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Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 94-102
28-27 20-24 27-19 19-32
Position#6
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Adelaide
Australia
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaNBLRound 1· Aylen M.
Other2024-25
Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney
30 Jan 2027
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
ADEL92
SYDN91
27 Mar 2026
ADEL91
SYDN89
02 Jan 2026
ADEL85
SYDN79
11 Oct 2025
ADEL79
SYDN103
11 Oct 2024
ADEL89
SYDN79
22 Sep 2024
ADEL94
SYDN102
02 Feb 2024
ADEL85
SYDN78
11 Jan 2024
ADEL95
SYDN82
03 Feb 2023
ADEL115
SYDN108
09 Apr 2022
ADEL77
SYDN84
27 Feb 2022
ADEL90
SYDN93
06 Feb 2021
ADEL75
SYDN94
30 Jan 2021
ADEL85
SYDN80
02 Nov 2019
ADEL96
SYDN98
10 Nov 2018
ADEL81
SYDN93
19 Oct 2018
ADEL106
SYDN101
18 Nov 2017
ADEL108
SYDN93
21 Oct 2017
ADEL114
SYDN84
21 Jan 2017
ADEL87
SYDN73
16 Dec 2016
ADEL82
SYDN80
20 Jan 2016
ADEL96
SYDN89
07 Nov 2015
ADEL99
SYDN98
06 Feb 2015
ADEL97
SYDN78
30 Nov 2014
ADEL83
SYDN90
12 Jan 2014
ADEL89
SYDN102
03 Nov 2013
ADEL97
SYDN84
13 Jan 2013
ADEL82
SYDN64
02 Dec 2012
ADEL85
SYDN88
12 Nov 2011
ADEL104
SYDN113
21 Oct 2011
ADEL71
SYDN94
17 Dec 2010
ADEL81
SYDN77
06 Nov 2010
ADEL87
SYDN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 79
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 79
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
no box
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 79
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 79
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
77avg 79
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 79
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
70avg 79
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
76avg 79
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 79
H18/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
19-19
31-24
23-30
20-19
22-8
28-27
25-28
28-27
28-26
26-19
12-22
34-23
34-17
19-20
23-25
21-15
21-24
26-23
28-27
28-25
25-13
22-15
13-18
17-18
20-23
17-18
31-19
21-31
24-26
24-26
17-26
20-22
24-30
23-24
17-26
17-14
20-21
21-12
18-23
181.4Avg total
92.1Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.189.3181.4+2.870%
Last 5 (5)83.886.0169.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)86.691.6178.2-5.041%
vs Similar (10)91.695.0186.6-3.440%
vs Weaker (3)97.093.3190.3+3.767%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 88
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
64avg 88
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
105-76
105
76
+29
107avg 88
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
98-104
98
104
-6
87avg 88
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
89avg 88
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 88
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 88
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
86avg 88
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
122-67
122
67
+55
126avg 88
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 88
H28/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
15-29
28-28
26-21
19-20
8-22
27-28
28-25
34-19
29-15
26-20
16-22
20-34
37-24
21-22
20-24
27-36
27-25
14-21
30-22
22-26
36-17
14-22
26-21
18-17
23-20
18-17
19-31
17-31
29-28
19-20
30-27
34-14
29-25
29-17
30-11
22-15
25-23
13-22
16-23
185.2Avg total
94.5Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.590.7185.2+3.830%
Last 5 (5)93.885.4179.2+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)92.591.6184.1+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.792.1188.8+4.650%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
AdelaideSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/02
NBL
89.4Avg total
47.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.246.590.7-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.044.488.4-0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)44.448.793.1-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)47.042.489.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.687.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.246.387.5-5.124%-
vs Similar (10)48.146.294.3+1.960%-
vs Weaker (3)48.349.097.3-0.733%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/02
NBL
95.8Avg total
49.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.845.494.2+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.246.896.1+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)48.343.792.0+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)49.546.395.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)51.043.294.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)49.444.393.7+5.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.946.994.8+1.050%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.224.1
51.1%
52.3%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.4
29.6%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.219.2
79.3%
74.7%19.2
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 94.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.8
57.2%
52.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.0
32.3%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
74.7%16.5
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WLLWWWWLWW
Sydney
LWLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#4
+4.0
Net rating
+5.4
109.1
Offensive rating
116.3
105.1
Defensive rating
110.9
48.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.6%
3-point %
32.3%
54.0%
Assist %
52.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 116.3Defence105.1 · 110.9Shooting48.8% · 53.4%3-point %29.6% · 32.3%Ball care15.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 35.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Adelaide   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide wins
5
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
02/02/24Adelaide v Sydney85-78
11/01/24Adelaide v Sydney95-82
08/10/23Sydney v Adelaide109-100
03/02/23Adelaide v Sydney115-108
04/12/22Sydney v Adelaide97-78
21/10/22Sydney v Adelaide88-92
17/04/22Sydney v Adelaide82-90
09/04/22Adelaide v Sydney77-84
27/02/22Adelaide v Sydney90-93
16/05/21Sydney v Adelaide85-75
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-70
09/02/24ABrisbane Bullets84-102
04/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-109
02/02/24HSydney85-78
27/01/24HCairns Taipans88-71
20/01/24AIllawarra Hawks96-89
17/01/24ASouth East Melbourne110-85
13/01/24ACairns Taipans101-111 OT
11/01/24HSydney95-82
06/01/24HMelbourne United100-96
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-83
17/02/24ASouth East Melbourne122-67
11/02/24HIllawarra Hawks95-106
02/02/24AAdelaide78-85
28/01/24HMelbourne United98-86
25/01/24ASouth East Melbourne98-104
21/01/24HPerth98-104
14/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers105-76
11/01/24AAdelaide82-95
07/01/24HBrisbane Bullets93-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks110100%102.075.0+27.0
2 Melbourne United110100%88.079.0+9.0
3 Perth110100%106.098.0+8.0
4 New Zealand Breakers110100%91.087.0+4.0
5 Brisbane Bullets1010%87.091.0-4.0
6 South East Melbourne1010%98.0106.0-8.0
7 Tasmania JackJumpers1010%79.088.0-9.0
8 Cairns Taipans1010%75.0102.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2820271994
Sydney27241932102
← all games of the day
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