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Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-97
22-21 17-15 28-30 15-31
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#2
Record0-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game105.0
SpainACBRound 2· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Valencia
04 Oct 2026
ZAR82
VAL97
26 May 2026
ZAR86
VAL98
01 Mar 2025
ZAR71
VAL115
21 Jan 2024
ZAR75
VAL85
26 Mar 2023
ZAR86
VAL75
02 Oct 2021
ZAR70
VAL76
11 Apr 2021
ZAR76
VAL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 79
H05/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
107-91
107
91
+16
100avg 79
H11/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 79
A18/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 79
A02/05
ACB
Granada
#18
L
74-85
74
85
-11
60avg 79
H09/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
68avg 79
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 79
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
75avg 79
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
95avg 79
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 79
A27/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
14-18
27-22
20-20
24-19
34-27
23-21
26-24
18-20
21-10
18-19
21-25
17-32
15-26
28-14
21-18
13-12
27-23
20-19
14-31
21-23
20-23
17-25
25-30
17-22
26-23
21-27
26-28
23-27
26-23
15-21
22-27
24-26
20-21
23-23
28-24
18-18
26-20
24-27
13-15
176.6Avg total
86.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.190.5176.6-4.440%
Last 5 (5)87.094.6181.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.698.2180.8-15.68%
vs Similar (15)88.788.5177.3+0.253%
vs Weaker (2)81.072.0153.0+9.050%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
82avg 92
H12/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
464avg 92
A14/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
112-113 OT
112
113
-1
100avg 92
H18/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
102-75
102
75
+27
103avg 92
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
84avg 92
A22/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
108-84
108
84
+24
101avg 92
A24/06
ACB
Besiktas
#11
W
96-94
96
94
+2
89avg 92
A25/09
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
L
100-105
100
105
-5
86avg 92
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
111-88
111
88
+23
101avg 92
H29/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-92
105
92
+13
104avg 92
A02/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
26-30
21-16
13-17
20-18
21-21
23-16
23-20
25-13
27-34
20-28
29-26
26-11
19-27
29-14
28-23
15-17
25-19
31-21
17-23
26-23
21-12
35-29
26-20
28-27
26-24
27-20
15-23
20-26
33-24
19-26
28-29
26-10
26-23
31-27
28-28
21-33
29-28
26-16
29-15
188.1Avg total
99.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.0105.0205.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)100.0105.0205.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)99.988.2188.1+11.780%
Last 5 (5)104.092.6196.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)90.085.8175.8+4.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)96.988.0184.8+8.977%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Basket ZaragozaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H05/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H11/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A18/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A02/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H09/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
ACB
87.4Avg total
42.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.684.6-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.641.684.2+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.845.285.0-5.525%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.587.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.289.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.048.088.0-8.08%-
vs Similar (15)43.040.783.7+2.360%-
vs Weaker (2)33.536.570.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H18/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A24/06
ACB
Besiktas
#11
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A25/09
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H29/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A02/10
Euroleague
92.3Avg total
49.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.242.189.3+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.041.888.8+5.256%-
Last 30 away (14)47.542.590.0+5.079%-
Last 10 (10)49.043.392.3+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)51.246.097.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)46.042.988.9+3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.741.889.5+5.973%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.9 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.2
54.6%
55.7%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
36.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.815.7
75.5%
75.7%15.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 141.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀
🏀🏀🏀114%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers-40.4 pts a game · -29% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers161.7 pts a game · 114% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.9 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.1-20.2
-48.0%
55.7%-40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.853.9
201.1%
36.4%161.7
🏀 Free throws47.420.2
42.6%
75.7%20.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
WWLLLLLWWL
Valencia
WWLWWWWLWW
#6
League position
#2
-4.9
Net rating
-23.5
96.4
Offensive rating
146.0
101.3
Defensive rating
169.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
88.0%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
112.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
10.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.69
32.1%
3-point %
201.1%
53.5%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 146.0Defence101.3 · 169.5Shooting52.2% · 88.0%3-point %32.1% · 201.1%Ball care15.6% · 10.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.69Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
9
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26ATenerife81-80
29/05/26ABreogan95-94
26/05/26HValencia86-98
24/05/26HMurcia90-100
16/05/26AManresa83-101
09/05/26HGranada74-85
02/05/26ABasquet Girona81-90
18/04/26AGran Canaria78-74
11/04/26HForca Lleida107-91
05/04/26HBarcelona86-92
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne105-92
29/09/26HBaskonia111-88
27/09/26HForca Lleida100-105
25/09/26ABesiktas96-94
24/06/26ABarcelona108-84
22/06/26ABarcelona88-80
20/06/26HBarcelona102-75
18/06/26HBarcelona112-113 OT
14/06/26AJoventut Badalona87-75
12/06/26HJoventut Badalona90-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential+1.0-+1.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game105.0105.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total205.0205.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona110100%119.0101.0+18.0
2 Basquet Girona110100%84.077.0+7.0
3 Breogan220100%105.599.5+6.0
4 Real Madrid220100%101.597.0+4.5
5 Basket Zaragoza110100%81.080.0+1.0
6 Baskonia110100%98.097.0+1.0
7 Bilbao21150%104.098.0+6.0
8 San Pablo Burgos21150%95.589.5+6.0
9 Tenerife21150%80.078.0+2.0
10 Obradoiro CAB21150%98.599.5-1.0
11 Forca Lleida21150%93.097.0-4.0
12 Leyma Coruna21150%102.5110.0-7.5
13 Unicaja2020%81.084.5-3.5
14 MoraBanc Andorra1010%85.090.0-5.0
15 Valencia1010%100.0105.0-5.0
16 Joventut Badalona1010%104.0110.0-6.0
17 Murcia1010%77.084.0-7.0
18 Manresa2020%93.5104.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2217281582
Valencia2115303197
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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