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Vitoria vs Esgueira Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game92.8
PortugalLPBRound 11· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vitoria v Esgueira
19 Dec 2026
VITO v ESGU
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
VITO93
ESGU87
02 Nov 2024
VITO79
ESGU82
10 Feb 2024
VITO60
ESGU78
06 May 2023
VITO101
ESGU99
08 Oct 2022
VITO96
ESGU95
11 Nov 2020
VITO99
ESGU71
04 Mar 2020
VITO89
ESGU81
11 Jan 2020
VITO85
ESGU72
26 Apr 2019
VITO73
ESGU81
12 Jan 2019
VITO99
ESGU88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-19
24-16
22-17
19-16
17-23
24-25
24-22
19-11
22-40
22-29
21-21
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
167.2Avg total
82.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)72.579.5152.0-7.050%
Season away (2)77.584.5162.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)82.584.7167.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)76.880.4157.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.990.9168.8-13.022%
vs Similar (7)88.985.3174.1+3.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.686.4172.0-0.840%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
97-83 OT
97
83
+14
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-107
65
107
-42
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
A24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-15
19-22
18-20
17-21
15-23
30-29
25-20
25-25
13-31
17-31
10-20
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
170.3Avg total
77.0Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.892.8166.5-19.00%
Season at home (2)77.589.5167.0-12.00%
Season away (2)70.096.0166.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.093.3170.3-16.320%
Last 5 (5)73.691.2164.8-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.390.0168.3-11.728%
vs Similar (8)85.991.0176.9-5.125%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -10.3-10.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
VitoriaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
78.1Avg total
38.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.684.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.380.9+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)40.547.888.3-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.878.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.274.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.244.583.7-5.328%-
vs Similar (7)44.442.787.1+1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.841.484.2+1.460%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
83.9Avg total
36.0Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.847.387.1-7.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.747.589.2-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.847.184.9-9.30%-
Last 10 (10)36.047.983.9-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.247.281.4-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.547.786.2-9.211%-
vs Similar (8)41.547.088.5-5.512%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.0
46.6%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
31.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.917.1
63.6%
70.6%17.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.5
47.7%
50.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.6
30.8%
31.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.1
67.8%
70.6%14.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
WLLWWLWLLW
Esgueira
LLLLLLWLLW
#8
League position
#12
-2.8
Net rating
-17.1
85.6
Offensive rating
82.5
88.5
Defensive rating
99.6
46.1%
Effective FG%
47.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.2%
3-point %
30.8%
53.4%
Assist %
57.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.6 · 82.5Defence88.5 · 99.6Shooting46.1% · 47.0%3-point %30.2% · 30.8%Ball care14.7% · 16.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Vitoria   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vitoria wins
5
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Vitoria v Esgueira93-87
28/12/25Esgueira v Vitoria91-103
15/02/25Esgueira v Vitoria73-86
02/11/24Vitoria v Esgueira79-82
10/02/24Vitoria v Esgueira60-78
09/12/23Esgueira v Vitoria78-66
21/10/23Esgueira v Vitoria66-96
06/05/23Vitoria v Esgueira101-99
25/03/23Esgueira v Vitoria98-88
28/12/22Esgueira v Vitoria88-77
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
04/04/26ABraga84-101
28/03/26HGalitos Barreiro84-86
21/03/26AOvarense91-75
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
18/04/26HBenfica65-107
11/04/26AVitoria87-93
04/04/26HImortal97-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.072.577.5
Allowed / game82.079.584.5
Point differential-7.0-7.0-7.0
Avg total157.0152.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.877.570.0
Allowed / game92.889.596.0
Point differential-19.0-12.0-26.0
Avg total166.5167.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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