PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Barcelona vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-70
25-16 12-17 17-19 20-18
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#14
Record5-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2023
Meetings · Barcelona v Valencia
30 Oct 2026
BAR98
VAL94
11 Oct 2026
BAR89
VAL86
24 Jun 2026
BAR84
VAL108
22 Jun 2026
BAR80
VAL88
31 May 2026
BAR77
VAL102
10 Oct 2025
BAR108
VAL102
17 Nov 2024
BAR102
VAL99
04 Feb 2024
BAR76
VAL79
17 Nov 2023
BAR74
VAL70
29 May 2023
BAR84
VAL74
14 Apr 2023
BAR85
VAL71
05 Feb 2023
BAR81
VAL75
14 Nov 2021
BAR79
VAL87
11 Sep 2021
BAR87
VAL68
07 Jan 2021
BAR89
VAL72
01 Dec 2020
BAR90
VAL100
13 Feb 2020
BAR78
VAL82
10 May 2019
BAR72
VAL78
14 Feb 2019
BAR86
VAL79
19 Nov 2017
BAR79
VAL74
17 Nov 2017
BAR89
VAL71
25 May 2017
BAR91
VAL79
18 Feb 2017
BAR67
VAL76
27 Dec 2016
BAR94
VAL82
24 Jan 2016
BAR91
VAL94
19 Feb 2015
BAR85
VAL80
16 Nov 2014
BAR76
VAL57
12 Jun 2014
BAR63
VAL81
10 Jun 2014
BAR70
VAL74
08 Feb 2014
BAR89
VAL81
13 Oct 2013
BAR76
VAL75
01 Apr 2013
BAR94
VAL62
10 Feb 2013
BAR85
VAL69
22 Sep 2012
BAR77
VAL63
27 May 2012
BAR76
VAL81
24 May 2012
BAR84
VAL57
01 Apr 2012
BAR76
VAL72
06 Feb 2011
BAR85
VAL67
14 Oct 2009
BAR87
VAL62
17 May 2009
BAR68
VAL66
11 Oct 2008
BAR74
VAL58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
92avg 79
A17/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
98-59
98
59
+39
98avg 79
H20/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
77avg 79
H22/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
64-65
64
65
-1
54avg 79
A26/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
68-71
68
71
-3
62avg 79
A29/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
67avg 79
H03/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 79
A05/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
H10/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
99avg 79
H12/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
71-94
71
94
-23
58avg 79
A15/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
21-18
25-26
23-23
27-11
16-16
27-13
28-19
21-19
26-20
22-18
22-25
19-12
11-16
11-23
23-14
19-18
14-27
16-13
19-13
21-20
24-13
26-14
9-25
21-19
18-12
19-20
21-12
21-18
26-25
18-19
21-19
21-19
19-16
22-23
32-25
18-26
11-29
24-15
18-24
157.6Avg total
82.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.474.5156.9+7.975%
Season at home (4)88.871.5160.2+17.2100%
Season away (4)76.077.5153.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)82.375.3157.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)82.078.6160.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.575.5147.0-4.00%
vs Similar (17)83.578.8162.2+4.776%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.674.2160.8+12.490%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
75avg 73
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 73
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 73
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 73
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 73
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 73
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
52-83
52
83
-31
44avg 73
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 73
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 73
H14/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
15-12
17-15
25-22
15-18
25-20
13-19
20-20
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
20-12
32-18
20-23
15-19
18-19
27-14
13-16
13-19
15-14
26-25
15-15
23-17
15-21
25-15
15-24
21-20
12-23
19-21
8-20
13-19
22-23
15-20
25-15
14-11
26-24
23-19
13-20
11-13
148.7Avg total
74.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.273.0146.2+0.262%
Season at home (5)74.870.4145.2+4.480%
Season away (3)70.777.3148.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)74.674.1148.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)71.275.8147.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.776.9149.6-4.244%
vs Similar (12)79.279.5158.8-0.258%
vs Weaker (9)80.476.7157.1+3.867%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
BarcelonaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H20/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H22/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A26/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A05/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A15/11
Euroleague
76.7Avg total
39.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.376.9+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.537.680.1+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)36.336.973.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.076.7+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.479.4+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.532.564.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (17)40.538.779.2+1.859%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.735.375.0+4.480%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H14/11
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
40.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.678.2+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.538.978.5+0.659%-
Last 30 away (13)39.738.277.9+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.378.2+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.939.377.2-1.444%-
vs Similar (12)42.239.281.5+3.067%-
vs Weaker (9)37.837.174.9+0.744%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.7
50.3%
53.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.8
39.8%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.612.5
75.3%
77.4%12.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.7
48.6%
53.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.27.2
35.6%
36.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
77.4%12.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LWWWWLLWWW
Valencia
LWLLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#14
+9.7
Net rating
+1.0
112.5
Offensive rating
103.0
102.8
Defensive rating
102.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.8%
3-point %
35.6%
63.7%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 103.0Defence102.8 · 102.0Shooting53.9% · 50.2%3-point %39.8% · 35.6%Ball care16.0% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Barcelona   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Barcelona wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Valencia v Barcelona71-68
02/06/23Valencia v Barcelona64-87
29/05/23Barcelona v Valencia84-74
14/04/23Barcelona v Valencia85-71
05/02/23Barcelona v Valencia81-75
23/12/22Valencia v Barcelona84-83
30/10/22Valencia v Barcelona80-92
05/03/22Valencia v Barcelona86-76
14/11/21Barcelona v Valencia79-87
11/09/21Barcelona v Valencia87-68
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ABaskonia71-94
12/11/23HTenerife94-83
10/11/23HCrvena zvezda86-81
05/11/23ABreogan79-63
03/11/23HPanathinaikos80-72
29/10/23AValencia68-71
26/10/23AReal Madrid64-65
22/10/23HBilbao91-82
20/10/23HBayern98-59
17/10/23APartizan92-83
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HReal Madrid73-76
12/11/23HBasket Zaragoza76-69
09/11/23AOlimpia Milano52-83
05/11/23AJoventut Badalona76-80
02/11/23HAlba Berlin79-71
29/10/23HBarcelona71-68
27/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-72
22/10/23HManresa84-79
20/10/23AAnadolu Efes73-77
18/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.488.876.0
Allowed / game74.571.577.5
Point differential+7.9+17.2-1.5
Avg total156.9160.2153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game73.274.870.7
Allowed / game73.070.477.3
Point differential+0.2+4.4-6.7
Avg total146.2145.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%86.973.9+13.0
2 Barcelona86275%82.474.5+7.9
3 Virtus Bologna96367%83.381.1+2.2
4 Valencia85362%73.273.0+0.2
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv85362%83.884.5-0.8
6 Olympiacos95456%77.875.8+2.0
7 Panathinaikos95456%81.780.1+1.6
8 Monaco95456%78.477.7+0.8
9 Fenerbahce95456%79.078.7+0.3
10 Baskonia95456%82.282.7-0.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas94544%80.782.0-1.3
12 Anadolu Efes94544%78.886.1-7.3
13 Partizan83538%85.987.0-1.1
14 Crvena zvezda93633%81.678.3+3.2
15 Olimpia Milano93633%78.977.2+1.7
16 Bayern93633%75.379.3-4.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne92722%78.287.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin81712%76.884.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona2512172074
Valencia1617191870
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.