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Virtus Roma vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:15
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
Virtus Roma
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano
Italy
Position#2
Record16-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game75.1
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano
07 Feb 2021
VRO v MIL
upcoming
27 Oct 2019
VRO73
MIL79
21 Dec 2014
VRO68
MIL79
02 Dec 2013
VRO61
MIL55
17 Feb 2013
VRO66
MIL79
25 Apr 2012
VRO78
MIL91
06 Mar 2011
VRO80
MIL62
03 Jan 2010
VRO77
MIL69
26 Apr 2009
VRO83
MIL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H12/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A14/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#13
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A19/01
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H21/01
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A24/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H26/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
H31/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A05/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
33-16
22-24
19-20
13-18
29-16
22-22
20-14
31-18
31-18
20-22
20-15
24-18
20-17
18-22
21-24
20-10
22-10
21-15
12-16
23-22
22-20
20-23
17-12
24-19
20-15
21-28
25-17
16-24
19-20
21-15
26-17
22-21
20-26
20-25
19-28
23-20
17-17
16-15
13-26
160.8Avg total
84.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.675.1163.7+13.589%
Season at home (10)91.677.8169.4+13.880%
Season away (8)84.971.8156.6+13.1100%
Last 10 (10)84.376.5160.8+7.880%
Last 5 (5)80.882.0162.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (10)82.279.3161.5+2.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.677.7164.4+8.979%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
Virtus RomaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H12/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A14/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#13
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/01
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H21/01
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A24/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H28/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H31/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/02
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
45.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.537.582.0+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.037.481.4+6.665%-
Last 30 away (13)45.237.582.7+7.685%-
Last 10 (10)45.036.581.5+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.882.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (10)42.537.680.1+4.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.537.783.2+7.779%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.4
50.7%
51.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.110.3
44.6%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.816.0
85.1%
75.8%16.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWWWWWW
#16
League position
#2
-16.4
Net rating
+11.8
100.3
Offensive rating
117.5
116.7
Defensive rating
105.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
57.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.5%
3-point %
44.6%
56.9%
Assist %
62.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 117.5Defence116.7 · 105.7Shooting50.7% · 57.0%3-point %31.5% · 44.6%Ball care16.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds21.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Roma wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
18/10/20Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma93-71
27/10/19Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano73-79
12/04/15Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma77-56
21/12/14Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano68-79
16/03/14Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma85-61
02/12/13Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano61-55
17/02/13Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano66-79
22/10/12Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma87-82
25/04/12Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano78-91
03/01/12Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma83-75
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/21ALyon-Villeurbanne69-78
31/01/21HTrieste81-100
28/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-76
26/01/21HOlympiacos90-79
24/01/21ATreviso82-77
21/01/21HBayern75-51
19/01/21ACremona83-81
17/01/21HReggiana102-73
14/01/21AAlba Berlin84-70
12/01/21HValencia95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game88.691.684.9
Allowed / game75.177.871.8
Point differential+13.5+13.8+13.1
Avg total163.7169.4156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%60%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1816289%88.675.1+13.5
2 Sassari1813572%91.385.0+6.3
3 Brindisi1712571%84.879.2+5.6
4 Venezia1812667%80.676.6+4.0
5 Virtus Bologna1711665%85.478.1+7.4
6 Pesaro1910953%83.081.6+1.4
7 Trieste189950%80.779.6+1.1
8 Treviso178947%84.488.8-4.5
9 Reggiana1771041%76.280.1-3.9
10 Brescia1871139%80.783.9-3.2
11 Fortitudo Bologna1761135%78.881.9-3.1
12 Varese1761135%81.889.0-7.2
13 Trento1861233%76.980.0-3.1
14 Cremona1861233%84.287.6-3.4
15 Cantu1861233%79.484.4-5.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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