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AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-104
20-28 24-22 26-36 25-18
Position#3
Record15-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#1
Record19-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game70.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 22
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
08 Nov 2026
AAT v PAO
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
AAT63
PAO101
12 Jan 2025
AAT80
PAO103
12 Feb 2024
AAT69
PAO89
25 Mar 2023
AAT77
PAO73
03 Apr 2022
AAT69
PAO83
26 May 2021
AAT71
PAO78
21 May 2021
AAT92
PAO80
28 Apr 2021
AAT95
PAO104
24 Sep 2020
AAT73
PAO79
05 Jan 2020
AAT100
PAO97
10 Apr 2019
AAT72
PAO104
14 Jan 2018
AAT74
PAO94
05 Nov 2017
AAT73
PAO69
22 May 2017
AAT67
PAO105
14 May 2017
AAT71
PAO70
26 Mar 2017
AAT87
PAO106
16 Feb 2015
AAT62
PAO70
18 Dec 2010
AAT78
PAO95
17 Jan 2010
AAT47
PAO85
22 Apr 2009
AAT70
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
H16/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#10
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
no box
H20/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
L
73-91
73
91
-18
59avg 72
A23/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
no box
A25/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A27/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 72
A31/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#2
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
no box
H03/04
Basket League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 72
H07/04
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
67avg 72
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 72
A14/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
24-14
17-20
21-12
21-17
15-26
27-17
22-25
18-31
27-21
13-21
15-18
15-25
15-21
12-25
18-17
18-15
16-12
23-22
16-19
17-18
19-21
10-16
20-23
19-15
22-21
21-28
20-18
18-14
16-20
16-25
29-19
11-30
20-11
26-17
15-21
18-15
17-18
23-23
20-24
159.6Avg total
77.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.074.8156.8+7.168%
Season at home (11)87.375.6162.9+11.682%
Season away (11)76.674.0150.6+2.655%
Last 10 (10)77.282.4159.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)77.882.4160.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.382.0153.3-10.733%
vs Similar (12)77.280.5157.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (14)84.173.6157.7+10.486%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
106avg 80
H27/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#10
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 80
H30/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H01/04
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
78-93
78
93
-15
74avg 80
A08/04
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
105-69
105
69
+36
105avg 80
H10/04
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
83-112
83
112
-29
71avg 80
A12/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 80
A14/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#5
W
74-68
74
68
+6
74avg 80
A18/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
100-66
100
66
+34
105avg 80
A20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
83-61
83
61
+22
78avg 80
A24/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
19-18
26-11
28-18
21-25
20-24
18-23
23-25
15-26
14-20
20-13
21-11
14-27
33-25
13-22
18-19
28-18
27-17
26-22
24-12
22-26
18-21
20-29
23-36
19-27
20-22
22-25
25-19
26-12
21-17
16-18
11-21
22-24
28-12
28-17
22-13
19-16
18-13
24-14
22-18
168.9Avg total
87.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.970.6158.5+17.290%
Season at home (11)90.469.4159.7+21.091%
Season away (10)85.172.0157.1+13.190%
Last 10 (10)87.981.0168.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)85.280.0165.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.686.6165.1-8.022%
vs Similar (7)79.480.6160.0-1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.673.2163.8+17.493%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
AEK AthensPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A23/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A25/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A31/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/04
Basket League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/04
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A14/04
Basket League
74.8Avg total
36.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.577.2+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.636.077.6+5.679%-
Last 30 away (16)38.038.876.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.774.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.741.074.7-7.30%-
vs Similar (12)38.437.175.5+1.367%-
vs Weaker (14)42.337.279.5+5.171%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H27/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/04
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A08/04
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H10/04
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A12/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A14/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A24/04
Basket League
84.4Avg total
43.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.981.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.639.181.8+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.184.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.080.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.944.681.4-7.711%-
vs Similar (7)40.139.379.4+0.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.737.182.9+8.686%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.4
47.7%
51.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.0
37.4%
35.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.613.2
67.3%
74.2%13.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.4
54.8%
51.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.0
41.8%
35.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws14.710.6
72.1%
74.2%10.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWLLWLLWW
Panathinaikos
WWWLLWLWLW
#3
League position
#1
-3.3
Net rating
+5.0
105.9
Offensive rating
117.8
109.2
Defensive rating
112.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
58.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.4%
3-point %
41.8%
53.8%
Assist %
65.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 117.8Defence109.2 · 112.8Shooting50.7% · 58.1%3-point %37.4% · 41.8%Ball care17.1% · 15.3%Off. rebounds30.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21APromitheas78-80
10/04/21AKolossos Rhodes72-79
07/04/21HNizhny Novgorod79-78
03/04/21HLavrio94-97 OT
31/03/21ATurk Telekom66-78
27/03/21AAris73-68
25/03/21ANizhny Novgorod60-88
23/03/21AStrasbourg73-91
20/03/21HIraklis100-97 OT
16/03/21HStrasbourg77-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21APromitheas83-61
20/04/21AIraklis100-66
18/04/21APAOK74-68
14/04/21ACSKA Moscow86-93
12/04/21AZenit Petersburg83-112
10/04/21HLavrio105-69
08/04/21AZalgiris Kaunas78-93
01/04/21HOlimpia Milano86-83 OT
30/03/21HBaskonia82-97
27/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis102-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL68%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game82.087.376.6
Allowed / game74.875.674.0
Point differential+7.1+11.6+2.6
Avg total156.8162.9150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%55%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %14%18%9%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%91%90%
Points / game87.990.485.1
Allowed / game70.669.472.0
Point differential+17.2+21.0+13.1
Avg total158.5159.7157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos2119290%87.970.6+17.2
2 Lavrio2116576%82.378.4+3.9
3 Promitheas2115671%79.975.8+4.1
4 AEK Athens2215768%82.074.8+7.1
5 PAOK22121055%78.979.3-0.4
6 Peristeri22111150%73.474.9-1.5
7 Kolossos Rhodes2181338%77.977.0+0.9
8 Aris2171433%74.177.2-3.1
9 Ionikos2171433%76.881.1-4.3
10 Iraklis2171433%73.080.0-7.0
11 Larisa2261627%74.481.2-6.8
12 Harilaos Trikoupis2151624%72.682.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2024262595
Panathinaikos28223618104
← all games of the day
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