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Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#104
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game60.8
vs
Position#266
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Western Michigan v Toledo
12 Dec 2026
WEST v TOLE
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
WEST79
TOLE90
04 Jan 2025
WEST70
TOLE76
22 Feb 2022
WEST50
TOLE92
02 Jan 2021
WEST59
TOLE70
22 Feb 2020
WEST59
TOLE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#56
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Kalamazoo
#478
W
99-52
99
52
+47
H06/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H08/11
NCAA
IPFW
#281
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-53
39-37
33-40
37-43
41-38
47-41
30-26
37-43
22-25
39-36
37-46
41-40
24-30
25-31
45-19
54-33
41-35
46-36
35-28
46-31
148.7Avg total
76.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.060.8139.8+18.275%
Season at home (2)93.061.5154.5+31.5100%
Season away (2)65.060.0125.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)76.372.4148.7+3.940%
Last 5 (5)78.865.8144.6+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.584.4155.9-12.912%
vs Similar (10)72.971.7144.6+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.362.3149.7+25.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algeciras
#14
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Moron
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Jaen Paraiso
#25
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Arkansas State
#229
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#26
L
61-91
61
91
-30
A06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#302
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A07/11
NCAA
Spanish Basketball Academy
#21
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A08/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#38
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H11/11
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H14/11
Segunda FEB
Detroit
#453
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A14/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
19-25
25-22
30-17
22-18
21-28
13-17
25-27
23-22
30-20
15-17
25-22
0-0
35-36
0-0
35-35
0-0
25-48
0-0
36-43
0-0
27-38
0-0
54-38
15-14
23-27
18-19
21-25
0-0
31-36
0-0
37-40
21-26
26-17
19-21
14-24
0-0
42-40
0-0
43-32
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.077.2150.2-4.240%
Season at home (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Season away (4)74.277.5151.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)78.279.4157.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.179.3151.4-7.220%
vs Similar (11)80.775.6156.4+5.164%
vs Weaker (9)80.172.4152.6+7.778%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +1.1+1.1
Western MichiganToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#56
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Kalamazoo
#478
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H06/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/11
NCAA
IPFW
#281
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.336.569.8-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.534.169.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)31.338.770.0-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.068.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.668.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.140.472.6-8.325%-
vs Similar (10)31.533.565.0-2.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.331.773.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algeciras
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Moron
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Jaen Paraiso
#25
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Arkansas State
#229
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#26
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#302
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Spanish Basketball Academy
#21
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#38
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H11/11
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Segunda FEB
Detroit
#453
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/11
NCAA
79.6Avg total
38.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.474.6+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.976.1+4.273%-
Last 30 away (15)36.136.973.1-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.838.072.8-3.220%-
vs Similar (11)38.836.275.0+2.673%-
vs Weaker (9)41.035.076.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Michigan wins
10
Toledo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AIPFW81-59
08/11/26HCampbell87-71
06/11/26HKalamazoo99-52
03/11/26AOld Dominion49-61
07/03/26AKent State78-86
04/03/26HBall State71-74 OT
27/02/26HMiami (Ohio)67-69
25/02/26ABowling Green88-79
21/02/26ACentral Michigan70-83
18/02/26HAkron73-90
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADetroit85-72
14/11/26HCBC Valladolid80-88
11/11/26HWright State68-76
08/11/26ASpanish Basketball Academy77-85
07/11/26AMarshall81-76
06/11/26AMichigan State61-91
03/11/26AArkansas State70-71
01/11/26HJaen Paraiso93-81
25/10/26AMoron81-90
18/10/26HAlgeciras100-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.093.065.0
Allowed / game60.861.560.0
Point differential+18.2+31.5+5.0
Avg total139.8154.5125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeL0%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game73.068.074.2
Allowed / game77.276.077.5
Point differential-4.2-8.0-3.2
Avg total150.2144.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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