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Panathinaikos vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 74-87
20-15 23-23 15-23 16-26
Position#7
Record12-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#13
Record9-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano
27 Oct 2026
PAO80
MIL75
06 Jan 2026
PAO74
MIL87
17 Dec 2024
PAO103
MIL74
31 Jan 2024
PAO79
MIL62
08 Dec 2022
PAO90
MIL77
04 Mar 2022
PAO75
MIL76
01 Apr 2021
PAO86
MIL83
21 Dec 2018
PAO83
MIL86
15 Dec 2017
PAO80
MIL72
21 Mar 2017
PAO74
MIL61
07 Nov 2014
PAO90
MIL63
02 Jan 2014
PAO73
MIL57
23 Feb 2012
PAO58
MIL67
22 Dec 2010
PAO93
MIL62
03 Dec 2009
PAO80
MIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
110-66
110
66
+44
115avg 86
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 86
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
101-63
101
63
+38
107avg 86
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 86
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
82avg 86
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 86
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 86
A23/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
100avg 86
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 86
H02/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 86
H04/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
23-13
34-12
23-20
26-21
18-33
15-26
30-16
33-14
32-14
18-22
18-13
17-16
24-21
9-20
31-20
22-17
23-29
20-16
28-20
27-26
24-26
24-15
22-15
19-28
21-22
23-14
29-21
33-22
22-23
28-23
16-21
13-28
30-15
18-18
21-26
22-21
32-28
26-21
12-15
174.8Avg total
93.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.485.6173.9+2.863%
Season at home (9)91.284.6175.8+6.767%
Season away (10)85.886.5172.3-0.760%
Last 10 (10)93.681.2174.8+12.480%
Last 5 (5)92.485.6178.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.088.5172.5-4.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.587.6176.1+0.855%
vs Weaker (17)91.777.4169.1+14.494%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
89avg 80
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 80
H11/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 80
H14/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 80
H16/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 80
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 80
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 80
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 80
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 80
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
85-84
85
84
+1
75avg 80
H04/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
26-25
16-25
26-17
21-26
33-18
26-15
16-30
21-11
14-24
23-14
16-14
23-21
27-18
16-21
23-22
11-19
21-21
23-16
17-31
29-22
25-25
15-23
25-19
20-31
29-25
22-16
21-27
27-12
16-19
29-19
19-24
27-14
20-33
19-30
19-20
15-21
24-19
15-23
31-21
172.6Avg total
87.2Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.885.6170.4-0.847%
Season at home (9)85.987.1173.0-1.256%
Season away (10)83.884.3168.1-0.540%
Last 10 (10)87.285.4172.6+1.870%
Last 5 (5)89.488.6178.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.587.5179.0+4.075%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.285.1167.3-2.838%
vs Weaker (13)88.478.8167.2+9.677%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
PanathinaikosOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
65-28
65
28
+37
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H04/01
Basket League
92.9Avg total
49.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.189.5+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.643.991.5+3.850%-
Last 30 away (16)45.442.487.8+3.062%-
Last 10 (10)49.143.892.9+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)48.647.896.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.745.589.3-1.836%-
vs Weaker (17)48.341.589.8+6.871%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H11/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H16/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/01
Lega A
88.2Avg total
45.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.285.0+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.940.384.2+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)43.642.285.9+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)45.542.788.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.290.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.044.590.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.241.283.4+0.938%-
vs Weaker (13)44.740.284.8+4.562%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.4
57.6%
60.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.2
41.1%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.915.4
86.0%
78.2%15.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.4
50.7%
60.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.511.2
40.7%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.418.2
81.2%
78.2%18.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWWWWWLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLWWWW
#7
League position
#13
+16.6
Net rating
+3.5
126.5
Offensive rating
118.2
109.9
Defensive rating
114.6
59.2%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
41.1%
3-point %
40.7%
66.4%
Assist %
60.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence126.5 · 118.2Defence109.9 · 114.6Shooting59.2% · 55.3%3-point %41.1% · 40.7%Ball care14.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HAS Karditsas92-85
02/01/26HOlympiacos82-87
30/12/25AMaroussi99-89
23/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas92-85
20/12/25HIraklis97-82
18/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
16/12/25AFenerbahce81-77
13/12/25AAEK Athens101-63
11/12/25AOlimpia Milano89-96
07/12/25HPanionios110-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HUdine85-84
02/01/26AVirtus Bologna85-97
29/12/25HCremona91-74
23/12/25ADubai92-99
20/12/25ACantu94-89
18/12/25HFenerbahce72-87
16/12/25HReal Madrid89-82
14/12/25HVirtus Bologna74-63
11/12/25HPanathinaikos96-89
07/12/25HTrento94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game88.491.285.8
Allowed / game85.684.686.5
Point differential+2.8+6.7-0.7
Avg total173.9175.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game84.885.983.8
Allowed / game85.687.184.3
Point differential-0.8-1.2-0.5
Avg total170.4173.0168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2014670%87.982.2+5.8
2 Valencia2014670%90.284.8+5.4
3 Fenerbahce1913668%82.179.2+2.9
4 Monaco2013765%91.283.5+7.7
5 Panathinaikos1912763%88.485.6+2.8
6 Barcelona1912763%87.485.2+2.2
7 Real Madrid2012860%86.684.2+2.5
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%87.282.0+5.2
9 Olympiacos1911858%87.984.6+3.3
10 Crvena zvezda2011955%86.083.6+2.4
11 Virtus Bologna1991047%83.183.2-0.1
12 Olimpia Milano1991047%84.885.6-0.8
13 Dubai2091145%85.888.5-2.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1981142%89.391.6-2.3
15 Paris1961332%90.592.8-2.3
16 Baskonia1961332%87.992.0-4.1
17 Anadolu Efes1961332%80.585.7-5.2
18 Bayern1961332%78.483.8-5.4
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2061430%78.887.2-8.4
20 Partizan2061430%80.689.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2023151674
Olimpia Milano1523232687
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