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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 96-69
22-24 31-14 23-14 20-17
Position#2
Record16-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#9
Record13-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
53avg 79
A20/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
87avg 79
H22/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
96avg 79
A29/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
83-68
83
68
+15
78avg 79
H01/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
95-91
95
91
+4
95avg 79
A03/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 79
H05/02
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 79
A12/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
13-17
16-18
16-19
24-11
22-26
28-9
17-27
16-20
16-19
18-20
23-14
32-22
25-14
19-13
18-20
26-14
22-16
20-27
15-11
24-20
26-26
20-25
25-20
28-20
22-16
20-23
18-18
20-20
20-12
31-23
17-25
21-13
20-21
22-24
23-27
19-17
20-22
20-27
23-27
165.3Avg total
85.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.077.5161.5+6.670%
Season at home (11)90.680.1170.7+10.573%
Season away (12)78.075.1153.1+2.967%
Last 10 (10)85.879.5165.3+6.380%
Last 5 (5)87.885.2173.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)85.779.4165.1+6.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.373.3159.6+13.089%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
L
65-89
65
89
-24
57avg 76
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 76
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 76
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 76
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
73avg 76
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 76
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
70avg 76
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-8
16-37
7-25
12-22
26-21
24-13
14-24
16-16
12-22
21-17
21-25
15-26
15-21
24-14
20-27
17-23
16-16
19-19
23-22
20-18
18-24
23-18
18-15
23-19
15-17
19-21
29-23
14-14
19-22
22-11
23-20
17-17
21-12
17-16
22-22
26-17
14-16
15-23
26-21
154.4Avg total
76.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.977.3153.2-1.454%
Season at home (12)74.473.4147.8+1.075%
Season away (12)77.381.2158.5-3.833%
Last 10 (10)76.178.3154.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)80.273.2153.4+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.078.3156.3-0.367%
vs Similar (13)73.875.2148.9-1.454%
vs Weaker (14)84.373.2157.5+11.186%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H26/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A29/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A03/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H05/02
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/02
Spanish Cup
79.6Avg total
43.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.179.3+7.180%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.236.181.3+9.187%-
Last 30 away (15)41.136.177.3+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.579.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.481.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)42.940.283.1+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.634.177.7+9.589%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
72.8Avg total
35.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.573.5+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.035.872.8+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.035.374.3+3.773%-
Last 10 (10)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.272.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.041.376.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (13)37.834.772.5+3.269%-
vs Weaker (14)38.835.173.9+3.771%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.7
56.2%
53.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
36.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
78.5%15.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
53.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.713.2
84.1%
78.5%13.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
+14.4
Net rating
-1.9
111.9
Offensive rating
112.3
97.5
Defensive rating
114.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.0%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.4%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.6%
3-point %
35.5%
56.8%
Assist %
57.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 112.3Defence97.5 · 114.2Shooting52.8% · 54.0%3-point %31.6% · 35.5%Ball care18.4% · 20.4%Off. rebounds35.3% · 36.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HUnicaja82-93
16/02/23HValencia86-85
12/02/23AMurcia88-80
05/02/23HTenerife88-77
03/02/23AMonaco95-91
01/02/23HPanathinaikos83-68
29/01/23AManresa94-69
26/01/23HBarcelona91-86 OT
22/01/23HBreogan91-73
20/01/23AOlympiacos60-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23AJonava81-77
18/02/23ALietkabelis77-67
15/02/23AJuventus78-67
12/02/23HPrienai86-80
10/02/23HBaskonia79-75
06/02/23ABC Wolves75-80
03/02/23HPartizan74-88
01/02/23AAnadolu Efes70-80
29/01/23HJonava76-80
26/01/23APanathinaikos65-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game84.090.678.0
Allowed / game77.580.175.1
Point differential+6.6+10.5+2.9
Avg total161.5170.7153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%75%33%
Points / game75.974.477.3
Allowed / game77.373.481.2
Point differential-1.4+1.0-3.8
Avg total153.2147.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2417771%85.375.5+9.9
2 Real Madrid2316770%84.077.5+6.6
3 Barcelona2416867%80.877.6+3.2
4 Monaco2415962%83.782.8+0.9
5 Fenerbahce2314961%83.980.8+3.1
6 Baskonia24131154%85.483.4+2.0
7 Partizan24131154%84.282.6+1.7
8 Valencia24131154%82.983.8-0.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas24131154%75.977.3-1.4
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv25131252%82.882.9-0.2
11 Anadolu Efes23111248%82.379.2+3.0
12 Crvena zvezda24111346%75.678.1-2.5
13 Virtus Bologna24111346%77.880.3-2.5
14 Olimpia Milano2491538%71.977.2-5.3
15 Bayern2591636%76.679.1-2.5
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2481633%74.780.2-5.5
17 Panathinaikos2581732%79.483.1-3.7
18 Alba Berlin2461825%80.685.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2231232096
Zalgiris Kaunas2414141769
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