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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 96-84
36-21 21-11 25-28 14-24
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#4
Record7-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game91.9
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 71
H24/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 71
A27/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
A01/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
A04/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
81-63
81
63
+18
74avg 71
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 71
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 71
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 71
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 71
H23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
16-17
11-26
24-24
26-16
19-20
23-23
25-21
9-24
18-14
18-16
17-24
22-20
28-6
32-20
10-17
22-13
20-20
17-19
13-20
21-13
22-20
25-17
13-13
21-21
19-11
19-27
12-18
26-16
17-13
14-20
14-18
16-21
12-18
19-18
28-20
24-21
10-26
17-15
28-9
152.1Avg total
77.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.571.9154.4+10.582%
Season at home (5)83.671.4155.0+12.2100%
Season away (6)81.572.3153.8+9.267%
Last 10 (10)77.374.8152.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.471.0146.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.078.4145.4-11.414%
vs Similar (10)74.173.4147.5+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.371.1152.4+10.283%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 77
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 77
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 77
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
88avg 77
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
73avg 77
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-91
98
91
+7
88avg 77
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 77
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
88avg 77
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
18-17
24-20
15-28
27-22
24-24
17-18
17-21
22-18
21-16
24-22
20-25
24-23
17-23
26-19
20-20
31-33
28-15
17-20
25-25
20-16
27-23
26-30
20-21
34-30
25-19
19-21
20-21
20-28
27-28
22-23
31-29
27-27
17-32
30-23
19-19
26-16
21-22
25-21
16-29
186.7Avg total
93.7Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)93.191.9185.0+1.264%
Season at home (6)93.792.8186.5+0.867%
Season away (5)92.490.8183.2+1.660%
Last 10 (10)93.793.0186.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)97.697.8195.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)86.090.2176.2-4.242%
vs Similar (14)88.688.5177.1+0.157%
vs Weaker (4)95.594.0189.5+1.575%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.5-3.5
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H24/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A01/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A04/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
Euroleague
73.4Avg total
38.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.975.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.235.773.9+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.438.176.5+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.573.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.939.376.1-2.443%-
vs Similar (10)36.537.574.0-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.736.378.0+5.358%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/12
Lega A
93.7Avg total
48.2Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.744.489.1+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.286.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)46.545.692.1+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)48.245.593.7+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.848.297.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.745.288.8-1.558%-
vs Similar (14)44.742.787.4+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)47.848.095.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.915.5
50.2%
51.3%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.8
35.3%
36.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.113.3
77.8%
76.1%13.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.0
57.5%
51.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.7
35.0%
36.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.416.7
74.6%
76.1%16.7
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLWLWL
Varese
WLLWWWWWLL
#1
League position
#4
+1.3
Net rating
-0.2
107.3
Offensive rating
114.0
106.0
Defensive rating
114.3
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.3%
3-point %
35.0%
62.8%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 114.0Defence106.0 · 114.3Shooting51.4% · 55.1%3-point %35.3% · 35.0%Ball care17.3% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 24.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/22HMonaco79-71
18/12/22ATrento75-77
15/12/22ACrvena zvezda71-67
13/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-77
11/12/22HReggiana81-63
08/12/22APanathinaikos77-90 OT
04/12/22ASassari92-63
01/12/22ABaskonia62-78
27/11/22ATreviso93-80
24/11/22HFenerbahce72-82
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HTrieste104-99 OT
11/12/22APesaro93-101
04/12/22HVirtus Bologna100-108
27/11/22AVerona98-91
19/11/22HVenezia93-90
06/11/22AScafati101-93
30/10/22HTreviso87-85
22/10/22AReggiana87-81
16/10/22HTrento91-94 OT
08/10/22ABrescia83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game82.583.681.5
Allowed / game71.971.472.3
Point differential+10.5+12.2+9.2
Avg total154.4155.0153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game93.193.792.4
Allowed / game91.992.890.8
Point differential+1.2+0.8+1.6
Avg total185.0186.5183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1110191%86.574.1+12.5
2 Olimpia Milano119282%82.571.9+10.5
3 Tortona128467%81.174.5+6.6
4 Pesaro117464%89.385.1+4.2
5 Varese117464%93.191.9+1.2
6 Venezia127558%82.779.2+3.4
7 Trento127558%74.374.6-0.2
8 Brescia115645%85.683.8+1.8
9 Brindisi115645%79.183.1-4.0
10 Sassari125742%78.379.4-1.1
11 Scafati114736%77.480.5-3.1
12 Basket Napoli114736%77.282.0-4.8
13 Treviso124833%77.582.8-5.3
14 Trieste124833%79.787.7-8.0
15 Verona113827%79.689.2-9.5
16 Reggiana112918%73.577.2-3.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano3621251496
Varese2111282484
← all games of the day
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