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BC Wolves vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 100-82
20-20 23-18 32-14 25-30
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game84.0
BC Wolves 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Lithuania
Position#1
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game73.6
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas
19 Apr 2025
WOL69
ZAL81
27 Oct 2024
WOL100
ZAL82
05 May 2024
WOL97
ZAL93
30 Dec 2023
WOL76
ZAL95
12 Nov 2023
WOL75
ZAL64
06 Feb 2023
WOL80
ZAL75
02 Jan 2023
WOL79
ZAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
103-90
103
90
+13
107avg 78
H22/09
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
61avg 78
H25/09
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
80avg 78
A28/09
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
44avg 78
A01/10
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 78
A05/10
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
76-94
76
94
-18
73avg 78
H08/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
74-89
74
89
-15
69avg 78
A12/10
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
83avg 78
A16/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
67-72
67
72
-5
67avg 78
H19/10
LKL
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
96avg 78
A22/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
27-20
21-22
30-27
26-23
17-22
13-20
13-15
15-28
25-24
21-18
20-13
20-26
21-27
28-16
15-20
25-26
25-26
24-13
21-21
20-21
21-24
25-23
10-26
23-25
19-18
15-29
17-17
25-17
11-18
28-15
22-13
18-15
16-20
19-23
14-14
25-15
22-22
19-25
18-22
167.2Avg total
83.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.084.0168.0+0.040%
Season at home (2)85.081.0166.0+4.050%
Season away (3)83.386.0169.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)83.483.8167.2-0.440%
Last 5 (5)80.482.0162.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.091.4176.4-6.433%
vs Similar (5)85.485.4170.8+0.040%
vs Weaker (16)90.182.9173.1+7.269%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
91-63
91
63
+28
92avg 80
A22/09
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
88avg 80
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 80
A29/09
LKL
Barcelona
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
63avg 80
H03/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
72avg 80
A06/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
49avg 80
A11/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
71-68
71
68
+3
63avg 80
A15/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 80
A17/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
73-66
73
66
+7
69avg 80
H20/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
78avg 80
H24/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
23-15
28-16
23-13
22-20
24-16
26-19
21-17
27-19
24-19
20-23
18-15
21-14
22-17
7-17
24-19
18-22
17-28
25-23
28-18
6-21
18-14
19-17
25-22
16-15
28-15
16-22
11-16
17-24
14-25
17-17
37-16
13-24
17-15
23-14
20-13
26-7
18-17
15-22
19-17
153.2Avg total
81.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.873.6160.4+13.280%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (4)90.275.5165.8+14.875%
Last 10 (10)81.072.2153.2+8.880%
Last 5 (5)75.070.6145.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.068.3136.3-0.333%
vs Similar (10)83.979.5163.4+4.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.575.3166.8+16.282%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +6.0+6.0
BC WolvesZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H22/09
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H25/09
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A28/09
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A01/10
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A05/10
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H08/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H19/10
LKL
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/10
Eurocup
86.4Avg total
42.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.643.889.4+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.543.290.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)43.644.588.1-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.886.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)45.646.091.6-0.444%-
vs Similar (5)42.844.487.2-1.620%-
vs Weaker (16)46.442.488.9+4.075%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A22/09
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A29/09
LKL
Barcelona
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H03/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A11/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A17/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H20/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H24/10
Euroleague
75.4Avg total
38.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.735.379.0+8.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.781.1-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.675.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.470.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.732.363.0-1.733%-
vs Similar (10)41.339.480.7+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.438.282.6+6.271%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.5
55.1%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.819.8
79.8%
75.0%19.8
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.4
54.6%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
75.0%15.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WLWLLWLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLLWWWW
#4
League position
#1
-0.8
Net rating
+11.9
110.0
Offensive rating
114.4
110.8
Defensive rating
102.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.0%
3-point %
33.5%
76.4%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 114.4Defence110.8 · 102.5Shooting53.3% · 52.8%3-point %34.0% · 33.5%Ball care17.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 34.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BC Wolves wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
05/05/24BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas97-93
21/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves82-82
30/12/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas76-95
17/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves79-55
12/11/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas75-64
22/04/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves71-65
06/02/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas80-75
22/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves91-72
02/01/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas79-95
28/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves90-85
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24ATrefl Sopot99-92 OT
19/10/24HJuventus67-72
16/10/24AJoventut Badalona86-63
12/10/24ANeptunas74-89
08/10/24HUlm76-94
05/10/24AMazeikiai95-86
01/10/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv84-89
28/09/24ALietkabelis81-83
25/09/24HBahcesehir Kol.69-80
22/09/24HJonava103-90
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-63
20/10/24HLietkabelis73-66
17/10/24AOlimpia Milano85-82
15/10/24AVirtus Bologna71-68
11/10/24AOlympiacos68-74
06/10/24ARytas88-91
03/10/24HBarcelona74-67
29/09/24ANevezis89-76
25/09/24AJonava93-72
22/09/24ASiauliai91-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game84.085.083.3
Allowed / game84.081.086.0
Point differential+0.0+4.0-2.7
Avg total168.0166.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %80%100%75%
Points / game86.873.090.2
Allowed / game73.666.075.5
Point differential+13.2+7.0+14.8
Avg total160.4139.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas65183%92.785.8+6.8
2 Zalgiris Kaunas54180%86.873.6+13.2
3 Neptunas54180%94.289.0+5.2
4 Lietkabelis64267%77.077.3-0.3
5 Juventus63350%80.275.2+5.0
6 Siauliai63350%93.8100.0-6.2
7 BC Wolves52340%84.084.0+0.0
8 Jonava52340%91.292.4-1.2
9 Nevezis5050%80.488.0-7.6
10 Mazeikiai5050%77.293.2-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves20233225100
Zalgiris Kaunas2018143082
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