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Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 107-118
24-28 19-19 29-44 35-27
Position#10
Record53-40
FormWLLWL
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#5
Record57-34
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game112.6
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· State Farm Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks
31 Dec 2026
ATL v MIL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ATL122
MIL99
19 Jan 2026
ATL110
MIL112
04 Mar 2025
ATL121
MIL127
07 Feb 2025
ATL115
MIL110
30 Mar 2024
ATL113
MIL122
11 Jan 2023
ATL105
MIL114
07 Nov 2022
ATL117
MIL98
17 Jan 2022
ATL121
MIL114
14 Nov 2021
ATL120
MIL100
03 Jul 2021
ATL107
MIL118
29 Jun 2021
ATL110
MIL88
27 Jun 2021
ATL102
MIL113
25 Apr 2021
ATL111
MIL104
15 Apr 2021
ATL109
MIL120
27 Dec 2019
ATL86
MIL112
20 Nov 2019
ATL127
MIL135
31 Mar 2019
ATL136
MIL135
13 Jan 2019
ATL114
MIL133
29 Oct 2017
ATL106
MIL117
15 Jan 2017
ATL111
MIL98
16 Nov 2016
ATL107
MIL100
25 Mar 2016
ATL101
MIL90
20 Feb 2016
ATL109
MIL117
30 Mar 2015
ATL101
MIL88
26 Dec 2014
ATL77
MIL107
13 Mar 2014
ATL102
MIL97
12 Apr 2013
ATL109
MIL104
20 Mar 2013
ATL98
MIL90
02 Mar 2012
ATL99
MIL94
15 Mar 2011
ATL110
MIL85
10 Nov 2010
ATL91
MIL108
02 May 2010
ATL95
MIL74
28 Apr 2010
ATL87
MIL91
20 Apr 2010
ATL96
MIL86
17 Apr 2010
ATL102
MIL92
28 Feb 2010
ATL106
MIL102
23 Jan 2009
ATL117
MIL87
26 Nov 2008
ATL102
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
111-127
111
127
-16
96avg 105
H11/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
103-100
103
100
+3
87avg 105
H14/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
109-106
109
106
+3
no box
A16/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
82avg 105
H18/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
103-96
103
96
+7
95avg 105
A21/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
116-113
116
113
+3
106avg 105
A24/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
91-125
91
125
-34
72avg 105
A26/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
88avg 105
H28/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
110-88
110
88
+22
107avg 105
H30/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-123
112
123
-11
101avg 105
A02/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
36-33
19-34
36-32
20-28
29-34
31-20
23-18
24-38
16-24
29-25
40-19
29-22
22-25
25-33
23-24
25-28
23-18
28-25
27-25
25-28
29-31
34-26
28-28
28-34
17-43
18-26
28-22
32-27
24-29
29-27
17-30
25-22
26-16
36-24
23-26
22-36
34-29
22-26
34-32
215.1Avg total
105.6Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (93)112.3110.8223.1+1.557%
Season at home (45)113.9108.3222.2+5.667%
Season away (48)110.8113.2224.0-2.548%
Last 10 (10)105.6109.5215.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)106.2112.4218.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)104.7114.2218.9-9.644%
vs Similar ◀ (18)112.1107.8219.9+4.272%
vs Weaker (3)108.796.0204.7+12.767%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
70avg 111
H10/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
107-96
107
96
+11
98avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
108-114
108
114
-6
no box
A16/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
104-89
104
89
+15
no box
H18/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
no box
A20/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
113-116
113
116
-3
101avg 111
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
125-91
125
91
+34
119avg 111
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
113-102
113
102
+11
110avg 111
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
88-110
88
110
-22
75avg 111
A30/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 111
H02/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-11
15-31
22-23
19-18
23-26
30-22
28-21
26-27
29-15
30-28
28-38
21-33
26-19
33-29
19-19
26-22
25-28
22-25
35-28
27-28
28-25
31-29
26-34
28-28
34-28
43-17
26-18
22-28
27-32
29-24
27-29
30-17
22-25
16-26
24-36
26-23
36-22
29-34
26-22
32-34
210.6Avg total
108.2Scored
102.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)117.9112.6230.5+5.263%
Season at home (46)118.7110.9229.7+7.872%
Season away (45)117.0114.3231.3+2.653%
Last 10 (10)108.2102.4210.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)112.4106.2218.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.5106.3215.8+3.262%
vs Weaker (14)123.1115.1238.1+8.079%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H11/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H14/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A16/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A21/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A24/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
45-77
45
77
-32
A26/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H28/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A02/07
NBA
107.9Avg total
50.6Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.656.5111.1-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.454.7112.1+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)51.458.6110.0-7.136%-
Last 10 (10)50.657.3107.9-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)52.459.0111.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.957.9108.8-7.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.756.9112.6-1.250%-
vs Weaker (3)59.050.0109.0+9.067%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H10/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H13/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A16/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H18/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A20/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A30/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/07
NBA
105.4Avg total
55.8Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.854.0112.8+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.152.3114.3+9.893%-
Last 30 away (15)55.555.7111.3-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)55.849.6105.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)59.052.4111.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.651.5107.1+4.169%-
vs Weaker (14)62.556.9119.4+5.671%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.8
52.5%
52.8%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.4
31.7%
36.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.816.6
76.1%
77.7%16.6
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.830.8
56.2%
52.8%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.410.1
29.4%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.0
69.1%
77.7%13.0
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jul 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWLLWWLWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWWLWW
#10
League position
#5
-4.1
Net rating
+1.3
106.4
Offensive rating
106.7
110.5
Defensive rating
105.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
11.6%
Turnover %
12.4%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.7%
3-point %
29.4%
50.0%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 106.7Defence110.5 · 105.4Shooting50.6% · 51.5%3-point %31.7% · 29.4%Ball care11.6% · 12.4%Off. rebounds21.5% · 24.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/21AMilwaukee Bucks112-123
30/06/21HMilwaukee Bucks110-88
28/06/21HMilwaukee Bucks102-113
26/06/21AMilwaukee Bucks91-125
24/06/21AMilwaukee Bucks116-113
21/06/21APhiladelphia 76ers103-96
18/06/21HPhiladelphia 76ers99-104
16/06/21APhiladelphia 76ers109-106
14/06/21HPhiladelphia 76ers103-100
11/06/21HPhiladelphia 76ers111-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/21HAtlanta Hawks123-112
30/06/21AAtlanta Hawks88-110
28/06/21AAtlanta Hawks113-102
26/06/21HAtlanta Hawks125-91
24/06/21HAtlanta Hawks113-116
20/06/21ABrooklyn Nets115-111 OT
18/06/21HBrooklyn Nets104-89
16/06/21ABrooklyn Nets108-114
13/06/21HBrooklyn Nets107-96
10/06/21HBrooklyn Nets86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWWWLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games934548
Win %57%67%48%
Points / game112.3113.9110.8
Allowed / game110.8108.3113.2
Point differential+1.5+5.6-2.5
Avg total223.1222.2224.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (23)38% (8)73% (15)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeWWLWW72%
AwayLLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914645
Win %63%72%53%
Points / game117.9118.7117.0
Allowed / game112.6110.9114.3
Point differential+5.2+7.8+2.6
Avg total230.5229.7231.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)80% (10)40% (10)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz86612571%116.5108.3+8.3
2 Phoenix Suns92632968%113.7108.3+5.3
3 Philadelphia 76ers86582867%113.9108.0+5.9
4 Brooklyn Nets86572966%117.7112.7+5.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks91573463%117.9112.6+5.2
6 Denver Nuggets85533262%115.2110.9+4.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers94573761%113.0108.0+5.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers83493459%108.7106.2+2.4
9 Dallas Mavericks82473557%112.3110.4+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks93534057%112.3110.8+1.5
11 New York Knicks81453656%106.1103.9+2.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers82453755%115.9115.0+0.8
13 Golden State Warriors77413653%113.4112.4+1.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies83443953%113.5112.5+1.0
15 Miami Heat78413753%107.5108.6-1.2
16 Boston Celtics80384248%112.2111.8+0.4
17 Indiana Pacers77354245%115.3115.6-0.3
18 Washington Wizards82374545%115.7118.2-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls76344245%110.6111.2-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans74334145%114.8114.6+0.2
21 Charlotte Hornets77344344%109.7112.0-2.3
22 San Antonio Spurs76334343%110.6112.9-2.3
23 Sacramento Kings76334343%113.6117.3-3.7
24 Toronto Raptors75294639%111.2111.6-0.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves75245132%112.1117.7-5.6
26 Cleveland Cavaliers76245232%103.6112.0-8.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75235231%105.2115.5-10.3
28 Orlando Magic76235330%104.6113.5-8.9
29 Detroit Pistons76225429%105.9110.1-4.1
30 Houston Rockets76205626%109.1116.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks24192935107
Milwaukee Bucks28194427118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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