Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 97-78

27-20 28-25 31-17 11-16

Position#3

Record13-11

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.7

Allowed / game88.9

Adelaide 🏆

Sydney

Position#7

Record9-14

FormWLWLL

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game85.1

NBLRound 18

Other2014-15

Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

90-86

H19/12

NBL

Townsville

91-84

H27/12

NBL

Cairns

84-77 OT

A31/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-81

-7

H04/01

NBL

Melbourne United

91-89

A10/01

NBL

Perth

106-102

106

102

A16/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

83-78

H18/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

89-85

A23/01

NBL

Sydney

105-86

105

+19

A25/01

NBL

Townsville

84-77

H01/02

NBL

31-21

17-27

25-15

17-23

25-21

21-22

25-17

20-24

16-16

17-15

19-20

20-21

20-26

24-21

14-16

16-18

26-26

16-24

22-26

27-13

28-27

29-31

23-23

26-21

25-20

15-17

30-22

13-19

28-24

18-17

24-20

19-24

31-24

27-22

26-10

21-30

20-19

26-20

21-20

17-18

174.2Avg total

89.7Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	87.7	88.9	176.6	-1.2	54%
Season at home (12)	85.2	85.9	171.1	-0.8	58%
Season away (12)	90.2	91.8	182.1	-1.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	84.5	174.2	+5.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	85.6	179.0	+7.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	82.1	88.2	170.3	-6.1	40%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	90.6	90.0	180.6	+0.6	53%
vs Weaker (3)	88.7	78.7	167.3	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

101-105 OT

101

105

-4

A21/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-97

-12

H26/12

NBL

Townsville

92-93

-1

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

68-82

-14

H02/01

NBL

Townsville

89-98

-9

H09/01

NBL

Townsville

89-81

A16/01

NBL

Cairns

76-80

-4

A17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

101-81

101

+20

A23/01

NBL

Adelaide

86-105

105

-19

H25/01

NBL

Perth

61-80

-19

A01/02

NBL

23-24

24-25

19-21

26-22

17-32

25-25

26-19

17-21

25-26

22-25

25-22

20-20

15-23

18-22

24-17

11-20

11-23

33-27

17-26

28-22

28-27

29-13

19-21

13-20

15-18

18-22

19-21

24-19

24-25

30-15

24-21

23-20

24-31

22-27

10-26

30-21

11-15

18-23

15-18

17-24

175.0Avg total

84.8Scored

90.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.1	85.1	168.2	-2.0	39%
Season at home (11)	83.7	86.8	170.5	-3.1	45%
Season away (12)	82.5	83.6	166.1	-1.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	90.2	175.0	-5.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	85.4	168.0	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	80.3	83.2	163.5	-2.9	38%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	86.6	93.5	180.1	-6.9	21%
vs Weaker (3)	81.7	72.7	154.3	+9.0	67%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	23.7	47.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	22.4	47.4	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	22.8	49.2	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+0.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.3	25.0	52.3	+2.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.2	42.1	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	24.4	43.7	-5.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	15.3	33.7	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	23.5	42.9	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	22.2	40.9	-3.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	15.7	32.7	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.9	45.0	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	21.6	45.8	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.1	44.2	+0.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	22.4	46.3	+1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	23.4	20.7	44.1	+2.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.4	23.7	47.1	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.7	67%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

48-48

H19/12

NBL

Townsville

46-43

H27/12

NBL

Cairns

33-31

A31/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-47

-3

H04/01

NBL

Melbourne United

42-50

-8

A10/01

NBL

Perth

57-58

-1

A16/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

40-37

H18/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-41

A23/01

NBL

Sydney

58-46

+12

A25/01

NBL

Townsville

46-39

H01/02

NBL

90.0Avg total

46.0Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	44.4	88.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	41.7	86.8	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	47.1	90.6	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	44.0	90.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	44.2	93.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.9	45.0	85.9	-4.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	46.2	44.8	91.0	+1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	40.7	85.0	+3.7	100%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

47-49

-2

A21/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-57

-15

H26/12

NBL

Townsville

47-51

-4

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

33-45

-12

H02/01

NBL

Townsville

44-50

-6

H09/01

NBL

Townsville

57-40

+17

A16/01

NBL

Cairns

33-40

-7

A17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-40

+14

A23/01

NBL

Adelaide

46-58

-12

H25/01

NBL

Perth

29-38

-9

A01/02

NBL

90.0Avg total

43.2Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	44.1	87.1	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	45.4	89.2	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	42.9	85.2	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	46.8	90.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.2	87.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	41.9	43.0	84.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	45.0	47.2	92.2	-2.2	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	34.0	72.7	+4.7	67%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.1	43.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.0	43.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.5	22.8	44.2	-1.3	41%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.0	18.0	46.0	+10.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.5	19.5	39.0	-0.1	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	16.7	37.0	+3.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.2	43.6	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	23.1	45.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.9	22.5	45.4	+0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	23.6	44.6	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.9	23.9	45.8	-2.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	43.7	86.6	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	42.5	85.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	44.9	88.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	40.0	82.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	41.4	85.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.0	42.7	82.7	-2.7	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	44.4	45.2	89.6	-0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	38.0	82.3	+6.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.5	82.5	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	41.6	82.1	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	43.2	82.8	-3.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	42.1	82.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.4	40.2	78.6	-1.8	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.9	45.4	86.3	-4.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	38.7	81.7	+4.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/15	Sydney v Adelaide	86-105
30/11/14	Adelaide v Sydney	83-90
09/11/14	Sydney v Adelaide	107-100
16/03/14	Sydney v Adelaide	100-90
26/01/14	Sydney v Adelaide	105-93
12/01/14	Adelaide v Sydney	89-102
03/11/13	Adelaide v Sydney	97-84
13/01/13	Adelaide v Sydney	82-64
05/01/13	Sydney v Adelaide	86-82
02/12/12	Adelaide v Sydney	85-88

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/15	H	Townsville	84-77
25/01/15	A	Sydney	105-86
23/01/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	89-85
18/01/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	83-78
16/01/15	A	Perth	106-102
10/01/15	A	Melbourne United	91-89
04/01/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	74-81
31/12/14	A	Cairns	84-77 OT
27/12/14	H	Townsville	91-84
19/12/14	H	Cairns	90-86

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/15	A	Perth	61-80
25/01/15	H	Adelaide	86-105
23/01/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	101-81
17/01/15	A	Cairns	76-80
16/01/15	A	Townsville	89-81
09/01/15	H	Townsville	89-98
02/01/15	H	Melbourne United	68-82
31/12/14	A	Townsville	92-93
26/12/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-97
21/12/14	A	Melbourne United	101-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	54%
Home	WWLWW	58%
Away	WWWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	54%	58%	50%
Points / game	87.7	85.2	90.2
Allowed / game	88.9	85.9	91.8
Point differential	-1.2	-0.8	-1.6
Avg total	176.6	171.1	182.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Sydney

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	39%
Home	WLLLL	45%
Away	LWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	39%	45%	33%
Points / game	83.1	83.7	82.5
Allowed / game	85.1	86.8	83.6
Point differential	-2.0	-3.1	-1.1
Avg total	168.2	170.5	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	18%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	67% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cairns	24	18	6	75%	81.8	76.5	+5.4
2	New Zealand Breakers	24	18	6	75%	84.1	80.6	+3.5
3	Perth	24	14	10	58%	80.5	77.3	+3.2
4	Adelaide	24	13	11	54%	87.7	88.9	-1.2
5	Melbourne United	23	11	12	48%	84.4	83.8	+0.6
6	Sydney	23	9	14	39%	83.1	85.1	-2.0
7	Townsville	24	8	16	33%	83.6	85.6	-2.0
8	Illawarra Hawks	24	4	20	17%	76.9	84.3	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	27	28	31	11	97
Sydney	20	25	17	16	78

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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