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Vasco vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-90
23-20 22-18 14-22 11-30
Position#20
Record4-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#10
Record14-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game78.4
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vasco v Bauru
16 Feb 2026
VASC70
BAUR90
23 Dec 2024
VASC81
BAUR63
14 May 2024
VASC73
BAUR76
12 May 2024
VASC95
BAUR87
04 May 2024
VASC84
BAUR78
02 Dec 2023
VASC67
BAUR58
09 Jan 2019
VASC82
BAUR88
10 Apr 2018
VASC103
BAUR104
02 Apr 2018
VASC84
BAUR93
17 Jan 2018
VASC86
BAUR87
21 Feb 2017
VASC64
BAUR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
54avg 67
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-102
80
102
-22
76avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 67
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
78-73
78
73
+5
65avg 67
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
60-67
60
67
-7
49avg 67
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
84-75
84
75
+9
76avg 67
A02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
48avg 67
A07/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
68avg 67
H11/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
11-25
19-19
14-8
17-21
23-15
10-23
25-20
19-22
19-29
19-27
23-24
14-21
21-24
14-16
26-17
10-20
25-18
14-24
29-11
12-21
24-18
12-17
19-19
7-25
16-16
18-11
19-15
19-24
13-21
23-20
29-10
12-25
20-16
16-20
13-23
18-21
15-20
17-17
22-16
148.9Avg total
71.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.279.0148.2-9.715%
Season at home (11)72.780.8153.5-8.19%
Season away (15)66.777.6144.3-10.920%
Last 10 (10)71.177.8148.9-6.720%
Last 5 (5)68.875.0143.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.380.4148.7-12.09%
vs Similar (8)76.278.4154.6-2.138%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
52avg 72
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
77avg 72
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 72
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
92avg 72
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 72
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
84avg 72
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 72
H06/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
104avg 72
H10/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
14-26
21-25
21-13
20-23
29-16
17-18
18-11
10-23
20-13
21-24
15-11
22-18
19-20
23-24
30-24
29-33
30-15
16-18
26-28
11-26
26-23
18-21
32-19
20-18
17-16
16-16
21-23
16-21
22-24
22-22
26-19
25-19
17-17
18-16
20-25
28-21
27-33
28-20
22-16
169.4Avg total
85.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.578.4156.8+0.154%
Season at home (15)81.976.7158.6+5.173%
Season away (11)73.880.6154.5-6.827%
Last 10 (10)85.883.6169.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)89.086.4175.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.783.6160.3-6.920%
vs Similar (10)76.076.6152.6-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.573.8153.3+5.780%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
VascoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/02
NBB
75.1Avg total
33.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.774.4-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.839.373.1-5.625%-
Last 30 away (18)35.240.075.2-4.828%-
Last 10 (10)33.042.175.1-9.110%-
Last 5 (5)31.241.472.6-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.440.073.4-6.523%-
vs Similar (8)38.039.177.1-1.138%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H10/02
NBB
84.0Avg total
41.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.079.0-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.442.182.5-1.841%-
Last 30 away (13)34.939.574.5-4.646%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.684.0-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.945.281.1-9.320%-
vs Similar (10)35.139.574.6-4.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.038.381.3+4.780%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.9
51.4%
52.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.5
27.6%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.713.7
66.2%
72.8%13.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.4
55.6%
52.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.3
29.0%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
72.8%14.7
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLWLLWLLLL
Bauru
WWLWLWWLWL
#20
League position
#10
-7.1
Net rating
+4.3
88.2
Offensive rating
100.2
95.3
Defensive rating
95.9
47.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.6%
3-point %
29.0%
68.9%
Assist %
64.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 100.2Defence95.3 · 95.9Shooting47.0% · 50.4%3-point %27.6% · 29.0%Ball care18.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds26.2% · 26.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Vasco   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vasco wins
5
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Bauru v Vasco77-54
17/04/25Bauru v Vasco75-69
23/12/24Vasco v Bauru81-63
14/05/24Vasco v Bauru73-76
12/05/24Vasco v Bauru95-87 OT
09/05/24Bauru v Vasco67-59
07/05/24Bauru v Vasco80-66
04/05/24Vasco v Bauru84-78 OT
17/02/24Bauru v Vasco76-81
02/12/23Vasco v Bauru67-58
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HSao Jose72-74
07/02/26ABrasilia61-84
02/02/26APato84-75
20/01/26HMogi60-67
17/01/26HCorinthians Paulista67-75
13/01/26ACearense78-73
10/01/26AUnifacisa75-78
27/12/25HFlamengo80-102
23/12/25ACruzeiro75-79
21/12/25AMinas59-71
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HMinas105-90
06/02/26HCruzeiro80-77
21/01/26AUniao Corinthians99-103 OT
19/01/26ACaxias do Sul74-73
15/01/26HPaulistano87-89
12/01/26HPinheiros101-94
10/01/26HOsasco94-86
29/12/25HBrasilia66-71
22/12/25HRio Claro84-68
20/12/25AFranca68-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL15%
HomeWLLLL9%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %15%9%20%
Points / game69.272.766.7
Allowed / game79.080.877.6
Point differential-9.7-8.1-10.9
Avg total148.2153.5144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)20% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %8%18%0%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %54%73%27%
Points / game78.581.973.8
Allowed / game78.476.780.6
Point differential+0.1+5.1-6.8
Avg total156.8158.6154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2621581%89.475.0+14.5
2 Pinheiros2621581%86.274.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2621581%87.176.7+10.4
4 Minas2519676%86.580.5+6.0
5 Brasilia2619773%81.571.4+10.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2618869%83.277.5+5.7
7 Sao Jose27171063%82.379.1+3.2
8 Paulistano26161062%80.776.6+4.1
9 Mogi25141156%76.169.4+6.7
10 Bauru26141254%78.578.4+0.1
11 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
12 Uniao Corinthians26131350%79.081.5-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul26111542%72.277.2-5.1
14 Rio Claro2581732%76.686.7-10.0
15 Cruzeiro2471729%78.685.8-7.2
16 Pato2671927%74.179.9-5.8
17 Botafogo2552020%72.082.8-10.8
18 Cearense2652119%77.587.9-10.4
19 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2642215%69.279.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco2322141170
Bauru2018223090
← all games of the day
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