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Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 70-83
19-18 12-23 21-18 18-24
Position#12
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game76.6
Olimpia Milano
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#13
Record4-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11· Unipol Forum
European cup2023
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas
12 Nov 2026
MIL v ZAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
MIL82
ZAL86
17 Oct 2024
MIL82
ZAL85
30 Nov 2023
MIL70
ZAL83
13 Jan 2023
MIL61
ZAL66
28 Jan 2022
MIL65
ZAL58
20 Nov 2020
MIL98
ZAL92
24 Jan 2019
MIL80
ZAL70
09 Nov 2017
MIL62
ZAL94
29 Dec 2016
MIL70
ZAL78
24 Oct 2013
MIL82
ZAL75
07 Dec 2012
MIL65
ZAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
86avg 78
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
63avg 78
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
87-57
87
57
+30
83avg 78
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
83-52
83
52
+31
79avg 78
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 78
A12/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 78
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
96avg 78
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
98avg 78
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
88avg 78
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
79avg 78
H26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
20-25
20-25
18-23
18-13
19-22
11-17
18-20
15-8
21-20
28-11
23-18
23-12
21-19
20-8
19-13
20-21
16-20
16-21
16-15
26-21
14-24
23-20
16-21
19-18
24-21
20-22
29-15
24-16
20-12
30-18
21-26
20-19
18-20
25-17
30-15
28-19
25-20
10-29
18-18
158.1Avg total
83.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.376.6156.9+3.740%
Season at home (5)79.270.2149.4+9.060%
Season away (5)81.483.0164.4-1.620%
Last 10 (10)83.474.7158.1+8.750%
Last 5 (5)88.078.2166.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.974.8154.7+5.156%
vs Weaker (12)81.775.2156.9+6.458%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
69-63
69
63
+6
66avg 76
H29/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 76
H02/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 76
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
74avg 76
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 76
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 76
A15/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 76
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 76
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 76
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 76
H27/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
18-9
18-17
12-17
30-24
26-26
24-22
8-19
19-10
26-23
17-17
19-17
14-13
12-25
20-13
28-23
14-17
19-13
12-22
19-23
15-13
24-23
13-17
19-20
25-18
16-25
21-18
12-12
16-15
29-20
22-28
22-11
19-19
12-24
21-26
20-20
16-31
16-21
22-10
22-26
154.5Avg total
76.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.882.7162.5-2.940%
Season at home (4)78.281.2159.5-3.050%
Season away (6)80.883.7164.5-2.833%
Last 10 (10)76.677.9154.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)76.479.4155.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.179.6159.8+0.562%
vs Weaker (20)82.074.4156.4+7.670%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
Olimpia MilanoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H26/11
Lega A
79.8Avg total
42.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.776.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.135.876.9+5.276%-
Last 30 away (13)37.237.975.2-0.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.579.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.081.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.837.876.6+1.050%-
vs Weaker (12)40.635.175.7+5.575%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H02/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A15/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H27/11
LKL
77.6Avg total
38.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.680.4+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.241.082.2+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)40.538.478.9+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.977.6-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.879.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.441.077.4-4.625%-
vs Weaker (20)42.638.581.2+4.165%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.9
51.9%
53.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.9
41.3%
36.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.613.3
75.6%
77.4%13.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.0
54.1%
53.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.7
36.7%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.711.5
78.2%
77.4%11.5
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLLWWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWLLLWLW
#12
League position
#13
+9.6
Net rating
-2.2
114.0
Offensive rating
109.9
104.4
Defensive rating
112.1
56.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.3%
3-point %
36.7%
59.7%
Assist %
61.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 109.9Defence104.4 · 112.1Shooting56.2% · 54.5%3-point %41.3% · 36.7%Ball care17.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 27.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
13/01/23Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas61-66
18/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano71-62
08/02/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano70-74
28/01/22Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas65-58
05/03/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano64-69
20/11/20Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas98-92
24/01/19Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas80-70
29/11/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano83-78
20/03/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano77-65
09/11/17Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas62-94
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HPistoia81-86
24/11/23ACrvena zvezda93-71
19/11/23HVenezia95-72
16/11/23HAnadolu Efes92-76
14/11/23AVirtus Bologna79-86
12/11/23AScafati68-77
09/11/23HValencia83-52
05/11/23ABrindisi87-57
02/11/23HMonaco66-72
31/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-98
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23HNeptunas76-88
24/11/23AOlympiacos72-89
19/11/23HSiauliai89-74
17/11/23HBayern74-73
15/11/23APanathinaikos71-73
12/11/23ABC Wolves64-75
09/11/23AAnadolu Efes82-86 OT
05/11/23ARytas81-67
02/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-91
29/10/23HLietkabelis69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game80.379.281.4
Allowed / game76.670.283.0
Point differential+3.7+9.0-1.6
Avg total156.9149.4164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game79.878.280.8
Allowed / game82.781.283.7
Point differential-2.9-3.0-2.8
Avg total162.5159.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%90.276.0+14.2
2 Barcelona108280%82.575.6+6.9
3 Virtus Bologna107370%83.780.9+2.8
4 Monaco117464%78.977.4+1.5
5 Panathinaikos106460%82.579.4+3.1
6 Olympiacos116555%78.776.3+2.5
7 Fenerbahce116555%80.981.3-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv116555%84.786.2-1.5
9 Baskonia105550%81.582.1-0.6
10 Valencia105550%72.974.8-1.9
11 Anadolu Efes105550%80.986.9-6.0
12 Olimpia Milano104640%80.376.6+3.7
13 Partizan104640%87.087.0+0.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas104640%79.882.7-2.9
15 Bayern104640%77.981.4-3.5
16 Crvena zvezda103730%80.579.8+0.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne102820%80.488.4-8.0
18 Alba Berlin111109%76.787.9-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1912211870
Zalgiris Kaunas1823182483
← all games of the day
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