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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-85
14-27 33-20 30-19 20-19
Position#17
Record8-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#13
Record9-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· Segafredo Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
64avg 79
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
69avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 79
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
51avg 79
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
80avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
91avg 79
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
86-76
86
76
+10
85avg 79
H22/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
85avg 79
H26/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
74-66
74
66
+8
69avg 79
A29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
14-15
16-20
17-16
26-17
13-27
15-12
25-22
20-20
28-15
32-22
12-20
24-21
18-15
15-14
17-29
11-21
24-14
14-23
14-16
24-19
16-18
23-15
23-16
15-23
31-22
24-25
19-20
18-21
23-17
25-15
20-23
25-23
16-27
19-27
34-20
25-22
19-17
11-13
19-14
157.2Avg total
80.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.383.1165.4-0.744%
Season at home (8)86.081.0167.0+5.075%
Season away (10)79.484.7164.1-5.320%
Last 10 (10)80.177.1157.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)85.879.4165.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.983.5164.4-2.630%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.182.4165.6+0.756%
vs Weaker (11)87.978.4166.3+9.591%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
102-88
102
88
+14
102avg 81
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 81
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
89avg 81
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 81
H11/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 81
H14/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 81
H16/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 81
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 81
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 81
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 81
H29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
27-23
25-14
23-26
20-23
22-26
12-21
24-18
26-23
26-25
16-25
26-17
21-26
33-18
26-15
16-30
21-11
14-24
23-14
16-14
23-21
27-18
16-21
23-22
11-19
21-21
23-16
17-31
29-22
25-25
15-23
25-19
20-31
29-25
22-16
21-27
27-12
16-19
29-19
19-24
173.1Avg total
88.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.885.0169.8-0.250%
Season at home (9)85.987.1173.0-1.256%
Season away (9)83.782.9166.6+0.844%
Last 10 (10)88.284.9173.1+3.370%
Last 5 (5)87.686.2173.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.587.5179.0+4.075%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.783.8165.5-2.138%
vs Weaker (13)87.378.0165.3+9.369%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A29/12
Lega A
79.6Avg total
40.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.781.9+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.538.682.1+4.877%-
Last 30 away (17)41.240.581.8+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.979.6+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.641.081.6-0.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.342.083.3-0.744%-
vs Weaker (11)44.436.681.0+7.791%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H11/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H16/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/12
Lega A
90.2Avg total
46.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.240.684.8+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.184.7+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)46.543.790.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.688.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.044.590.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.141.182.2+0.038%-
vs Weaker (13)45.140.585.6+4.562%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.9
53.0%
60.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.4
38.8%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.512.3
74.5%
78.2%12.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.5
51.5%
60.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.3
40.9%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
78.2%18.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLWLLWWL
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWWWWLW
#17
League position
#13
+4.5
Net rating
+5.0
110.4
Offensive rating
118.5
106.0
Defensive rating
113.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.8%
3-point %
40.9%
69.6%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 118.5Defence106.0 · 113.4Shooting55.3% · 55.9%3-point %38.8% · 40.9%Ball care19.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25ATrieste74-66
26/12/25HOlympiacos94-97
22/12/25HBrescia86-76
19/12/25ACrvena zvezda89-90
17/12/25APartizan86-68
14/12/25AOlimpia Milano63-74
12/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv74-79
08/12/25HTortona92-77
05/12/25HDubai79-78
25/11/25AFenerbahce64-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HCremona91-74
23/12/25ADubai92-99
20/12/25ACantu94-89
18/12/25HFenerbahce72-87
16/12/25HReal Madrid89-82
14/12/25HVirtus Bologna74-63
11/12/25HPanathinaikos96-89
07/12/25HTrento94-90
05/12/25ABaskonia78-88
26/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv102-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game82.386.079.4
Allowed / game83.181.084.7
Point differential-0.7+5.0-5.3
Avg total165.4167.0164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game84.885.983.7
Allowed / game85.087.182.9
Point differential-0.2-1.2+0.8
Avg total169.8173.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1913668%89.484.6+4.8
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1913668%88.183.3+4.7
3 Fenerbahce1812667%81.779.1+2.6
4 Monaco1912763%90.783.5+7.2
5 Panathinaikos1912763%88.485.6+2.8
6 Barcelona1912763%87.485.2+2.2
7 Olympiacos1811761%88.484.4+3.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%87.282.0+5.2
9 Crvena zvezda1911858%85.882.4+3.4
10 Real Madrid1810856%85.884.5+1.3
11 Olimpia Milano189950%84.885.0-0.2
12 Dubai189950%86.887.6-0.8
13 Virtus Bologna1881044%82.383.1-0.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1881044%90.391.4-1.1
15 Paris1961332%90.592.8-2.3
16 Baskonia1961332%87.992.0-4.1
17 Anadolu Efes1961332%80.585.7-5.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1961332%79.387.5-8.3
19 Partizan1961332%80.488.9-8.5
20 Bayern1851328%77.584.6-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1433302097
Olimpia Milano2720191985
← all games of the day
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