Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 83-90

13-17 36-18 17-26 17-29

Position#3

Record3-6

FormWLLLL

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game93.7

Adelaide

Sydney 🏆

Position#7

Record4-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game83.1

NBLRound 8

Other2014-15

Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

59-93

-34

A13/04

NBL

Cairns

87-97

-10

H10/10

NBL

Townsville

97-83

+14

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

80-101

101

-21

A17/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

94-73

+21

H23/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

93-86

H02/11

NBL

Sydney

100-107

100

107

-7

A09/11

NBL

Melbourne United

79-118

118

-39

H15/11

NBL

Perth

74-84

-10

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

91-94

-3

A27/11

NBL

15-18

14-29

17-23

13-23

25-23

16-25

25-23

21-26

24-18

18-25

25-15

30-25

19-28

20-22

16-31

25-20

29-31

18-13

30-12

17-17

26-17

20-22

23-21

24-26

28-27

26-27

16-27

30-26

13-31

27-27

13-33

26-27

15-25

13-11

25-25

21-23

31-34

21-20

15-24

24-16

179.0Avg total

85.4Scored

93.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	88.3	93.7	182.0	-5.3	33%
Season at home (5)	85.4	91.6	177.0	-6.2	40%
Season away (4)	92.0	96.2	188.2	-4.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	93.6	179.0	-8.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	97.8	185.2	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	82.0	89.6	171.6	-7.6	38%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	93.3	89.2	182.5	+4.1	62%
vs Weaker (9)	91.0	90.1	181.1	+0.9	44%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

79-88

-9

H22/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-83

H11/10

NBL

Townsville

81-86

-5

H17/10

NBL

Perth

63-84

-21

A24/10

NBL

Cairns

62-74

-12

A01/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-53

+29

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

107-100

107

100

H09/11

NBL

Perth

66-85

-19

H16/11

NBL

Cairns

93-76

+17

H20/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-107

107

-11

A28/11

NBL

26-20

16-11

18-28

19-29

17-21

22-21

24-20

23-21

27-22

27-23

13-22

14-19

17-26

15-24

15-18

16-16

17-16

24-11

13-16

8-31

17-12

21-11

22-16

22-14

27-28

27-26

27-16

26-30

21-27

23-24

10-18

12-16

21-20

20-27

26-14

26-15

29-25

26-28

15-26

26-28

165.1Avg total

81.5Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	81.8	83.1	164.9	-1.3	44%
Season at home (5)	86.6	86.0	172.6	+0.6	60%
Season away (4)	75.8	79.5	155.2	-3.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	83.6	165.1	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	84.2	173.0	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	82.3	88.1	170.4	-5.8	40%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	82.4	87.6	170.1	-5.2	33%
vs Weaker (2)	84.0	68.0	152.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	23.4	47.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.9	22.7	47.6	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	24.2	47.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	25.2	47.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	26.8	49.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.2	23.5	45.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	25.2	23.2	48.3	+2.0	69%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	23.7	47.6	+0.2	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.3	42.6	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.3	43.1	+0.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.1	23.6	43.7	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	16.5	33.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	20.2	43.9	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	24.9	44.2	-5.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.6	23.9	47.4	-0.3	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	22.4	45.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.2	46.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	28%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	16.0	37.5	+5.5	100%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

29-47

-18

A13/04

NBL

Cairns

41-48

-7

H10/10

NBL

Townsville

42-43

-1

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-50

-11

A17/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-44

H23/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-39

H02/11

NBL

Sydney

54-54

A09/11

NBL

Melbourne United

40-58

-18

H15/11

NBL

Perth

28-36

-8

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

52-54

-2

A27/11

NBL

89.1Avg total

41.8Scored

47.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	45.8	91.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.5	42.9	91.4	+5.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	49.1	91.4	-6.9	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	47.3	89.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	48.2	92.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.2	45.1	85.4	-4.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	47.6	45.1	92.7	+2.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	47.4	47.6	95.0	-0.1	33%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

42-31

+11

H22/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-42

-3

H11/10

NBL

Townsville

54-45

H17/10

NBL

Perth

32-50

-18

A24/10

NBL

Cairns

41-27

+14

A01/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

38-23

+15

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

54-54

H09/11

NBL

Perth

44-51

-7

H16/11

NBL

Cairns

41-47

-6

H20/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

55-53

A28/11

NBL

86.3Avg total

44.0Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	42.8	85.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	43.7	88.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	42.0	82.6	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	42.3	86.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	45.6	92.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	43.7	46.0	89.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	42.7	42.2	84.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	32.5	71.0	+6.0	50%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.4	43.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	26.0	44.4	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	22.2	42.4	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.5	21.5	43.0	-0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.7	21.2	43.9	+1.4	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.1	44.7	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.2	22.3	46.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.9	46.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	23.6	48.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.6	22.2	43.9	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.2	22.6	46.8	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.5	43.5	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.9	24.1	45.0	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	43.8	87.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	42.4	86.9	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.5	45.3	88.8	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	46.3	89.9	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	49.6	93.0	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.8	44.5	86.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	45.7	44.2	89.8	+1.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.6	42.6	86.1	+1.0	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	43.6	83.4	-3.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	43.6	84.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	43.7	82.4	-4.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	41.3	78.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	38.6	81.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.6	42.1	80.7	-3.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.7	45.4	85.1	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.5	35.5	81.0	+10.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
09/11/14	Sydney v Adelaide	107-100
16/03/14	Sydney v Adelaide	100-90
26/01/14	Sydney v Adelaide	105-93
12/01/14	Adelaide v Sydney	89-102
03/11/13	Adelaide v Sydney	97-84
13/01/13	Adelaide v Sydney	82-64
05/01/13	Sydney v Adelaide	86-82
02/12/12	Adelaide v Sydney	85-88
04/11/12	Sydney v Adelaide	81-88
30/12/11	Sydney v Adelaide	77-96

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/14	A	Melbourne United	91-94
21/11/14	H	Perth	74-84
15/11/14	H	Melbourne United	79-118
09/11/14	A	Sydney	100-107
02/11/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	93-86
23/10/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	94-73
17/10/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	80-101
12/10/14	A	Townsville	97-83
10/10/14	H	Cairns	87-97
13/04/14	A	Perth	59-93

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/11/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	96-107
20/11/14	H	Cairns	93-76
16/11/14	H	Perth	66-85
09/11/14	H	Adelaide	107-100
07/11/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	82-53
01/11/14	A	Cairns	62-74
24/10/14	A	Perth	63-84
17/10/14	H	Townsville	81-86
11/10/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	86-83
22/03/14	H	Townsville	79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	33%
Home	LWWLL	40%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	33%	40%	25%
Points / game	88.3	85.4	92.0
Allowed / game	93.7	91.6	96.2
Point differential	-5.3	-6.2	-4.2
Avg total	182.0	177.0	188.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	20%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	44%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	60%	25%
Points / game	81.8	86.6	75.8
Allowed / game	83.1	86.0	79.5
Point differential	-1.3	+0.6	-3.8
Avg total	164.9	172.6	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	20%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	12	9	3	75%	83.7	78.7	+5.0
2	Perth	11	8	3	73%	79.6	72.9	+6.7
3	Cairns	11	7	4	64%	80.2	78.2	+2.0
4	Melbourne United	11	6	5	55%	83.9	80.7	+3.2
5	Sydney	9	4	5	44%	81.8	83.1	-1.3
6	Townsville	10	4	6	40%	85.7	86.0	-0.3
7	Adelaide	9	3	6	33%	88.3	93.7	-5.3
8	Illawarra Hawks	13	2	11	15%	73.1	82.9	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	13	36	17	17	83
Sydney	17	18	26	29	90

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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