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Bamberg vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-95
10-22 16-24 17-29 18-20
Position#53
Record0-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#37
Record0-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeChampions League· Brose Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bamberg winLost
-no forecast
Best odds1.52
Implied63.0%
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best odds2.60
Implied37.0%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BambergLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBamberg
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 80
H06/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
66-97
66
97
-31
55avg 80
A09/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
61avg 80
A20/09
BBL
Vechta
#13
W
108-67
108
67
+41
104avg 80
A24/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
96-103
96
103
-7
82avg 80
H26/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
94avg 80
A03/10
BBL
Peristeri
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
78avg 80
A06/10
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
60avg 80
H10/10
BBL
Murcia
#4
L
67-86
67
86
-19
53avg 80
H14/10
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
75avg 80
A23/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
16-17
24-18
21-13
17-22
9-30
15-18
25-27
13-30
15-25
22-28
22-25
25-15
32-13
25-20
26-19
21-27
29-24
24-23
22-29
22-11
24-28
25-19
27-25
22-18
20-35
22-17
23-23
22-19
10-26
9-21
33-19
17-15
15-19
23-32
12-20
25-24
12-15
23-25
20-6
168.8Avg total
82.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.089.5166.5-12.50%
Season at home (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
Season away (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)82.985.9168.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)81.283.4164.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.589.5168.0-11.033%
vs Similar (13)87.384.4171.7+2.962%
vs Weaker (11)89.873.6163.5+16.2100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
94avg 76
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 76
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
70avg 76
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
50avg 76
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 76
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 76
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 76
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 76
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 76
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 76
H24/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
25-26
26-30
26-24
19-18
26-13
13-24
26-20
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
172.9Avg total
83.9Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.085.0155.0-15.00%
Season at home (1)82.085.0167.0-3.00%
Season away (1)58.085.0143.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)83.989.0172.9-5.140%
Last 5 (5)84.088.8172.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.790.2173.9-6.633%
vs Similar (16)86.284.9171.1+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)85.082.0167.0+3.050%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Under 161.5
Over 161.5
no forecast
@ 1.35
Under 161.5
no forecast
@ 3.00
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.92
Over/Under 166.5 · main lineActual: Under 166.5
Over 166.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 166.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.58
Marathon Be
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.22
Marathon Be
2.13
1xBet
2.13
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 171.5Actual: Under 171.5
Over 171.5
no forecast
@ 2.08
Under 171.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.05
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Be
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72

📊 3. Team Totals

Bamberg total 82.5Actual: Bamberg under 82.5
Over 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.41
Under 82.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.39
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.60
Bamberg total 86.5 · main lineActual: Bamberg under 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.99
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Under
1xBet
1.99
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Bamberg total 90.5Actual: Bamberg under 90.5
Over 90.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 90.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.21
Under
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.45
Varese total 78.5Actual: Varese over 78.5
Over 78.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
Under 78.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.57
Varese total 83 · main lineActual: Varese over 83
Over 83
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 83
no forecast
@ 1.84
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
Varese total 86.5Actual: Varese over 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bamberg -7.5Actual: Varese +7.5
BAM -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
VAR +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
Best 5 market prices
BAM
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.35
Marathon Be
2.21
1xBet
2.21
VAR
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Spread Bamberg -4.5 · main lineActual: Varese +4.5
BAM -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
VAR +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
BAM
Pinnacle
1.93
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
VAR
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
Betano
1.85
Spread Bamberg -1.5Actual: Varese +1.5
BAM -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
VAR +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Best 5 market prices
BAM
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.53
VAR
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.30
Marathon Be
2.21
1xBet
2.21

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
BambergVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BambergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H06/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A09/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A20/09
BBL
Vechta
#13
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A24/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H26/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A03/10
BBL
Peristeri
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A06/10
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H10/10
BBL
Murcia
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/10
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/10
BBL
81.8Avg total
38.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85
Last 30 (30)41.642.283.8-0.643%37%
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.980.9+1.147%33%
Last 30 away (15)42.244.586.7-2.340%40%
Last 10 (10)38.643.281.8-4.620%20%
Last 5 (5)37.842.079.8-4.220%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.344.080.3-7.717%33%
vs Similar (13)40.542.883.3-2.223%31%
vs Weaker (11)45.740.586.2+5.382%45%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
82.9Avg total
41.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85
Last 30 (30)40.942.883.7-1.843%53%
Last 30 at home (15)42.842.084.8+0.853%53%
Last 30 away (15)39.143.582.6-4.533%53%
Last 10 (10)41.041.982.9-0.950%60%
Last 5 (5)40.841.682.4-0.860%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.044.886.8-2.833%75%
vs Similar (16)40.241.181.3-0.950%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)40.543.584.0-3.050%50%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Varese win
BAM win
no forecast
@ 1.58
VAR win
no forecast
@ 2.44
1st half Spread Bamberg -2.5 · main lineActual: Varese +2.5
BAM -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
VAR +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 85 · main lineActual: Under 85
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.94
Bamberg 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Bamberg under 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Varese 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Varese over 41
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half: BAM + total 84.5
BAM & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
BAM & under
no forecast
@ 3.10
1st half: Draw + total 84.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: VAR + total 84.5
VAR & over
no forecast
@ 4.75
VAR & under
no forecast
@ 4.50
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Under 86.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Spread Bamberg -3.5Actual: Varese +3.5
BAM -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.11
VAR +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Spread Bamberg -1.5Actual: Varese +1.5
BAM -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
VAR +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Bamberg -4.5Actual: Varese +4.5
BAM -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
VAR +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
1st half Spread Bamberg -0.5Actual: Varese +0.5
BAM -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
VAR +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Varese (regulation)
BAM
no forecast
@ 1.62
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
VAR
no forecast
@ 2.40

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BAM win + total 168.5
🔒 Pro
VAR win + total 168.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BAM leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (BAM:VAR): BAM wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bambergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bamberg: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.120.7
49.2%
53.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.8
36.7%
35.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.511.9
76.8%
72.1%11.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
35.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.616.6
70.3%
72.1%16.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bamberg
WLLLWLWLLW
Varese
WLLWLWLLWL
#53
League position
#37
-3.5
Net rating
-5.5
90.6
Offensive rating
90.4
94.1
Defensive rating
95.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.7%
3-point %
34.6%
58.7%
Assist %
68.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 90.4Defence94.1 · 95.9Shooting51.5% · 52.0%3-point %36.7% · 34.6%Ball care16.5% · 18.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Bamberg   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bamberg wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Bamberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AOldenburg80-70
14/10/26HMurcia67-86
10/10/26HSyntainics MBC74-85
06/10/26APeristeri87-93
03/10/26AAlba Berlin98-83
26/09/26HLudwigsburg96-103
24/09/26AVechta108-67
20/09/26ABayern72-108
09/06/26AAlba Berlin66-97
06/06/26HAlba Berlin81-67
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
04/10/26AScafati85-77
27/09/26HVirtus Bologna69-90
10/05/26AVirtus Bologna85-104
26/04/26HCremona84-75
19/04/26ACantu96-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bamberg
Champions League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.067.087.0
Allowed / game89.586.093.0
Point differential-12.5-19.0-6.0
Avg total166.5153.0180.0
Over 166.550%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Champions League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.082.058.0
Allowed / game85.085.085.0
Point differential-15.0-3.0-27.0
Avg total155.0167.0143.0
Over 166.550%100%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja220100%92.064.5+27.5
2 Murcia220100%85.562.5+23.0
3 Cholet220100%91.572.5+19.0
4 Alba Berlin220100%100.082.5+17.5
5 Antwerp Giants220100%101.084.5+16.5
6 Trabzonspor220100%96.583.0+13.5
7 Bilbao220100%94.582.5+12.0
8 Joventut Badalona220100%81.074.5+6.5
9 Peristeri220100%89.084.5+4.5
10 Dziki Warszawa43175%103.299.2+4.0
11 Breogan32167%113.792.3+21.3
12 CSM Oradea32167%94.787.3+7.3
13 Vechta64267%87.586.8+0.7
14 Promitheas32167%86.392.7-6.3
15 Salon Vilpas53260%88.687.0+1.6
16 Strasbourg21150%88.572.5+16.0
17 Spartak Subotica21150%90.075.0+15.0
18 Reggiana21150%78.570.5+8.0
19 Korfez Basket21150%92.086.5+5.5
20 VEF Riga21150%100.095.0+5.0
21 FC Porto21150%80.076.0+4.0
22 Szombathely21150%89.085.5+3.5
23 Bonn21150%76.075.0+1.0
24 Cibona21150%86.585.5+1.0
25 Benfica21150%87.588.0-0.5
26 Bakken Bears21150%80.584.0-3.5
27 Galatasaray21150%79.586.5-7.0
28 Batumi21150%81.589.0-7.5
29 Hapoel Holon21150%82.591.5-9.0
30 Rytas21150%73.583.0-9.5
31 Legia21150%78.588.5-10.0
32 Manchester Basketball21150%79.089.0-10.0
33 AEK Athens21150%85.598.0-12.5
34 Juventus21150%71.090.0-19.0
35 Nanterre31233%85.381.7+3.7
36 Sabah Baku31233%81.087.3-6.3
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%85.086.0-1.0
38 Wurzburg1010%73.074.0-1.0
39 Denizli Basket1010%98.0101.0-3.0
40 Levice1010%87.090.0-3.0
41 AEK Larnaca1010%87.095.0-8.0
42 Geneva Lions1010%78.087.0-9.0
43 Vienna Basket1010%82.092.0-10.0
44 Zwolle1010%78.089.0-11.0
45 Bnei Herzliya2020%74.586.0-11.5
46 Igokea2020%79.091.0-12.0
47 Kolossos Rhodes1010%79.091.0-12.0
48 Bamberg2020%77.089.5-12.5
49 Varese2020%70.085.0-15.0
50 Pardubice2020%64.080.5-16.5
51 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
52 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
53 Slavia Prague ERA NBK2020%86.0103.5-17.5
54 Rilski Sportist1010%80.0126.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bamberg1016171861
Varese2224292095
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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