Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2019

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 96-98 (OT)

24-12 19-33 17-24 26-17 10-12

Position#7

Record3-2

FormLWWWL

Points / game94.8

Allowed / game98.0

Adelaide

Sydney 🏆

Position#1

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game77.4

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

91-114

114

-23

H28/01

NBL

Cairns

100-91

100

A02/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

114-107

114

107

A07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

87-89

-2

H10/02

NBL

Perth

85-93

-8

A15/02

NBL

Sydney

80-102

102

-22

A12/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

104-98

104

H19/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

98-92

A21/10

NBL

Cairns

101-97

101

H25/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

91-101

101

-10

A27/10

NBL

20-31

28-17

27-34

16-32

31-19

17-27

31-21

21-24

30-24

32-26

26-25

26-32

26-23

26-25

18-16

17-25

25-17

24-23

20-25

16-28

14-30

28-29

21-25

17-18

26-28

30-18

23-26

25-26

31-26

25-23

23-25

19-18

22-30

33-19

29-20

17-28

26-23

24-24

15-23

26-31

193.5Avg total

95.1Scored

98.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	94.8	98.0	192.8	-3.2	60%
Season at home (2)	102.5	97.5	200.0	+5.0	100%
Season away (3)	89.7	98.3	188.0	-8.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	95.1	98.4	193.5	-3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	98.0	192.8	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	91.3	95.7	187.0	-4.3	50%
vs Similar (15)	95.7	99.3	195.0	-3.5	33%
vs Weaker (9)	98.4	91.7	190.1	+6.8	78%

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

97-85

+12

H08/02

NBL

Perth

86-95 OT

-9

A10/02

NBL

Cairns

89-84

H16/02

NBL

Melbourne United

73-95

-22

A28/02

NBL

Melbourne United

76-90

-14

H03/03

NBL

Cairns

79-71

A04/10

NBL

Adelaide

102-80

102

+22

H12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-91

H18/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-66

+10

A20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

94-79

+15

H26/10

NBL

21-21

25-18

27-22

24-24

26-12

12-16

17-23

22-26

29-22

18-21

19-22

23-19

24-24

11-28

18-19

20-24

24-22

16-20

18-25

18-23

13-20

24-21

20-22

22-8

30-14

29-28

25-21

18-17

27-28

21-19

24-20

24-24

25-21

15-24

17-13

19-8

25-19

27-13

19-20

23-27

170.4Avg total

86.8Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	89.4	77.4	166.8	+12.0	100%
Season at home (3)	97.3	83.3	180.7	+14.0	100%
Season away (2)	77.5	68.5	146.0	+9.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	83.6	170.4	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	77.4	166.8	+12.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	82.2	88.0	170.2	-5.8	50%
vs Similar (19)	86.3	83.9	170.3	+2.4	68%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	85.1	79.7	164.9	+5.4	71%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.3	25.0	50.3	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	26.4	49.9	-2.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.8	23.9	50.6	+2.9	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	25.1	50.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	27.4	51.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	23.7	24.8	48.5	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	26.5	24.6	51.1	+1.9	80%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.2	25.9	50.1	-1.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	20.7	43.8	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	20.9	45.6	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	20.3	44.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	23.3	21.8	45.1	+1.5	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.3	18.0	40.3	+4.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.8	23.6	49.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	27.2	20.7	47.9	+6.5	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.6	26.1	50.7	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.7	23.1	49.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	22.6	50.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	25.7	23.3	49.0	+2.3	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	26.1	24.7	50.8	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	25.4	21.9	47.3	+3.6	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.4	21.1	41.6	-0.7	43%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

48-48

H28/01

NBL

Cairns

48-46

A02/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

62-50

+12

A07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

52-48

H10/02

NBL

Perth

49-40

A15/02

NBL

Sydney

42-59

-17

A12/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

56-46

+10

H19/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

56-49

A21/10

NBL

Cairns

55-49

H25/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

50-47

A27/10

NBL

100.0Avg total

51.8Scored

48.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.1	48.6	99.7	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	50.8	47.1	97.9	+3.7	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	51.3	50.0	101.3	+1.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.8	48.2	100.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	50.0	101.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	49.3	48.2	97.5	+1.2	67%	-
vs Similar (15)	52.6	49.3	101.9	+3.3	73%	-
vs Weaker (9)	49.7	47.8	97.4	+1.9	78%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

46-39

H08/02

NBL

Perth

38-28

+10

A10/02

NBL

Cairns

47-43

H16/02

NBL

Melbourne United

35-52

-17

A28/02

NBL

Melbourne United

40-42

-2

H03/03

NBL

Cairns

37-41

-4

A04/10

NBL

Adelaide

59-42

+17

H12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-47

H18/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-45

-5

A20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-32

+20

H26/10

NBL

85.3Avg total

44.2Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	41.6	85.6	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.1	42.4	89.5	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	40.9	81.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	41.1	85.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	41.4	88.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	40.8	80.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	45.2	42.7	87.9	+2.5	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.7	39.1	81.9	+3.6	71%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	23.0	45.3	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	21.6	45.1	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	24.2	45.5	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	24.0	47.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.2	23.2	44.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.5	23.7	45.1	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.6	21.7	46.2	+2.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	20.8	37.5	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.6	20.9	41.4	-0.3	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	24.7	46.9	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	25.3	46.1	-4.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.5	24.1	47.6	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	26.2	46.2	-6.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.8	24.3	45.2	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.7	26.3	47.9	-4.6	27%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.2	22.2	46.4	+2.0	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.1	39.9	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.2	32%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	47.6	92.2	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	46.9	91.2	-2.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	48.3	93.1	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	50.2	93.5	-6.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	48.0	91.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	42.0	47.5	89.5	-5.5	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.1	49.9	93.1	-6.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (9)	48.8	43.9	92.7	+4.9	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	41.3	82.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	44.1	85.9	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	38.5	79.1	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	40.7	82.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	36.0	78.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	41.1	41.2	82.3	-0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.4	40.6	83.0	+1.9	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
12/10/19	Sydney v Adelaide	102-80
19/01/19	Sydney v Adelaide	99-119
10/11/18	Adelaide v Sydney	81-93
19/10/18	Adelaide v Sydney	106-101
13/10/18	Sydney v Adelaide	83-94
13/01/18	Sydney v Adelaide	101-104
18/11/17	Adelaide v Sydney	108-93
21/10/17	Adelaide v Sydney	114-84
07/10/17	Sydney v Adelaide	96-105
21/01/17	Adelaide v Sydney	87-73

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/19	A	South East Melbourne	91-101
25/10/19	H	Cairns	101-97
21/10/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	98-92
19/10/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	104-98
12/10/19	A	Sydney	80-102
15/02/19	A	Perth	85-93
10/02/19	H	Melbourne United	87-89
07/02/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	114-107
02/02/19	A	Cairns	100-91
28/01/19	H	Melbourne United	91-114

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	94-79
20/10/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	76-66
18/10/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-91
12/10/19	H	Adelaide	102-80
04/10/19	A	Cairns	79-71
03/03/19	H	Melbourne United	76-90
28/02/19	A	Melbourne United	73-95
16/02/19	H	Cairns	89-84
10/02/19	A	Perth	86-95 OT
08/02/19	H	Melbourne United	97-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	60%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	60%	100%	33%
Points / game	94.8	102.5	89.7
Allowed / game	98.0	97.5	98.3
Point differential	-3.2	+5.0	-8.7
Avg total	192.8	200.0	188.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	89.4	97.3	77.5
Allowed / game	77.4	83.3	68.5
Point differential	+12.0	+14.0	+9.0
Avg total	166.8	180.7	146.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	5	5	0	100%	89.4	77.4	+12.0
2	Perth	7	5	2	71%	91.0	86.1	+4.9
3	South East Melbourne	6	4	2	67%	98.0	99.0	-1.0
4	Adelaide	5	3	2	60%	94.8	98.0	-3.2
5	Brisbane Bullets	6	3	3	50%	89.5	90.7	-1.2
6	New Zealand Breakers	5	2	3	40%	90.2	86.6	+3.6
7	Melbourne United	6	2	4	33%	95.5	94.3	+1.2
8	Cairns	7	2	5	29%	86.3	87.6	-1.3
9	Illawarra Hawks	7	1	6	14%	84.0	95.6	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Adelaide	24	19	17	26	10	96
Sydney	12	33	24	17	12	98

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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