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Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 113-122
28-33 17-26 29-30 39-33
Position#21
Record34-39
FormLWWWW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game120.5
vs
Position#8
Record45-26
FormLWWLL
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game116.7
USANBA· State Farm Arena (Atlanta)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks
31 Dec 2026
ATL v MIL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ATL122
MIL99
19 Jan 2026
ATL110
MIL112
04 Mar 2025
ATL121
MIL127
07 Feb 2025
ATL115
MIL110
30 Mar 2024
ATL113
MIL122
11 Jan 2023
ATL105
MIL114
07 Nov 2022
ATL117
MIL98
17 Jan 2022
ATL121
MIL114
14 Nov 2021
ATL120
MIL100
03 Jul 2021
ATL107
MIL118
29 Jun 2021
ATL110
MIL88
27 Jun 2021
ATL102
MIL113
25 Apr 2021
ATL111
MIL104
15 Apr 2021
ATL109
MIL120
27 Dec 2019
ATL86
MIL112
20 Nov 2019
ATL127
MIL135
31 Mar 2019
ATL136
MIL135
13 Jan 2019
ATL114
MIL133
29 Oct 2017
ATL106
MIL117
15 Jan 2017
ATL111
MIL98
16 Nov 2016
ATL107
MIL100
25 Mar 2016
ATL101
MIL90
20 Feb 2016
ATL109
MIL117
30 Mar 2015
ATL101
MIL88
26 Dec 2014
ATL77
MIL107
13 Mar 2014
ATL102
MIL97
12 Apr 2013
ATL109
MIL104
20 Mar 2013
ATL98
MIL90
02 Mar 2012
ATL99
MIL94
15 Mar 2011
ATL110
MIL85
10 Nov 2010
ATL91
MIL108
02 May 2010
ATL95
MIL74
28 Apr 2010
ATL87
MIL91
20 Apr 2010
ATL96
MIL86
17 Apr 2010
ATL102
MIL92
28 Feb 2010
ATL106
MIL102
23 Jan 2009
ATL117
MIL87
26 Nov 2008
ATL102
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
103-116
103
116
-13
93avg 109
H10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
102-106
102
106
-4
86avg 109
A14/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
122-124
122
124
-2
114avg 109
A16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
110-93
110
93
+17
112avg 109
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
105-136
105
136
-31
95avg 109
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-128
115
128
-13
102avg 109
A22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
132-91
132
91
+41
138avg 109
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
120-118
120
118
+2
118avg 109
H25/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
120-106
120
106
+14
113avg 109
H27/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
123-122 OT
123
122
+1
112avg 109
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
22-27
23-27
38-36
24-17
28-30
23-35
27-24
28-34
34-27
34-37
26-26
31-29
30-15
27-18
22-31
28-38
31-35
27-38
19-25
37-30
23-35
33-31
22-32
30-28
36-20
33-26
33-17
22-44
34-30
34-22
30-22
26-29
39-29
35-28
20-20
28-29
31-34
30-27
23-22
229.2Avg total
115.2Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)119.2120.5239.8-1.347%
Season at home (37)122.7121.2243.9+1.554%
Season away (36)115.7119.8235.5-4.139%
Last 10 (10)115.2114.0229.2+1.250%
Last 5 (5)122.0113.0235.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)122.1121.4243.5+0.657%
vs Similar (9)116.4118.6235.0-2.144%
vs Weaker (7)114.1109.3223.4+4.957%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
122-123
122
123
-1
115avg 112
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-117
124
117
+7
118avg 112
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
94-129
94
129
-35
84avg 112
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
114-105
114
105
+9
116avg 112
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
140-129
140
129
+11
137avg 112
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
119-122
119
122
-3
112avg 112
A20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
115-108
115
108
+7
107avg 112
H22/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
118-93
118
93
+25
123avg 112
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
124-128 OT
124
128
-4
114avg 112
H26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
100-107
100
107
-7
92avg 112
A29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
33-40
27-29
32-27
29-33
30-29
32-23
33-32
30-38
26-37
22-20
16-34
24-29
29-32
27-22
34-22
39-36
43-24
27-34
31-35
28-33
28-36
27-32
36-21
26-19
34-25
21-25
34-39
25-22
23-25
34-17
36-29
32-16
26-26
30-32
13-27
25-26
20-35
28-24
27-22
233.1Avg total
117.0Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)120.0116.7236.6+3.363%
Season at home (35)122.3115.2237.6+7.180%
Season away (36)117.7118.1235.8-0.447%
Last 10 (10)117.0116.1233.1+0.950%
Last 5 (5)115.2111.6226.8+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)118.5107.5226.0+11.050%
vs Similar (21)113.7114.6228.3-0.952%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)114.7104.4219.1+10.357%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A14/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H25/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H27/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H28/03
NBA
116.8Avg total
58.2Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.3118.1+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.958.2118.1+1.641%-
Last 30 away (13)59.758.4118.1+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)58.258.6116.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)61.261.6122.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)61.061.1122.1-0.129%-
vs Similar (9)59.456.4115.9+3.067%-
vs Weaker (7)57.955.1113.0+2.743%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A29/03
NBA
116.8Avg total
58.0Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.955.8114.7+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.451.2110.6+8.171%-
Last 30 away (16)58.459.9118.3-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)58.058.8116.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)53.452.6106.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.058.0110.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (21)58.258.2116.5+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)62.748.0110.7+14.771%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.327.3
53.2%
54.4%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.715.8
39.8%
36.3%47.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.2
75.4%
78.2%13.2
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.128.0
55.9%
54.4%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.515.3
38.7%
36.3%45.9
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
78.2%15.1
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WWWWLLWLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWLWWLWL
#21
League position
#8
+1.2
Net rating
+0.9
117.6
Offensive rating
116.1
116.4
Defensive rating
115.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
56.9%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
11.5%
Turnover %
11.7%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.8%
3-point %
38.7%
66.6%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 116.1Defence116.4 · 115.2Shooting56.0% · 56.9%3-point %39.8% · 38.7%Ball care11.5% · 11.7%Off. rebounds26.5% · 21.3%Free throws0.19 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HBoston Celtics123-122 OT
27/03/24HPortland Trail Blazers120-106
25/03/24HBoston Celtics120-118
23/03/24HCharlotte Hornets132-91
22/03/24APhoenix Suns115-128
19/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers105-136
18/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers110-93
16/03/24AUtah Jazz122-124
14/03/24APortland Trail Blazers102-106
10/03/24HNew Orleans Pelicans103-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24ANew Orleans Pelicans100-107
26/03/24HLos Angeles Lakers124-128 OT
24/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder118-93
22/03/24HBrooklyn Nets115-108
20/03/24ABoston Celtics119-122
17/03/24HPhoenix Suns140-129
15/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-105
13/03/24ASacramento Kings94-129
10/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-117
09/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers122-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayLLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %47%54%39%
Points / game119.2122.7115.7
Allowed / game120.5121.2119.8
Point differential-1.3+1.5-4.1
Avg total239.8243.9235.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)50% (12)57% (7)
Overtime %7%11%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %63%80%47%
Points / game120.0122.3117.7
Allowed / game116.7115.2118.1
Point differential+3.3+7.1-0.4
Avg total236.6237.6235.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%37%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)88% (8)30% (10)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics73581579%121.0109.3+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder73512270%120.5113.0+7.5
3 Minnesota Timberwolves73512270%113.0106.2+6.8
4 Denver Nuggets74512369%114.4109.9+4.4
5 Milwaukee Bucks71452663%120.0116.7+3.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers73462763%116.1112.6+3.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans72442861%115.4109.9+5.6
8 New York Knicks72442861%112.5107.3+5.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers74452961%112.7109.4+3.3
10 Dallas Mavericks73442960%118.6116.4+2.2
11 Phoenix Suns73433059%116.9114.2+2.7
12 Sacramento Kings72423058%117.1116.0+1.1
13 Orlando Magic74433158%110.5108.3+2.3
14 Indiana Pacers73403355%122.7120.7+2.0
15 Miami Heat73403355%109.8108.5+1.2
16 Los Angeles Lakers72393354%117.7118.3-0.6
17 Golden State Warriors73393453%118.0115.9+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers74393553%114.1112.1+2.0
19 Houston Rockets73383552%114.3112.4+1.9
20 Chicago Bulls74353947%112.1113.7-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks73343947%119.2120.5-1.3
22 Brooklyn Nets74294539%111.2113.5-2.2
23 Utah Jazz74294539%116.3120.5-4.2
24 Memphis Grizzlies74245032%105.9113.2-7.3
25 Toronto Raptors73235032%112.6118.1-5.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers74195526%107.2116.2-9.0
27 Charlotte Hornets73185525%106.2116.7-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs74185624%112.2119.3-7.1
29 Washington Wizards74146019%113.4123.0-9.6
30 Detroit Pistons74136118%110.6119.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks28172939113
Milwaukee Bucks33263033122
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