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Varese vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 110-105 (OT)
21-18 27-31 19-15 20-23 23-18
Position#12
Record5-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game88.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record6-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game86.3
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Cremona
26 Apr 2026
VAR84
CRE75
06 Apr 2025
VAR85
CRE87
03 Dec 2023
VAR68
CRE75
06 Mar 2022
VAR90
CRE78
12 Sep 2021
VAR86
CRE78
07 Feb 2021
VAR110
CRE105
13 Apr 2020
VAR v CRE
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
VAR83
CRE64
06 May 2018
VAR89
CRE79
30 Apr 2017
VAR78
CRE75
23 Dec 2015
VAR87
CRE82
22 Mar 2015
VAR86
CRE82
27 Apr 2014
VAR78
CRE70
30 Dec 2012
VAR94
CRE84
29 Apr 2012
VAR78
CRE66
06 Mar 2011
VAR76
CRE71
08 May 2010
VAR98
CRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 70
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
96avg 70
H15/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 70
A22/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
52avg 70
H06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 70
H13/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 70
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 70
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
72avg 70
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 70
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 70
H04/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-18
18-27
21-24
20-17
28-16
23-28
27-27
14-21
20-15
25-21
18-17
18-20
14-35
18-22
20-19
12-14
23-19
8-24
33-32
23-27
25-19
14-18
15-22
29-16
16-14
8-28
26-22
20-28
27-26
17-17
19-37
24-27
18-21
24-23
16-26
24-24
11-19
24-20
17-11
167.3Avg total
79.6Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.088.0168.0-8.031%
Season at home (8)80.886.4167.1-5.638%
Season away (8)79.289.6168.9-10.425%
Last 10 (10)79.687.7167.3-8.130%
Last 5 (5)79.489.0168.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.691.6171.3-12.018%
vs Similar (11)80.988.5169.5-7.627%
vs Weaker (8)87.479.5166.9+7.975%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
101-67
101
67
+34
102avg 74
H09/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
90-101
90
101
-11
81avg 74
A16/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 74
A20/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
63avg 74
H23/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
96-94
96
94
+2
91avg 74
H27/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
76avg 74
A03/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
80-101
80
101
-21
72avg 74
H17/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
78avg 74
H19/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 74
A24/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
72avg 74
H30/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
24-22
21-18
29-13
21-22
19-30
26-27
24-22
16-22
17-17
23-22
15-24
16-23
25-18
12-29
22-25
21-29
24-16
30-29
21-20
21-33
23-21
18-17
27-14
25-24
26-23
12-29
17-25
18-24
17-20
22-18
24-21
18-16
26-20
23-26
17-26
23-25
12-17
16-19
24-27
172.9Avg total
84.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.086.3169.3-3.335%
Season at home (8)81.884.8166.5-3.038%
Season away (9)84.187.7171.8-3.633%
Last 10 (10)84.288.7172.9-4.530%
Last 5 (5)81.889.0170.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.384.7160.0-9.421%
vs Similar (13)85.189.1174.2-4.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.371.7161.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
VareseCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A22/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
40.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.986.0-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.243.784.9-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.946.187.1-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.281.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.287.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.551.191.5-10.618%-
vs Similar (11)39.941.881.7-1.927%-
vs Weaker (8)43.540.684.1+2.962%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H09/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A16/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A20/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H27/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A03/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H30/01
Lega A
85.5Avg total
41.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.383.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.984.0+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.541.682.1-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.685.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.686.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.539.879.3-0.343%-
vs Similar (13)42.543.786.2-1.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)48.337.786.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.5
50.0%
51.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.4
32.7%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
75.8%14.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.7
52.5%
51.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.3%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
75.8%15.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLLLLLWWL
Cremona
LLLLWWLLLW
#12
League position
#9
-11.0
Net rating
-5.5
106.9
Offensive rating
107.6
117.9
Defensive rating
113.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.7%
3-point %
34.3%
53.9%
Assist %
62.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 107.6Defence117.9 · 113.2Shooting49.5% · 52.1%3-point %32.7% · 34.3%Ball care15.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 22.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
17/10/20Cremona v Varese80-67
21/12/19Cremona v Varese93-72
17/03/19Varese v Cremona83-64
14/02/19Cremona v Varese82-73
18/11/18Cremona v Varese79-82
06/05/18Varese v Cremona89-79
07/01/18Cremona v Varese80-72
30/04/17Varese v Cremona78-75
02/01/17Cremona v Varese85-71
16/04/16Cremona v Varese70-79
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/21HBrindisi76-74
31/01/21ACantu82-97
27/01/21ATrieste83-108
27/12/20HTreviso79-80
20/12/20AVenezia77-86
13/12/20HReggiana76-89
06/12/20HOlimpia Milano70-96
22/11/20ATrento77-74
15/11/20HVirtus Roma98-88
08/11/20APesaro78-85
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21HVirtus Bologna75-88
24/01/21AVenezia84-88
19/01/21HOlimpia Milano81-83
17/01/21HTrieste80-101
03/01/21ABrescia89-85
27/12/20HBrindisi96-94
23/12/20HSassari75-95
20/12/20AFortitudo Bologna71-85
16/12/20ATreviso90-101
09/12/20HCantu101-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game80.080.879.2
Allowed / game88.086.489.6
Point differential-8.0-5.6-10.4
Avg total168.0167.1168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game83.081.884.1
Allowed / game86.384.887.7
Point differential-3.3-3.0-3.6
Avg total169.3166.5171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %12%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1816289%88.675.1+13.5
2 Sassari1813572%91.385.0+6.3
3 Brindisi1712571%84.879.2+5.6
4 Venezia1812667%80.676.6+4.0
5 Virtus Bologna1711665%85.478.1+7.4
6 Trieste189950%80.779.6+1.1
7 Pesaro189950%83.182.3+0.8
8 Treviso178947%84.488.8-4.5
9 Reggiana1771041%76.280.1-3.9
10 Brescia1871139%80.783.9-3.2
11 Trento1761135%77.479.9-2.6
12 Fortitudo Bologna1761135%78.881.9-3.1
13 Cremona1761135%83.086.3-3.3
14 Cantu1861233%79.484.4-5.0
15 Varese1651131%80.088.0-8.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Varese2127192023110
Cremona1831152318105
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