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AEK Athens vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-93
24-24 25-20 17-27 29-22
Position#17
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AEK Athens 🏆
vs
Salon Vilpas
Position#15
Record3-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeChampions League· SUNEL Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
72avg 80
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 80
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 80
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
71avg 80
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 80
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
80avg 80
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
102avg 80
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 80
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 80
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 80
H03/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
25-15
17-10
21-20
17-35
17-17
29-23
20-14
21-27
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
166.2Avg total
82.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.583.7166.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)83.889.6173.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.090.2167.2-13.220%
vs Similar (13)83.382.0165.3+1.362%
vs Weaker (12)90.276.8166.9+13.4100%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
Kataja
#5
W
82-45
82
45
+37
77avg 82
H09/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 82
A12/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
90-81
90
81
+9
82avg 82
H14/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
59-75
59
75
-16
44avg 82
A16/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
100-69
100
69
+31
97avg 82
H19/05
Korisliiga
Levice
#42
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 82
A16/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#28
W
90-72
90
72
+18
78avg 82
H18/09
Champions League
CSM Oradea
#13
W
98-96
98
96
+2
91avg 82
H20/09
Champions League
Honka
#3
L
104-107
104
107
-3
100avg 82
H29/09
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
W
97-79
97
79
+18
94avg 82
A03/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
22-11
20-16
23-3
22-26
19-21
21-14
24-18
26-15
22-23
20-20
22-23
14-14
19-18
11-24
15-19
20-29
31-17
23-9
26-14
30-19
18-26
21-23
21-19
23-19
26-21
26-21
15-11
26-23
29-22
20-22
23-29
28-20
25-29
33-29
18-29
22-25
28-21
22-18
25-15
168.6Avg total
89.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.785.0177.7+7.7100%
Season at home (2)94.084.0178.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.679.0168.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)95.888.2184.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.096.0194.0+2.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)86.177.3163.4+8.861%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
AEK AthensSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
80.1Avg total
41.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.941.883.7+0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)43.241.284.4+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.380.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.487.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.442.481.8-3.020%-
vs Similar (13)40.941.882.7-0.846%-
vs Weaker (12)45.440.986.3+4.558%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#5
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A12/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A16/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/05
Korisliiga
Levice
#42
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A16/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#28
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H18/09
Champions League
CSM Oradea
#13
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H20/09
Champions League
Honka
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H29/09
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A03/10
Korisliiga
88.1Avg total
46.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.684.0+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.937.884.6+9.176%-
Last 30 away (13)41.242.083.2-0.854%-
Last 10 (10)46.741.488.1+5.390%-
Last 5 (5)51.045.096.0+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.045.0100.0+10.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.939.283.1+4.764%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.4
54.8%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.5
37.6%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
72.1%15.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.4
56.9%
53.1%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.7
35.8%
35.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
72.1%15.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLWLWLWLW
Salon Vilpas
WLWWWWLWWW
#17
League position
#15
-1.8
Net rating
+12.1
97.5
Offensive rating
101.9
99.3
Defensive rating
89.8
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.6%
3-point %
35.8%
69.9%
Assist %
45.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 101.9Defence99.3 · 89.8Shooting55.4% · 55.6%3-point %37.6% · 35.8%Ball care15.0% · 15.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Salon Vilpas wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
28/05/26AOlympiacos77-94
25/05/26HAris102-99
17/05/26AAris81-90
14/05/26HAris87-81
09/05/26HRytas86-92 OT
07/05/26AUnicaja78-65
25/04/26HOlympiacos84-94
19/04/26APanionios71-57
Salon Vilpaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26APyrinto Tampere97-79
29/09/26HHonka104-107
20/09/26HCSM Oradea98-96
18/09/26HBakken Bears90-72
16/09/26ALevice90-87
19/05/26HKataja100-69
16/05/26AKataja59-75
14/05/26HKataja90-81
12/05/26AKataja86-79
09/05/26HKataja82-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Salon Vilpas
Champions League 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.794.090.0
Allowed / game85.084.087.0
Point differential+7.7+10.0+3.0
Avg total177.7178.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Strasbourg110100%100.062.0+38.0
2 Cholet110100%99.079.0+20.0
3 Cibona110100%96.076.0+20.0
4 Reggiana110100%82.065.0+17.0
5 Vechta440100%98.885.2+13.5
6 Bilbao110100%92.079.0+13.0
7 Joventut Badalona110100%86.075.0+11.0
8 Rytas110100%82.073.0+9.0
9 Salon Vilpas330100%92.785.0+7.7
10 Peristeri110100%93.087.0+6.0
11 Dziki Warszawa43175%103.299.2+4.0
12 Breogan32167%113.792.3+21.3
13 CSM Oradea32167%94.787.3+7.3
14 Promitheas32167%86.392.7-6.3
15 Korfez Basket21150%92.086.5+5.5
16 VEF Riga21150%100.095.0+5.0
17 Benfica21150%87.588.0-0.5
18 Bakken Bears21150%80.584.0-3.5
19 Batumi21150%81.589.0-7.5
20 Manchester Basketball21150%79.089.0-10.0
21 Fribourg Olympic1010%85.086.0-1.0
22 Wurzburg1010%73.074.0-1.0
23 Denizli Basket1010%98.0101.0-3.0
24 Levice1010%87.090.0-3.0
25 Bamberg1010%87.093.0-6.0
26 AEK Larnaca1010%87.095.0-8.0
27 Geneva Lions1010%78.087.0-9.0
28 Sabah Baku1010%73.082.0-9.0
29 Vienna Basket1010%82.092.0-10.0
30 Bnei Herzliya1010%75.086.0-11.0
31 Zwolle1010%78.089.0-11.0
32 Kolossos Rhodes1010%79.091.0-12.0
33 Igokea1010%79.092.0-13.0
34 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
35 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
36 Pardubice1010%65.082.0-17.0
37 Galatasaray1010%76.096.0-20.0
38 Hapoel Holon1010%79.099.0-20.0
39 Legia1010%62.0100.0-38.0
40 Rilski Sportist1010%80.0126.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2425172995
Salon Vilpas2420272293
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