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Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 136-135 (OT)
26-43 42-28 30-26 24-25 14-13
Position#26
Record27-49
FormLWWWL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game118.6
vs
Position#1
Record57-19
FormLWWWW
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game108.1
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks
31 Dec 2026
ATL v MIL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ATL122
MIL99
19 Jan 2026
ATL110
MIL112
04 Mar 2025
ATL121
MIL127
07 Feb 2025
ATL115
MIL110
30 Mar 2024
ATL113
MIL122
11 Jan 2023
ATL105
MIL114
07 Nov 2022
ATL117
MIL98
17 Jan 2022
ATL121
MIL114
14 Nov 2021
ATL120
MIL100
03 Jul 2021
ATL107
MIL118
29 Jun 2021
ATL110
MIL88
27 Jun 2021
ATL102
MIL113
25 Apr 2021
ATL111
MIL104
15 Apr 2021
ATL109
MIL120
27 Dec 2019
ATL86
MIL112
20 Nov 2019
ATL127
MIL135
31 Mar 2019
ATL136
MIL135
13 Jan 2019
ATL114
MIL133
29 Oct 2017
ATL106
MIL117
15 Jan 2017
ATL111
MIL98
16 Nov 2016
ATL107
MIL100
25 Mar 2016
ATL101
MIL90
20 Feb 2016
ATL109
MIL117
30 Mar 2015
ATL101
MIL88
26 Dec 2014
ATL77
MIL107
13 Mar 2014
ATL102
MIL97
12 Apr 2013
ATL109
MIL104
20 Mar 2013
ATL98
MIL90
02 Mar 2012
ATL99
MIL94
15 Mar 2011
ATL110
MIL85
10 Nov 2010
ATL91
MIL108
02 May 2010
ATL95
MIL74
28 Apr 2010
ATL87
MIL91
20 Apr 2010
ATL96
MIL86
17 Apr 2010
ATL102
MIL92
28 Feb 2010
ATL106
MIL102
23 Jan 2009
ATL117
MIL87
26 Nov 2008
ATL102
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
112-114
112
114
-2
96avg 102
H10/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
128-116
128
116
+12
126avg 102
H10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
132-111
132
111
+21
130avg 102
H13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
120-129
120
129
-9
109avg 102
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 102
A17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
105-121
105
121
-16
no box
H19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
117-114
117
114
+3
no box
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
129-127
129
127
+2
116avg 102
H23/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
130-120
130
120
+10
no box
A27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
98-118
98
118
-20
82avg 102
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
24-30
30-27
35-31
26-33
39-33
29-20
34-30
33-28
39-32
38-30
22-21
36-43
26-31
30-31
28-24
25-28
21-28
22-19
23-26
25-25
22-28
25-31
33-37
29-28
36-26
21-37
31-23
34-41
40-27
26-32
29-27
42-34
28-23
32-30
28-33
30-38
21-22
25-30
22-28
233.3Avg total
116.2Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)112.7118.6231.3-5.936%
Season at home (38)114.4118.9233.3-4.639%
Season away (38)110.9118.3229.2-7.332%
Last 10 (10)116.2117.1233.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)115.8120.0235.8-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)114.4119.9234.3-5.532%
vs Similar (8)125.4119.6245.0+5.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
114-121
114
121
-7
105avg 110
A11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
130-113
130
113
+17
125avg 110
A13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
113-98
113
98
+15
112avg 110
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
125-130
125
130
-5
114avg 110
H17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-101
115
101
+14
no box
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-107
102
107
-5
no box
A20/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
116-87
116
87
+29
120avg 110
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
127-105
127
105
+22
124avg 110
H24/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
108-94
108
94
+14
no box
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
128-118
128
118
+10
125avg 110
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
28-29
23-33
31-34
23-23
33-25
45-41
29-24
19-37
23-25
37-18
34-18
28-31
25-31
29-27
43-41
35-24
26-34
38-26
16-17
24-30
23-28
34-23
21-26
33-32
30-19
31-18
22-18
32-27
36-28
22-22
37-28
20-25
38-28
32-18
18-23
28-25
39-21
33-31
28-41
225.2Avg total
117.8Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)117.5108.1225.6+9.575%
Season at home (38)119.9106.6226.5+13.284%
Season away (38)115.2109.5224.7+5.766%
Last 10 (10)117.8107.4225.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)116.2102.2218.4+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)105.092.0197.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)117.9109.4227.3+8.576%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H10/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H23/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H29/03
NBA
120.3Avg total
59.9Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.761.1121.8-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.661.2121.8-0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)60.860.8121.7+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)59.960.4120.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)61.458.4119.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)60.162.2122.3-2.041%-
vs Similar (8)62.258.0120.2+4.288%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A20/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H29/03
NBA
112.2Avg total
57.5Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.054.3112.3+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.556.1116.6+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)56.152.9108.9+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)57.554.7112.2+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)60.652.6113.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)56.047.0103.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)58.154.5112.6+3.666%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.128.8
52.3%
51.7%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.414.2
34.3%
35.4%42.6
🏀 Free throws19.715.8
80.2%
76.6%15.8
They take 96.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.6
55.1%
51.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.014.2
37.4%
35.4%42.6
🏀 Free throws23.417.8
76.1%
76.6%17.8
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWWWLLLWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWLWWL
#26
League position
#1
-0.7
Net rating
+10.1
108.3
Offensive rating
112.1
108.9
Defensive rating
102.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
12.9%
Turnover %
11.5%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
17.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
37.4%
62.3%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 112.1Defence108.9 · 102.0Shooting51.9% · 55.5%3-point %34.3% · 37.4%Ball care12.9% · 11.5%Off. rebounds24.4% · 17.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/19HPortland Trail Blazers98-118
27/03/19ANew Orleans Pelicans130-120
23/03/19HPhiladelphia 76ers129-127
21/03/19HUtah Jazz117-114
19/03/19HHouston Rockets105-121
17/03/19AOrlando Magic91-101
16/03/19ABoston Celtics120-129
13/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies132-111
10/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans128-116
10/03/19HBrooklyn Nets112-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/19HLos Angeles Clippers128-118
27/03/19HHouston Rockets108-94
24/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers127-105
23/03/19HMiami Heat116-87
20/03/19ACleveland Cavaliers102-107
20/03/19HLos Angeles Lakers115-101
17/03/19HPhiladelphia 76ers125-130
16/03/19AMiami Heat113-98
13/03/19ANew Orleans Pelicans130-113
11/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs114-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeWLWWL39%
AwayWLLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %36%39%32%
Points / game112.7114.4110.9
Allowed / game118.6118.9118.3
Point differential-5.9-4.6-7.3
Avg total231.3233.3229.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%11%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)67% (9)67% (9)
Overtime %4%5%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayLLWWL66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %75%84%66%
Points / game117.5119.9115.2
Allowed / game108.1106.6109.5
Point differential+9.5+13.2+5.7
Avg total225.6226.5224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%68%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)40% (5)40% (10)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks76571975%117.5108.1+9.5
2 Toronto Raptors77542370%114.3108.4+5.9
3 Golden State Warriors75512468%117.5111.8+5.7
4 Denver Nuggets75512468%111.1106.9+4.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers76492764%115.2112.1+3.2
6 Houston Rockets77492864%112.9109.4+3.6
7 Portland Trail Blazers76482863%114.3110.4+4.0
8 Utah Jazz76463061%111.2106.2+5.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers77463160%115.1113.6+1.4
10 Boston Celtics77453258%112.4108.1+4.3
11 Indiana Pacers77453258%107.9104.3+3.6
12 Oklahoma City Thunder76443258%114.1111.0+3.1
13 San Antonio Spurs76443258%111.9110.3+1.5
14 Detroit Pistons76393751%107.5107.5+0.0
15 Brooklyn Nets77393851%112.0112.3-0.3
16 Miami Heat76383850%105.6105.6+0.0
17 Orlando Magic77383949%106.4106.3+0.1
18 Sacramento Kings76373949%114.1114.8-0.8
19 Charlotte Hornets75354047%110.9111.9-1.0
20 Minnesota Timberwolves76344245%112.6113.8-1.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers76344245%111.9113.8-1.9
22 New Orleans Pelicans77324542%115.5116.3-0.8
23 Memphis Grizzlies76314541%103.0105.5-2.4
24 Washington Wizards77314640%114.4117.2-2.8
25 Dallas Mavericks75294639%108.5110.1-1.6
26 Atlanta Hawks76274936%112.7118.6-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls77215627%105.1113.4-8.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers77195825%104.5113.8-9.2
29 Phoenix Suns77176022%107.0116.3-9.3
30 New York Knicks76146218%104.8114.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Atlanta Hawks2642302414136
Milwaukee Bucks4328262513135
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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