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Forli vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 76-91
18-24 23-24 16-24 19-19
Position#2
Record29-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record22-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game77.7
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Semi-finals· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Trieste
21 May 2024
FORL76
TRI91
19 May 2024
FORL49
TRI72
04 Feb 2024
FORL92
TRI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 70
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 70
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 70
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 70
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 70
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 70
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
102avg 70
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
49-72
49
72
-23
31avg 70
H19/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
17-19
15-19
18-16
17-23
26-27
15-22
20-21
28-17
31-11
19-22
22-12
15-26
22-18
20-17
21-16
21-18
9-24
16-20
21-18
21-14
26-23
30-11
23-16
16-19
10-20
13-19
15-9
11-24
151.5Avg total
77.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.973.1152.0+5.878%
Season at home (19)78.669.9148.6+8.784%
Season away (18)79.276.4155.7+2.872%
Last 10 (10)77.873.7151.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)76.471.4147.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.873.2147.1+0.662%
vs Weaker (17)82.073.9155.9+8.188%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
83avg 75
H10/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
91-103
91
103
-12
78avg 75
A22/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
103-57
103
57
+46
99avg 75
H30/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
64avg 75
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 75
H14/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
94avg 75
A21/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 75
A05/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 75
A07/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
74-71
74
71
+3
67avg 75
H10/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
72-49
72
49
+23
70avg 75
A19/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
23-20
22-13
13-25
25-24
21-28
25-23
20-28
27-9
35-8
19-17
22-23
11-13
24-27
11-24
27-17
22-22
21-21
22-22
19-21
20-13
24-20
19-23
29-31
28-18
13-27
23-17
19-14
24-18
22-26
24-21
17-19
29-21
18-22
15-17
12-11
20-10
19-13
9-15
24-11
161.5Avg total
84.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)80.977.7158.6+3.261%
Season at home (17)82.174.8156.9+7.476%
Season away (19)79.880.3160.1-0.447%
Last 10 (10)84.577.0161.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)81.673.4155.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.978.9158.9+1.063%
vs Weaker (10)84.673.4158.0+11.270%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
ForliTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H19/05
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
39.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.676.0+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.733.872.5+4.980%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.479.5+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.277.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.076.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.836.772.5-0.846%-
vs Weaker (17)42.136.578.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H10/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
62-17
62
17
+45
H30/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A05/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A19/05
Serie A2
83.2Avg total
45.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.379.9+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.535.979.4+7.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.380.4-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)45.437.883.2+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.681.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.140.780.8-0.742%-
vs Weaker (10)45.433.478.8+12.070%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.7
53.0%
50.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.3
28.8%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
74.2%14.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.2
50.8%
50.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.8
36.6%
34.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.7
77.0%
74.2%15.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWLWWWLWWW
Trieste
WWWWWLLWLW
#2
League position
#5
+5.9
Net rating
+10.0
106.1
Offensive rating
114.5
100.2
Defensive rating
104.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.8%
3-point %
36.6%
57.4%
Assist %
59.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 114.5Defence100.2 · 104.5Shooting48.6% · 52.9%3-point %28.8% · 36.6%Ball care14.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.7% · 34.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Forli   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forli wins
2
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
19/05/24Forli v Trieste49-72
04/02/24Forli v Trieste92-64
26/11/23Trieste v Forli79-62
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24HTrieste49-72
12/05/24AVigevano95-69
10/05/24AVigevano67-76
07/05/24HVigevano84-69
05/05/24HVigevano87-71
21/04/24ALatina89-87
12/04/24HCantu67-77
07/04/24AVigevano85-80
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24AForli72-49
10/05/24HBasket Torino74-71
07/05/24ABasket Torino87-84
05/05/24ABasket Torino83-76
21/04/24ASebastiani Rieti92-87
14/04/24HUrania Milano84-86
06/04/24ATrapani73-81
30/03/24HVigevano103-57
22/03/24ABasket Torino91-103
10/03/24HTreviglio86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWLWWL84%
AwayWWWLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %78%84%72%
Points / game78.978.679.2
Allowed / game73.169.976.4
Point differential+5.8+8.7+2.8
Avg total152.0148.6155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %14%21%6%
Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLWWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %61%76%47%
Points / game80.982.179.8
Allowed / game77.774.880.3
Point differential+3.2+7.4-0.4
Avg total158.6156.9160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%41%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3834489%87.175.6+11.4
2 Forli3729878%78.973.1+5.8
3 Cantu37271073%83.977.6+6.3
4 Fortitudo Bologna36261072%76.370.6+5.7
5 Udine36241267%78.170.8+7.3
6 Sebastiani Rieti36231364%80.176.6+3.5
7 Trieste36221461%80.977.7+3.2
8 Verona38231561%77.975.5+2.4
9 Basket Torino35201557%82.981.1+1.8
10 Rimini35181751%78.175.8+2.3
11 Cividale36181850%76.075.7+0.3
12 Cento37181949%75.677.5-1.9
13 Assigeco Piacenza36171947%77.876.9+0.9
14 Urania Milano36162044%82.584.7-2.2
15 Nardo37152241%75.679.9-4.4
16 Treviglio35142140%77.279.3-2.1
17 JuVi Cremona35142140%80.784.6-3.9
18 Chiusi36132336%69.773.6-4.0
19 Vigevano36122433%76.681.6-4.9
20 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
21 Luiss Roma36112531%77.884.4-6.6
22 Agrigento37112630%75.281.4-6.3
23 Latina3792824%75.983.8-7.9
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1823161976
Trieste2424241991
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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