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Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 123-113
32-33 39-34 30-27 22-19
Position#16
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Etihad Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks
31 Dec 2026
ATL v MIL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ATL122
MIL99
19 Jan 2026
ATL110
MIL112
04 Mar 2025
ATL121
MIL127
07 Feb 2025
ATL115
MIL110
30 Mar 2024
ATL113
MIL122
11 Jan 2023
ATL105
MIL114
07 Nov 2022
ATL117
MIL98
06 Oct 2022
ATL123
MIL113
17 Jan 2022
ATL121
MIL114
14 Nov 2021
ATL120
MIL100
03 Jul 2021
ATL107
MIL118
29 Jun 2021
ATL110
MIL88
27 Jun 2021
ATL102
MIL113
25 Apr 2021
ATL111
MIL104
15 Apr 2021
ATL109
MIL120
27 Dec 2019
ATL86
MIL112
20 Nov 2019
ATL127
MIL135
31 Mar 2019
ATL136
MIL135
13 Jan 2019
ATL114
MIL133
29 Oct 2017
ATL106
MIL117
15 Jan 2017
ATL111
MIL98
16 Nov 2016
ATL107
MIL100
25 Mar 2016
ATL101
MIL90
20 Feb 2016
ATL109
MIL117
30 Mar 2015
ATL101
MIL88
26 Dec 2014
ATL77
MIL107
13 Mar 2014
ATL102
MIL97
12 Apr 2013
ATL109
MIL104
20 Mar 2013
ATL98
MIL90
02 Mar 2012
ATL99
MIL94
15 Mar 2011
ATL110
MIL85
10 Nov 2010
ATL91
MIL108
02 May 2010
ATL95
MIL74
28 Apr 2010
ATL87
MIL91
20 Apr 2010
ATL96
MIL86
17 Apr 2010
ATL102
MIL92
28 Feb 2010
ATL106
MIL102
23 Jan 2009
ATL117
MIL87
26 Nov 2008
ATL102
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
W
118-103
118
103
+15
69avg 104
H07/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
109-113
109
113
-4
97avg 104
A09/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
130-114
130
114
+16
130avg 104
A10/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
132-103
132
103
+29
132avg 104
H13/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
107-101
107
101
+6
97avg 104
A15/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
91-115
91
115
-24
79avg 104
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
105-115
105
115
-10
69avg 104
A19/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
111-110
111
110
+1
104avg 104
H22/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
86-110
86
110
-24
75avg 104
H24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
94-97
94
97
-3
80avg 104
A26/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-31
27-34
28-18
23-20
22-24
39-32
26-35
22-22
35-24
38-35
29-32
28-23
32-23
28-29
42-24
30-27
25-36
26-25
33-23
23-17
17-23
23-36
20-27
31-29
25-26
29-30
22-31
29-28
22-24
39-30
16-31
34-25
26-25
15-30
20-25
25-30
22-21
20-33
22-21
30-22
216.4Avg total
108.3Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)108.3108.1216.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)97.4109.4206.8-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)113.0107.3220.3+5.767%
vs Similar ◀ (18)111.9111.2223.2+0.750%
vs Weaker (9)121.9116.4238.3+5.478%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
111-81
111
81
+30
109avg 106
A23/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
119-95
119
95
+24
115avg 106
A24/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
116-100
116
100
+16
112avg 106
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
101-89
101
89
+12
93avg 106
A01/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
86-109
86
109
-23
75avg 106
A03/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
103-101
103
101
+2
89avg 106
H07/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
108-116
108
116
-8
92avg 106
H09/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
110-107
110
107
+3
100avg 106
A11/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
95-108
95
108
-13
82avg 106
H13/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
81-109
81
109
-28
71avg 106
A15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-17
27-24
30-18
21-22
25-22
31-19
34-33
29-21
34-18
26-24
31-26
25-32
27-24
29-22
22-24
23-19
21-32
19-33
26-18
20-26
22-19
24-31
34-17
23-34
25-18
23-29
32-26
28-43
28-26
19-28
30-32
33-21
26-28
17-25
27-29
25-26
26-20
17-28
21-31
17-30
204.5Avg total
103.0Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)103.0101.5204.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)99.4108.2207.6-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)110.4117.6228.0-7.247%
vs Weaker (11)120.4102.2222.5+18.291%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H07/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A09/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A10/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H13/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A15/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A19/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H22/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A26/04
NBA
112.1Avg total
55.0Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.758.3118.9+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.657.9119.5+3.871%-
Last 30 away (16)59.858.6118.4+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)55.057.1112.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.655.6103.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.055.3122.3+11.7100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.157.4113.6-1.350%-
vs Weaker (9)67.760.9128.6+6.867%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A23/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A24/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A01/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A03/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H07/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H09/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A11/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H13/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/05
NBA
98.6Avg total
49.9Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.754.9110.6+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.253.0109.2+3.254%-
Last 30 away (17)55.456.4111.7-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)49.948.798.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.450.495.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)53.659.1112.6-5.526%-
vs Weaker (11)59.447.7107.1+11.691%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.326.1
54.0%
54.5%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.912.7
36.4%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.917.6
80.4%
78.1%17.6
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.628.7
49.8%
54.5%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.3
32.8%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
78.1%14.7
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLWLLWWWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLWLWWWW
#16
League position
#1
-0.2
Net rating
+1.5
110.4
Offensive rating
103.6
110.6
Defensive rating
102.1
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.6%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.1%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.4%
3-point %
32.8%
54.4%
Assist %
52.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 103.6Defence110.6 · 102.1Shooting54.3% · 49.6%3-point %36.4% · 32.8%Ball care14.2% · 12.1%Off. rebounds23.9% · 21.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/22AMiami Heat94-97
24/04/22HMiami Heat86-110
22/04/22HMiami Heat111-110
19/04/22AMiami Heat105-115
17/04/22AMiami Heat91-115
15/04/22ACleveland Cavaliers107-101
13/04/22HCharlotte Hornets132-103
10/04/22AHouston Rockets130-114
09/04/22AMiami Heat109-113
07/04/22HWashington Wizards118-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/22ABoston Celtics81-109
13/05/22HBoston Celtics95-108
11/05/22ABoston Celtics110-107
09/05/22HBoston Celtics108-116
07/05/22HBoston Celtics103-101
03/05/22ABoston Celtics86-109
01/05/22ABoston Celtics101-89
27/04/22HChicago Bulls116-100
24/04/22AChicago Bulls119-95
23/04/22AChicago Bulls111-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks32393022123
Milwaukee Bucks33342719113
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