point differential-2.2+1.7-4.6
Avg total179.2169.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
4 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
5 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.