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Baskonia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-91
22-18 18-22 30-26 27-25
Position#7
Record7-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#13
Record6-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game84.9
SpainACBRound 17· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Baskonia v Breogan
27 Dec 2026
BAS v BRE
upcoming
03 May 2026
BAS112
BRE84
19 Jan 2025
BAS97
BRE91
14 Apr 2024
BAS76
BRE74
30 Apr 2023
BAS97
BRE76
20 Mar 2022
BAS89
BRE84
09 Dec 2018
BAS100
BRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 80
H22/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
87avg 80
H27/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
83avg 80
A29/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
73-75
73
75
-2
63avg 80
H02/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 80
H06/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
114-66
114
66
+48
106avg 80
H08/01
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
74-76
74
76
-2
66avg 80
A10/01
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
67-96
67
96
-29
48avg 80
A12/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
101-102 OT
101
102
-1
102avg 80
H14/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 80
H17/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
17-22
16-27
32-21
28-26
13-31
23-15
30-9
11-24
20-19
24-18
27-19
16-16
12-26
24-18
21-15
18-28
21-19
17-16
26-26
22-12
33-11
26-21
33-22
20-14
18-23
16-22
20-17
13-22
12-23
22-29
20-22
17-16
25-24
27-27
20-22
22-13
26-25
22-19
21-20
169.8Avg total
86.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.187.5173.6-1.444%
Season at home (8)92.591.1183.6+1.438%
Season away (8)79.683.9163.5-4.250%
Last 10 (10)86.683.2169.8+3.440%
Last 5 (5)89.483.4172.8+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.892.2176.0-8.420%
vs Similar (15)80.180.7160.9-0.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.278.2165.4+9.080%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 65
H10/11
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 65
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 65
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 65
A08/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-106
69
106
-37
49avg 65
A15/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 65
H21/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 65
A28/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
73avg 65
H02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
101avg 65
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
83-80
83
80
+3
73avg 65
H12/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
11-19
18-20
21-14
17-15
9-23
17-22
20-19
16-23
24-25
22-21
12-23
21-19
18-22
20-19
23-13
8-19
21-24
19-27
21-36
16-24
26-8
17-27
18-15
19-22
21-21
19-28
18-15
17-23
19-19
16-22
27-24
26-23
29-20
26-16
20-34
22-16
14-22
21-22
26-20
162.3Avg total
78.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.884.9160.8-9.138%
Season at home (8)77.581.4158.9-3.938%
Season away (8)74.188.5162.6-14.438%
Last 10 (10)78.284.1162.3-5.950%
Last 5 (5)83.484.2167.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.281.5155.6-7.332%
vs Similar (10)76.480.7157.1-4.340%
vs Weaker (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
BaskoniaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/12
ACB
Paris
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H27/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A29/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H08/01
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A10/01
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A12/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H17/01
Euroleague
80.1Avg total
38.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.881.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.541.482.9+0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)38.342.480.6-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.480.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.678.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.044.583.5-5.530%-
vs Similar (15)40.742.182.8-1.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.035.675.6+4.440%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/11
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/01
ACB
78.5Avg total
38.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.875.5-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.175.0+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)35.540.576.0-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.478.5-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.681.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.839.175.8-2.342%-
vs Similar (10)37.038.675.6-1.630%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.6
55.7%
54.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.3
35.8%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.5
75.6%
76.4%15.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.5
49.9%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.7
34.1%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.314.3
78.1%
76.4%14.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLLLWLLWWL
Breogan
WWLLWLWLLW
#7
League position
#13
+6.2
Net rating
-7.9
115.9
Offensive rating
104.2
109.7
Defensive rating
112.2
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
34.1%
55.7%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 104.2Defence109.7 · 112.2Shooting54.9% · 50.4%3-point %35.8% · 34.1%Ball care16.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.8% · 26.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Baskonia v Breogan76-74
24/09/23Breogan v Baskonia79-88
30/04/23Baskonia v Breogan97-76
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
10/03/19Breogan v Baskonia72-90
09/12/18Baskonia v Breogan100-78
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HPanathinaikos91-77
14/01/25HOlympiacos101-102 OT
12/01/25ABasquet Girona67-96
10/01/25AVirtus Bologna74-76
08/01/25HLeyma Coruna114-66
06/01/25HReal Madrid82-89
02/01/25HCrvena zvezda73-75
29/12/24AManresa82-80
27/12/24HParis94-81
22/12/24HUnicaja88-90
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HLeyma Coruna83-80
04/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra101-93
02/01/25HManresa79-88
28/12/24AUnicaja77-86
21/12/24HBasquet Girona77-74
15/12/24AReal Madrid69-106
08/12/24AGran Canaria82-73
30/11/24HGranada74-92
16/11/24AMurcia63-79
10/11/24HBarcelona77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game86.192.579.6
Allowed / game87.591.183.9
Point differential-1.4+1.4-4.2
Avg total173.6183.6163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW38%
HomeWLWLW38%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game75.877.574.1
Allowed / game84.981.488.5
Point differential-9.1-3.9-14.4
Avg total160.8158.9162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja1714382%88.382.4+5.9
2 Valencia1713476%96.686.6+10.1
3 Real Madrid1612475%87.377.5+9.8
4 Tenerife1712571%88.283.3+4.9
5 Joventut Badalona1711665%84.281.4+2.8
6 Manresa1710759%85.281.0+4.2
7 Gran Canaria1710759%83.081.4+1.6
8 Barcelona168850%88.385.1+3.2
9 Basket Zaragoza178947%91.189.6+1.4
10 Murcia178947%80.481.9-1.6
11 Baskonia167944%86.187.5-1.4
12 Bilbao1661038%81.882.7-0.9
13 Breogan1661038%75.884.9-9.1
14 Forca Lleida1761135%83.987.4-3.4
15 MoraBanc Andorra1651131%86.690.6-3.9
16 Granada1751229%79.984.9-5.0
17 Basquet Girona1751229%79.288.5-9.3
18 Leyma Coruna1741324%83.292.5-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2218302797
Breogan1822262591
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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