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Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 105-114
19-39 27-28 36-22 23-25
Position#16
Record19-21
FormLLWLW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game116.4
vs
Position#1
Record26-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game111.1
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks
31 Dec 2026
ATL v MIL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ATL122
MIL99
19 Jan 2026
ATL110
MIL112
04 Mar 2025
ATL121
MIL127
07 Feb 2025
ATL115
MIL110
30 Mar 2024
ATL113
MIL122
11 Jan 2023
ATL105
MIL114
07 Nov 2022
ATL117
MIL98
17 Jan 2022
ATL121
MIL114
14 Nov 2021
ATL120
MIL100
03 Jul 2021
ATL107
MIL118
29 Jun 2021
ATL110
MIL88
27 Jun 2021
ATL102
MIL113
25 Apr 2021
ATL111
MIL104
15 Apr 2021
ATL109
MIL120
27 Dec 2019
ATL86
MIL112
20 Nov 2019
ATL127
MIL135
31 Mar 2019
ATL136
MIL135
13 Jan 2019
ATL114
MIL133
29 Oct 2017
ATL106
MIL117
15 Jan 2017
ATL111
MIL98
16 Nov 2016
ATL107
MIL100
25 Mar 2016
ATL101
MIL90
20 Feb 2016
ATL109
MIL117
30 Mar 2015
ATL101
MIL88
26 Dec 2014
ATL77
MIL107
13 Mar 2014
ATL102
MIL97
12 Apr 2013
ATL109
MIL104
20 Mar 2013
ATL98
MIL90
02 Mar 2012
ATL99
MIL94
15 Mar 2011
ATL110
MIL85
10 Nov 2010
ATL91
MIL108
02 May 2010
ATL95
MIL74
28 Apr 2010
ATL87
MIL91
20 Apr 2010
ATL96
MIL86
17 Apr 2010
ATL102
MIL92
28 Feb 2010
ATL106
MIL102
23 Jan 2009
ATL117
MIL87
26 Nov 2008
ATL102
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
126-125
126
125
+1
119avg 105
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
108-110
108
110
-2
99avg 105
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
130-105
130
105
+25
129avg 105
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
114-129
114
129
-15
104avg 105
A28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
107-108
107
108
-1
92avg 105
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
121-130
121
130
-9
103avg 105
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
141-143 OT
141
143
-2
131avg 105
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
120-117
120
117
+3
115avg 105
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
114-130
114
130
-16
99avg 105
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
112-108
112
108
+4
103avg 105
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-27
34-38
36-29
22-31
25-30
26-31
26-20
31-29
32-34
28-29
35-18
35-24
27-30
27-34
32-32
28-33
30-31
33-25
17-27
27-25
33-23
34-39
28-36
26-32
26-38
27-32
42-25
26-26
30-30
31-28
30-30
29-29
28-37
21-33
33-28
32-32
25-26
41-26
19-35
27-21
239.8Avg total
119.3Scored
120.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)115.2116.4231.7-1.248%
Season at home (19)114.8113.7228.5+1.258%
Season away (21)115.6118.9234.5-3.238%
Last 10 (10)119.3120.5239.8-1.240%
Last 5 (5)121.6125.6247.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)106.7116.3223.0-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (24)114.5118.0232.5-3.538%
vs Weaker (3)125.7113.0238.7+12.767%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 106
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
100-118
100
118
-18
88avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
118-139
118
139
-21
108avg 106
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
113-119 OT
113
119
-6
92avg 106
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 106
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
95-118
95
118
-23
78avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
123-113
123
113
+10
115avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
108avg 106
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
109-138
109
138
-29
99avg 106
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
111-107
111
107
+4
106avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-35
22-25
35-33
29-21
29-36
18-24
28-25
25-33
28-36
33-26
25-38
32-39
32-28
23-29
27-22
24-27
33-34
17-27
39-22
34-31
17-34
33-34
20-20
25-30
32-28
29-21
29-36
33-28
13-12
26-26
24-21
34-38
28-51
32-33
27-28
22-26
22-22
24-29
27-27
38-29
228.3Avg total
110.2Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)112.4111.1223.5+1.365%
Season at home (21)117.1110.6227.7+6.576%
Season away (19)107.2111.7218.8-4.553%
Last 10 (10)110.2118.1228.3-7.940%
Last 5 (5)108.4115.4223.8-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)114.9115.9230.8-1.057%
vs Weaker (9)107.6109.2216.8-1.756%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A09/01
NBA
121.3Avg total
59.2Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.159.2118.3-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.056.7115.7+2.364%-
Last 30 away (16)59.161.4120.6-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)59.262.1121.3-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)59.262.4121.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.357.3114.7+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)58.058.9117.0-0.954%-
vs Weaker (3)69.063.7132.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/01
NBA
110.1Avg total
51.1Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.957.1112.0-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.161.3120.4-2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)51.253.5104.7-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)51.159.0110.1-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)51.258.0109.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)54.857.7112.5-2.948%-
vs Weaker (9)55.155.9111.0-0.856%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.734.5
55.0%
54.5%69.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.7
34.0%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.418.2
81.2%
78.1%18.2
They take 94.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.026.1
52.2%
54.5%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.113.4
32.6%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws24.017.8
74.2%
78.1%17.8
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLWLLLLWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWLLLL
#16
League position
#1
-1.1
Net rating
-7.6
112.7
Offensive rating
105.5
113.9
Defensive rating
113.1
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
9.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
17.9%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
32.6%
54.9%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 105.5Defence113.9 · 113.1Shooting53.7% · 50.7%3-point %34.0% · 32.6%Ball care9.8% · 16.3%Off. rebounds17.9% · 29.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers112-108
07/01/23ALos Angeles Lakers114-130
05/01/23ASacramento Kings120-117
03/01/23AGolden State Warriors141-143 OT
31/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers121-130
29/12/22HBrooklyn Nets107-108
28/12/22AIndiana Pacers114-129
24/12/22HDetroit Pistons130-105
22/12/22HChicago Bulls108-110
20/12/22HOrlando Magic126-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23ANew York Knicks111-107
07/01/23HCharlotte Hornets109-138
05/01/23AToronto Raptors104-101 OT
04/01/23HWashington Wizards123-113
02/01/23HWashington Wizards95-118
31/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves123-114
29/12/22AChicago Bulls113-119 OT
25/12/22ABoston Celtics118-139
24/12/22ABrooklyn Nets100-118
22/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers106-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %48%58%38%
Points / game115.2114.8115.6
Allowed / game116.4113.7118.9
Point differential-1.1+1.2-3.2
Avg total231.7228.5234.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%21%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %10%16%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWLWL76%
AwayLLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %65%76%53%
Points / game112.4117.1107.2
Allowed / game111.1110.6111.7
Point differential+1.3+6.5-4.5
Avg total223.5227.7218.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%52%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %8%0%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics41291271%118.5112.6+5.9
2 Memphis Grizzlies40271368%116.3111.3+5.0
3 Brooklyn Nets40271368%114.6110.6+4.0
4 Denver Nuggets40271368%116.8113.7+3.2
5 Milwaukee Bucks40261465%112.4111.1+1.3
6 Philadelphia 76ers40251562%113.7109.4+4.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers42261662%111.5106.8+4.8
8 New Orleans Pelicans41251661%117.4113.0+4.4
9 Indiana Pacers41231856%115.6115.6+0.0
10 Dallas Mavericks42231955%112.1111.0+1.1
11 Sacramento Kings39211854%118.8117.1+1.7
12 New York Knicks41221954%114.0111.3+2.7
13 Miami Heat42222052%108.8109.0-0.2
14 Los Angeles Clippers43222151%109.2110.0-0.8
15 Phoenix Suns42212150%113.0111.0+2.0
16 Golden State Warriors41202149%116.7117.7-1.0
17 Utah Jazz44212348%117.5116.8+0.7
18 Minnesota Timberwolves42202248%114.8115.5-0.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers40192148%112.0112.0+0.1
20 Atlanta Hawks40192148%115.2116.4-1.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers41192246%116.7117.8-1.2
22 Chicago Bulls42192345%114.2114.9-0.7
23 Toronto Raptors41182344%111.7111.4+0.3
24 Oklahoma City Thunder41182344%116.3116.6-0.2
25 Washington Wizards42182443%111.8113.1-1.4
26 Orlando Magic42162638%110.4114.2-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs41132832%112.0120.6-8.6
28 Detroit Pistons45123327%112.4119.6-7.3
29 Charlotte Hornets42113126%112.1118.5-6.4
30 Houston Rockets40103025%109.1115.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks19273623105
Milwaukee Bucks39282225114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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