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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-79
21-26 24-14 20-23 21-16
Position#8
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#12
Record2-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· Segafredo Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
90-75
90
75
+15
89avg 81
A15/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 81
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 81
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
87avg 81
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 81
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 81
H03/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 81
A05/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-100
74
100
-26
68avg 81
A09/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 81
H11/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
16-23
28-19
21-16
27-11
17-15
23-25
20-25
26-15
18-18
18-22
23-24
18-20
27-15
19-15
16-16
21-18
18-24
26-21
22-21
23-22
23-6
21-20
21-27
20-18
21-27
28-17
24-19
23-21
14-25
15-25
31-22
27-26
10-27
14-15
23-32
23-16
22-19
27-12
19-30
166.4Avg total
85.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.080.1164.1+3.971%
Season at home (4)86.079.5165.5+6.575%
Season away (3)81.381.0162.3+0.367%
Last 10 (10)85.880.6166.4+5.280%
Last 5 (5)85.885.2171.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.678.1157.7+1.555%
vs Weaker (16)94.077.6171.6+16.494%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
65-53
65
53
+12
61avg 77
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
59avg 77
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 77
A22/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 77
A26/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 77
H29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
86avg 77
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
63avg 77
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
87-57
87
57
+30
83avg 77
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
83-52
83
52
+31
79avg 77
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 77
A12/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
12-15
13-9
21-12
25-19
17-23
19-25
10-21
22-19
19-12
13-24
25-20
18-12
19-23
24-22
21-28
17-27
28-15
19-23
18-25
32-25
20-25
20-25
18-23
18-13
19-22
11-17
18-20
15-8
21-20
28-11
23-18
23-12
21-19
20-8
19-13
20-21
16-20
16-21
16-15
152.0Avg total
77.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.076.1153.1+0.929%
Season at home (4)76.068.8144.8+7.250%
Season away (3)78.386.0164.3-7.70%
Last 10 (10)77.374.7152.0+2.640%
Last 5 (5)78.871.2150.0+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.674.3150.9+2.250%
vs Weaker (16)83.473.6157.0+9.969%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A05/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A09/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/11
Lega A
80.2Avg total
41.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.282.0+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.835.982.8+10.994%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.981.1-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.380.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.482.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.537.677.1+1.855%-
vs Weaker (16)47.438.485.9+9.081%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/11
Lega A
76.8Avg total
40.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.075.7+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.535.175.5+5.471%-
Last 30 away (13)38.737.376.0+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.776.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.078.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.037.875.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)41.334.475.8+6.975%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.1
58.3%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
77.4%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.2
52.9%
53.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.1%
77.4%13.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLLWWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
LWWLLLLWLW
#8
League position
#12
+7.6
Net rating
+4.3
115.3
Offensive rating
108.9
107.7
Defensive rating
104.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
34.9%
69.9%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 108.9Defence107.7 · 104.6Shooting56.8% · 52.7%3-point %36.5% · 34.9%Ball care18.9% · 19.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HTreviso91-77
09/11/23AReal Madrid74-100
05/11/23ACremona83-93
03/11/23HAnadolu Efes93-81
30/10/23ABasket Napoli88-75
27/10/23ALyon-Villeurbanne87-84
22/10/23HSassari80-66
20/10/23HCrvena zvezda85-79
18/10/23HAlba Berlin87-76
15/10/23ATrento90-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AScafati68-77
09/11/23HValencia83-52
05/11/23ABrindisi87-57
02/11/23HMonaco66-72
31/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-98
29/10/23HPesaro82-90
26/10/23AAlba Berlin82-85
22/10/23ATortona79-75
19/10/23AReal Madrid71-88
17/10/23HOlympiacos65-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game84.086.081.3
Allowed / game80.179.581.0
Point differential+3.9+6.5+0.3
Avg total164.1165.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game77.076.078.3
Allowed / game76.168.886.0
Point differential+0.9+7.2-7.7
Avg total153.1144.8164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%88.074.2+13.8
2 Barcelona76186%84.071.7+12.3
3 Fenerbahce75271%83.177.6+5.6
4 Virtus Bologna75271%84.080.1+3.9
5 Valencia75271%73.372.6+0.7
6 Monaco85362%79.176.0+3.1
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv74357%84.686.1-1.6
8 Olympiacos84450%76.574.9+1.6
9 Anadolu Efes84450%79.185.4-6.2
10 Partizan73443%86.086.0+0.0
11 Panathinaikos73443%81.782.0-0.3
12 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%83.084.6-1.6
13 Baskonia73443%79.784.6-4.9
14 Olimpia Milano72529%77.076.1+0.9
15 Crvena zvezda72529%80.680.1+0.4
16 Bayern72529%73.079.3-6.3
17 Alba Berlin71614%78.086.3-8.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne71614%78.689.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2124202186
Olimpia Milano2614231679
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