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Forli vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 49-72
10-20 13-19 15-9 11-24
Position#2
Record29-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record21-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game78.5
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Semi-finals· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Trieste
21 May 2024
FORL76
TRI91
19 May 2024
FORL49
TRI72
04 Feb 2024
FORL92
TRI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 71
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 71
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 71
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 71
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 71
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 71
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 71
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 71
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 71
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
102avg 71
A12/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
17-19
15-19
18-16
17-23
26-27
15-22
20-21
28-17
31-11
19-22
22-12
15-26
22-18
20-17
21-16
21-18
9-24
16-20
21-18
21-14
26-23
30-11
23-16
16-19
154.1Avg total
79.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.873.1152.9+6.681%
Season at home (18)80.369.8150.1+10.489%
Season away (18)79.276.4155.7+2.872%
Last 10 (10)79.874.3154.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)84.474.4158.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.973.3149.2+2.667%
vs Weaker (18)82.174.2156.3+7.989%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Latina
#23
L
67-70
67
70
-3
61avg 75
A03/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
83avg 75
H10/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
91-103
91
103
-12
78avg 75
A22/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
103-57
103
57
+46
99avg 75
H30/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
64avg 75
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 75
H14/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
94avg 75
A21/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 75
A05/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 75
A07/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
74-71
74
71
+3
67avg 75
H10/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
16-19
17-19
16-18
28-18
23-20
22-13
13-25
25-24
21-28
25-23
20-28
27-9
35-8
19-17
22-23
11-13
24-27
11-24
27-17
22-22
21-21
22-22
19-21
20-13
24-20
19-23
29-31
28-18
13-27
23-17
19-14
24-18
22-26
24-21
17-19
29-21
18-22
15-17
12-11
163.1Avg total
84.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.278.5159.7+2.760%
Season at home (17)82.174.8156.9+7.476%
Season away (18)80.382.0162.3-1.744%
Last 10 (10)84.079.1163.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)84.080.8164.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.880.6160.4-0.858%
vs Weaker (10)84.673.4158.0+11.270%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
ForliTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A12/05
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
41.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.676.6+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.033.773.7+6.387%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.479.5+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.879.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.936.573.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (18)42.136.678.7+5.572%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#23
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A03/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H10/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
62-17
62
17
+45
H30/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A05/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/05
Serie A2
83.7Avg total
44.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.780.2+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.535.979.4+7.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.280.9-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.938.883.7+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.841.581.3-1.737%-
vs Weaker (10)45.433.478.8+12.070%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.4
52.6%
50.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.8
30.8%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.913.8
77.1%
74.2%13.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.6
50.9%
50.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.3
34.8%
34.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.9
77.2%
74.2%15.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLWWWLWWWL
Trieste
WWWWLLWLWL
#2
League position
#5
+7.8
Net rating
+6.4
108.5
Offensive rating
113.9
100.6
Defensive rating
107.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.8%
3-point %
34.8%
55.3%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 113.9Defence100.6 · 107.4Shooting49.8% · 51.5%3-point %30.8% · 34.8%Ball care14.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.6% · 33.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forli wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Forli v Trieste92-64
26/11/23Trieste v Forli79-62
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24AVigevano95-69
10/05/24AVigevano67-76
07/05/24HVigevano84-69
05/05/24HVigevano87-71
21/04/24ALatina89-87
12/04/24HCantu67-77
07/04/24AVigevano85-80
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24HBasket Torino74-71
07/05/24ABasket Torino87-84
05/05/24ABasket Torino83-76
21/04/24ASebastiani Rieti92-87
14/04/24HUrania Milano84-86
06/04/24ATrapani73-81
30/03/24HVigevano103-57
22/03/24ABasket Torino91-103
10/03/24HTreviglio86-76
03/03/24ALatina67-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeLWLWW89%
AwayWWWLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %81%89%72%
Points / game79.880.379.2
Allowed / game73.169.876.4
Point differential+6.6+10.4+2.8
Avg total152.9150.1155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %14%22%6%
Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %60%76%44%
Points / game81.282.180.3
Allowed / game78.574.882.0
Point differential+2.7+7.4-1.7
Avg total159.7156.9162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3733489%86.975.8+11.2
2 Forli3629781%79.873.1+6.6
3 Cantu36261072%84.578.1+6.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna35251071%76.671.0+5.6
5 Udine35241169%78.671.0+7.6
6 Sebastiani Rieti35231266%80.776.9+3.8
7 Verona37231462%78.175.1+3.0
8 Trieste35211460%81.278.5+2.7
9 Basket Torino35201557%82.981.1+1.8
10 Rimini35181751%78.175.8+2.3
11 Cividale36181850%76.075.7+0.3
12 Cento36181850%75.677.4-1.8
13 Assigeco Piacenza36171947%77.876.9+0.9
14 Urania Milano36162044%82.584.7-2.2
15 Treviglio35142140%77.279.3-2.1
16 JuVi Cremona35142140%80.784.6-3.9
17 Nardo36142239%75.480.0-4.6
18 Chiusi35132237%69.173.1-4.0
19 Vigevano36122433%76.681.6-4.9
20 Luiss Roma35112431%78.184.9-6.7
21 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
22 Agrigento36102628%74.681.2-6.5
23 Latina3682822%76.284.3-8.1
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1013151149
Trieste201992472
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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