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Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 89-79
26-22 23-15 19-25 21-17
Position#6
Record2-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game96.5
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game89.8
AustraliaNBLRound 4· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney
30 Jan 2027
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
ADEL92
SYDN91
27 Mar 2026
ADEL91
SYDN89
02 Jan 2026
ADEL85
SYDN79
11 Oct 2025
ADEL79
SYDN103
11 Oct 2024
ADEL89
SYDN79
22 Sep 2024
ADEL94
SYDN102
02 Feb 2024
ADEL85
SYDN78
11 Jan 2024
ADEL95
SYDN82
03 Feb 2023
ADEL115
SYDN108
09 Apr 2022
ADEL77
SYDN84
27 Feb 2022
ADEL90
SYDN93
06 Feb 2021
ADEL75
SYDN94
30 Jan 2021
ADEL85
SYDN80
02 Nov 2019
ADEL96
SYDN98
10 Nov 2018
ADEL81
SYDN93
19 Oct 2018
ADEL106
SYDN101
18 Nov 2017
ADEL108
SYDN93
21 Oct 2017
ADEL114
SYDN84
21 Jan 2017
ADEL87
SYDN73
16 Dec 2016
ADEL82
SYDN80
20 Jan 2016
ADEL96
SYDN89
07 Nov 2015
ADEL99
SYDN98
06 Feb 2015
ADEL97
SYDN78
30 Nov 2014
ADEL83
SYDN90
12 Jan 2014
ADEL89
SYDN102
03 Nov 2013
ADEL97
SYDN84
13 Jan 2013
ADEL82
SYDN64
02 Dec 2012
ADEL85
SYDN88
12 Nov 2011
ADEL104
SYDN113
21 Oct 2011
ADEL71
SYDN94
17 Dec 2010
ADEL81
SYDN77
06 Nov 2010
ADEL87
SYDN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 82
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
77avg 82
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 82
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
70avg 82
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
76avg 82
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 82
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
93avg 82
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
97-101
97
101
-4
86avg 82
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
93-83
93
83
+10
92avg 82
H03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
94avg 82
A05/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
21-24
26-23
28-27
28-25
25-13
22-15
13-18
17-18
20-23
17-18
31-19
21-31
24-26
24-26
17-26
20-22
24-30
23-24
17-26
17-14
20-21
21-12
18-23
28-27
20-24
27-19
19-32
32-28
22-30
23-19
20-24
25-16
27-19
19-23
22-25
27-32
25-22
29-27
21-19
180.6Avg total
90.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)96.596.5193.0+0.050%
Season at home (2)93.592.5186.0+1.050%
Season away (2)99.5100.5200.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)90.190.5180.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)92.491.2183.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)87.391.8179.1-4.444%
vs Similar (8)92.293.5185.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (4)97.095.2192.2+1.850%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
89avg 88
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 88
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 88
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
86avg 88
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
122-67
122
67
+55
126avg 88
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 88
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
102-94
102
94
+8
91avg 88
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
73avg 88
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 88
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 88
A05/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-36
27-25
14-21
30-22
22-26
36-17
14-22
26-21
18-17
23-20
18-17
19-31
17-31
29-28
19-20
30-27
34-14
29-25
29-17
30-11
22-15
25-23
13-22
16-23
27-28
24-20
19-27
32-19
27-11
16-29
24-18
21-29
15-27
32-21
20-27
22-21
22-17
25-10
28-28
16-27
182.7Avg total
93.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.589.8182.2+2.875%
Season at home (1)89.096.0185.0-7.00%
Season away (3)93.787.7181.3+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.789.0182.7+4.750%
Last 5 (5)89.288.4177.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.096.0185.0-7.00%
vs Similar (16)94.294.1188.4+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)95.790.8186.5+4.854%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
AdelaideSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A05/10
NBL
92.4Avg total
46.4Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.446.691.0-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.943.587.3+0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)45.049.794.7-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)46.446.092.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)48.646.695.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.745.987.6-4.322%-
vs Similar (8)48.045.693.6+2.462%-
vs Weaker (4)49.851.2101.0-1.525%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A05/10
NBL
93.7Avg total
49.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.045.194.1+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.547.597.1+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)48.442.791.1+5.773%-
Last 10 (10)49.744.093.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.287.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.048.095.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (16)50.444.795.1+5.775%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.445.492.8+2.054%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.323.1
48.8%
52.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.117.4
75.3%
74.7%17.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.5
56.2%
52.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.9
32.3%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.815.2
76.8%
74.7%15.2
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWLLWLLWWW
Sydney
WLWWLWLLWL
#6
League position
#4
-0.7
Net rating
+5.5
109.9
Offensive rating
113.9
110.6
Defensive rating
108.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.7%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.6%
3-point %
32.3%
53.5%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 113.9Defence110.6 · 108.3Shooting50.9% · 52.7%3-point %36.6% · 32.3%Ball care16.5% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.7% · 33.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Adelaide   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide wins
5
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
22/09/24Adelaide v Sydney94-102
02/02/24Adelaide v Sydney85-78
11/01/24Adelaide v Sydney95-82
08/10/23Sydney v Adelaide109-100
03/02/23Adelaide v Sydney115-108
04/12/22Sydney v Adelaide97-78
21/10/22Sydney v Adelaide88-92
17/04/22Sydney v Adelaide82-90
09/04/22Adelaide v Sydney77-84
27/02/22Adelaide v Sydney90-93
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AIllawarra Hawks102-100
03/10/24HSouth East Melbourne93-83
28/09/24ACairns Taipans97-101
22/09/24HSydney94-102
18/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-70
09/02/24ABrisbane Bullets84-102
04/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-109
02/02/24HSydney85-78
27/01/24HCairns Taipans88-71
20/01/24AIllawarra Hawks96-89
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ABrisbane Bullets91-82
29/09/24HIllawarra Hawks89-96
27/09/24APerth88-87
22/09/24AAdelaide102-94
28/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-83
17/02/24ASouth East Melbourne122-67
11/02/24HIllawarra Hawks95-106
02/02/24AAdelaide78-85
28/01/24HMelbourne United98-86
25/01/24ASouth East Melbourne98-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game96.593.599.5
Allowed / game96.592.5100.5
Point differential+0.0+1.0-1.0
Avg total193.0186.0200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%0%100%
Points / game92.589.093.7
Allowed / game89.896.087.7
Point differential+2.8-7.0+6.0
Avg total182.2185.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand Breakers220100%86.083.0+3.0
2 Illawarra Hawks43175%102.891.8+11.0
3 Sydney43175%92.589.8+2.8
4 Melbourne United53260%88.282.6+5.6
5 Cairns Taipans53260%90.891.0-0.2
6 Adelaide42250%96.596.5+0.0
7 Tasmania JackJumpers42250%80.582.2-1.8
8 Perth52340%86.090.8-4.8
9 South East Melbourne4040%86.094.0-8.0
10 Brisbane Bullets3030%90.098.3-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2623192189
Sydney2215251779
← all games of the day
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