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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-96
15-19 17-21 18-25 24-31
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game72.9
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
72avg 80
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
108-100
108
100
+8
114avg 80
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-117
71
117
-46
64avg 80
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 80
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
87avg 80
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 80
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 80
A18/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 80
A22/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
92avg 80
H30/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
18-25
14-25
19-16
28-20
28-27
23-22
29-31
15-31
20-30
20-23
16-33
22-18
8-23
26-23
21-20
18-15
22-14
23-23
22-24
20-16
24-25
13-19
21-13
25-19
24-13
18-26
22-19
14-17
17-28
20-18
28-27
25-18
14-22
20-19
14-14
23-25
23-21
19-22
27-20
171.0Avg total
84.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.674.8161.3+11.892%
Season at home (5)87.273.6160.8+13.680%
Season away (7)86.175.6161.7+10.6100%
Last 10 (10)84.087.0171.0-3.060%
Last 5 (5)85.082.0167.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.488.9166.3-11.433%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.171.0147.1+5.157%
vs Weaker (13)85.574.3159.8+11.292%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
A01/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
A04/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
81-63
81
63
+18
74avg 71
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 71
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 71
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 71
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 71
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
101avg 71
H26/12
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 71
H29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
18-14
18-16
17-24
22-20
28-6
32-20
10-17
22-13
20-20
17-19
13-20
21-13
22-20
25-17
13-13
21-21
19-11
19-27
12-18
26-16
17-13
14-20
14-18
16-21
12-18
19-18
28-20
24-21
10-26
17-15
28-9
36-21
21-11
25-28
14-24
29-22
21-21
21-17
19-19
154.3Avg total
79.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.672.9156.5+10.783%
Season at home (6)85.773.5159.2+12.2100%
Season away (6)81.572.3153.8+9.267%
Last 10 (10)79.474.9154.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)82.275.6157.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.078.4145.4-11.414%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.174.1149.2+1.056%
vs Weaker (13)82.572.1154.5+10.485%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A18/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/12
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
41.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.479.4+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.137.078.1+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.280.5-2.041%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.483.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.882.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.645.783.2-8.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.632.372.9+8.3100%-
vs Weaker (13)42.839.982.8+2.954%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A01/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A04/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H26/12
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H29/12
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
41.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.976.2+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.036.176.1+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.537.976.4+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.276.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.080.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.939.376.1-2.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.638.075.6-0.444%-
vs Weaker (13)42.836.078.8+6.862%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.7
56.4%
51.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.7
38.0%
36.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.1%17.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.3
52.9%
51.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.6
38.5%
36.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.315.6
76.8%
76.1%15.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWLWWWLLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLWLWL
#2
League position
#1
+0.4
Net rating
+10.1
114.6
Offensive rating
113.7
114.2
Defensive rating
103.6
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.2%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.0%
3-point %
38.5%
68.0%
Assist %
64.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 113.7Defence114.2 · 103.6Shooting56.6% · 55.2%3-point %38.0% · 38.5%Ball care19.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HFenerbahce92-88
26/12/22APesaro87-82 OT
22/12/22ABaskonia79-90
18/12/22ABrescia89-77
16/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-73
14/12/22HAlba Berlin85-76
11/12/22HScafati77-84
09/12/22AOlympiacos71-117
04/12/22AVarese108-100
02/12/22ACrvena zvezda74-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HValencia90-79
26/12/22HVarese96-84
23/12/22HMonaco79-71
18/12/22ATrento75-77
15/12/22ACrvena zvezda71-67
13/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-77
11/12/22HReggiana81-63
08/12/22APanathinaikos77-90 OT
04/12/22ASassari92-63
01/12/22ABaskonia62-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %92%80%100%
Points / game86.687.286.1
Allowed / game74.873.675.6
Point differential+11.8+13.6+10.6
Avg total161.3160.8161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game83.685.781.5
Allowed / game72.973.572.3
Point differential+10.7+12.2+9.2
Avg total156.5159.2153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1211192%86.674.8+11.8
2 Olimpia Milano1210283%83.672.9+10.7
3 Tortona139469%81.775.5+6.2
4 Venezia137654%83.580.8+2.6
5 Pesaro137654%87.786.0+1.7
6 Varese137654%92.092.0+0.0
7 Trento137654%73.874.8-1.0
8 Brescia126650%85.583.2+2.2
9 Brindisi136746%78.481.3-2.9
10 Sassari125742%78.379.4-1.1
11 Scafati125742%77.279.7-2.5
12 Treviso135838%79.283.6-4.4
13 Basket Napoli124833%76.981.8-4.9
14 Trieste124833%79.787.7-8.0
15 Verona124833%79.787.9-8.2
16 Reggiana1331023%75.577.6-2.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1517182474
Olimpia Milano1921253196
← all games of the day
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