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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-74
17-15 17-25 15-21 23-13
Position#9
Record15-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game77.6
Zalgiris Kaunas
vs
Olympiacos 🏆
Position#1
Record20-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2022
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Olympiacos
29 Sep 2026
ZAL91
OLY93
25 Feb 2026
ZAL99
OLY94
02 Jan 2025
ZAL85
OLY92
01 Mar 2024
ZAL76
OLY95
16 Mar 2023
ZAL72
OLY74
15 Mar 2022
ZAL73
OLY84
22 Jan 2021
ZAL81
OLY79
06 Dec 2018
ZAL83
OLY75
26 Apr 2018
ZAL101
OLY91
24 Apr 2018
ZAL80
OLY60
28 Dec 2017
ZAL74
OLY68
15 Dec 2016
ZAL75
OLY88
22 Jan 2016
ZAL75
OLY55
30 Nov 2012
ZAL63
OLY77
26 Jan 2011
ZAL64
OLY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 75
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
70avg 75
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 75
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
70avg 75
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 75
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
66-63
66
63
+3
57avg 75
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
85-67
85
67
+18
75avg 75
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 75
H12/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
15-17
19-21
29-23
14-14
19-22
22-11
23-20
17-17
21-12
17-16
22-22
26-17
14-16
15-23
26-21
24-22
14-31
14-23
17-20
17-19
19-27
18-31
20-16
26-15
21-23
29-11
21-20
15-14
18-13
11-18
22-18
16-22
31-15
18-13
20-17
21-24
21-21
25-23
27-32
158.6Avg total
80.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.577.6153.2-2.154%
Season at home (13)75.272.9148.2+2.377%
Season away (15)75.881.7157.5-5.933%
Last 10 (10)80.777.9158.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)83.278.4161.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.484.8160.2-9.440%
vs Similar (11)74.472.5146.8+1.964%
vs Weaker (14)85.974.3160.1+11.679%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#12
W
100-68
100
68
+32
109avg 87
H12/02
Basket League
Aris
#37
W
82-51
82
51
+31
no box
H17/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#17
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
W
85-57
85
57
+28
no box
A19/02
Greek Cup
Valencia
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
98avg 87
A24/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
62-83
62
83
-21
61avg 87
A03/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
81avg 87
A05/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 87
H07/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
102-74
102
74
+28
109avg 87
H09/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
85avg 87
H12/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-9
21-11
20-18
32-30
22-4
17-20
21-13
22-14
22-19
13-21
29-10
17-15
26-10
19-11
23-13
17-23
15-25
20-20
30-13
27-27
17-20
15-15
14-26
16-22
23-22
11-16
26-25
20-16
11-20
18-7
21-18
27-25
26-12
29-23
26-30
21-9
26-17
16-13
17-24
30-23
155.9Avg total
85.0Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.075.8160.9+9.271%
Season at home (14)87.473.9161.3+13.479%
Season away (14)82.777.7160.4+5.064%
Last 10 (10)85.070.9155.9+14.190%
Last 5 (5)82.076.6158.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.873.0160.8+14.985%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
Zalgiris KaunasOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/03
LKL
77.2Avg total
39.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.174.7+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.436.274.6+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)38.836.174.8+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.679.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.844.680.4-8.820%-
vs Similar (11)38.832.571.3+6.491%-
vs Weaker (14)39.436.075.4+3.464%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#12
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H12/02
Basket League
Aris
#37
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H17/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A19/02
Greek Cup
Valencia
#13
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A24/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A05/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H09/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H12/03
Basket League
70.9Avg total
39.4Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.933.277.1+10.680%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.132.577.6+12.688%-
Last 30 away (13)42.234.276.4+8.169%-
Last 10 (10)39.431.570.9+7.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.071.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.527.560.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.934.078.9+10.978%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.3
55.2%
53.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.7
34.8%
36.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
78.5%15.4
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.818.7
62.8%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.8
41.5%
36.2%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
78.5%12.7
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWLLWWWW
Olympiacos
WWWWLWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+1.0
Net rating
+16.8
113.0
Offensive rating
120.9
112.0
Defensive rating
104.1
54.1%
Effective FG%
62.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.8%
3-point %
41.5%
55.7%
Assist %
75.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 120.9Defence112.0 · 104.1Shooting54.1% · 62.5%3-point %34.8% · 41.5%Ball care18.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds33.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
4
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
14/10/22Olympiacos v Zalgiris Kaunas90-80
15/03/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olympiacos73-84
15/10/21Olympiacos v Zalgiris Kaunas83-68
22/01/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Olympiacos81-79
01/10/20Olympiacos v Zalgiris Kaunas67-68
29/03/19Olympiacos v Zalgiris Kaunas68-72
06/12/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olympiacos83-75
26/04/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olympiacos101-91
24/04/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olympiacos80-60
20/04/18Olympiacos v Zalgiris Kaunas79-68
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HRytas94-100
09/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
07/03/23AAlba Berlin66-63
04/03/23ANevezis97-69
02/03/23ABarcelona74-93
23/02/23AReal Madrid69-96
19/02/23AJonava81-77
18/02/23ALietkabelis77-67
15/02/23AJuventus78-67
12/02/23HPrienai86-80
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HPromitheas89-77
09/03/23HBayern102-74
07/03/23HBarcelona77-70
05/03/23AKolossos Rhodes80-79
03/03/23AOlimpia Milano62-83
24/02/23AValencia92-85
19/02/23APeristeri85-57
18/02/23HPanathinaikos81-65
17/02/23HAris82-51
12/02/23HIonikos100-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %54%77%33%
Points / game75.575.275.8
Allowed / game77.672.981.7
Point differential-2.1+2.3-5.9
Avg total153.2148.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%15%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%79%64%
Points / game85.087.482.7
Allowed / game75.873.977.7
Point differential+9.2+13.4+5.0
Avg total160.9161.3160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2820871%85.075.8+9.2
2 Real Madrid2819968%84.678.1+6.5
3 Barcelona28181064%80.677.3+3.3
4 Monaco28181064%84.082.0+1.9
5 Fenerbahce27171063%84.680.6+4.1
6 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
7 Baskonia28151354%86.683.8+2.8
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv28151354%82.182.0+0.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas28151354%75.577.6-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes29141548%82.181.3+0.8
11 Virtus Bologna28131546%78.681.3-2.6
12 Valencia28131546%83.085.7-2.7
13 Olimpia Milano27121544%73.076.3-3.3
14 Crvena zvezda28121643%76.078.5-2.5
15 Bayern28111739%76.979.7-2.9
16 Panathinaikos2891932%79.082.7-3.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2882029%74.780.4-5.7
18 Alba Berlin2872125%79.885.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1717152372
Olympiacos1525211374
← all games of the day
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