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Ball State vs Evansville Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#311
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#229
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ball State v Evansville
08 Dec 2026
BALL v EVAN
upcoming
21 Dec 2024
BALL80
EVAN43
10 Dec 2022
BALL88
EVAN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
79-43
79
43
+36
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Brescia
#393
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H10/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
15-32
42-37
36-40
29-38
21-34
40-27
36-29
43-14
25-22
36-39
42-26
43-43
22-37
33-30
37-32
29-37
45-26
44-38
17-51
48-39
140.2Avg total
70.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.872.5141.2-3.825%
Season at home (2)77.566.5144.0+11.050%
Season away (2)60.078.5138.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)70.969.3140.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)72.071.8143.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.777.7144.5-11.09%
vs Similar ◀ (13)66.371.2137.5-4.838%
vs Weaker (4)65.557.0122.5+8.575%
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
46-84
46
84
-38
H19/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
64-98
64
98
-34
A26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#355
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#297
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H08/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#139
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A11/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#76
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-38
23-46
36-37
39-51
29-44
35-54
34-42
46-37
27-38
40-43
36-35
23-33
34-42
46-28
30-35
39-34
20-27
48-46
45-43
33-43
149.8Avg total
69.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.076.2152.2-0.250%
Season at home (3)78.777.3156.0+1.367%
Season away (1)68.073.0141.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)69.580.3149.8-10.830%
Last 5 (5)72.674.6147.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)66.478.4144.8-11.917%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -4.3-4.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -4.3-4.3
Ball StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Brescia
#393
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H10/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
17-51
17
51
-34
A14/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
29.6Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.932.563.4-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.631.867.4+3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)26.833.159.9-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.962.5-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.467.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.138.768.8-8.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)28.531.159.5-2.631%-
vs Weaker (4)33.227.861.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H19/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#355
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#297
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#139
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A11/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#76
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
31.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.737.368.0-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.637.969.6-6.325%-
Last 30 away (14)29.636.566.1-6.921%-
Last 10 (10)31.438.169.5-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.469.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)30.637.167.7-6.524%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ball State wins
2
Evansville wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25Evansville v Ball State64-52
21/12/24Ball State v Evansville80-43
18/11/23Evansville v Ball State74-50
10/12/22Ball State v Evansville88-69
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASMU Mustangs65-90
10/11/26HBrescia89-64
07/11/26HIndiana State66-69
03/11/26AGeorgia Southern55-67
07/03/26HCentral Michigan85-69
04/03/26AWestern Michigan74-71 OT
28/02/26ANorthern Illinois79-43
25/02/26HUMass74-73 OT
20/02/26HAkron65-78
18/02/26AOhio57-69
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMiami (Ohio)78-86
11/11/26AMiddle Tenn. St.68-73
08/11/26HSouthern Indiana78-76 OT
03/11/26HIndiana-Kokomo80-70
06/03/26ANorthern Iowa59-68
01/03/26HSouthern Illinois67-81
28/02/26HValparaiso80-79
26/02/26ABelmont64-98
21/02/26AMurray State75-88
19/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)46-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game68.877.560.0
Allowed / game72.566.578.5
Point differential-3.8+11.0-18.5
Avg total141.2144.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game76.078.768.0
Allowed / game76.277.373.0
Point differential-0.2+1.3-5.0
Avg total152.2156.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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