PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-75
24-22 14-14 20-19 28-20
Position#13
Record8-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#8
Record13-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game83.1
SpainACBRound 24
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Valencia
04 Oct 2026
ZAR82
VAL97
26 May 2026
ZAR86
VAL98
01 Mar 2025
ZAR71
VAL115
21 Jan 2024
ZAR75
VAL85
26 Mar 2023
ZAR86
VAL75
02 Oct 2021
ZAR70
VAL76
11 Apr 2021
ZAR76
VAL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H04/01
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
72-65
72
65
+7
67avg 67
A08/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
no box
H14/01
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
75avg 67
A22/01
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
H29/01
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A05/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
81avg 67
A11/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 67
H04/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 67
H11/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 67
A19/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-18
19-22
17-14
15-25
12-15
27-13
18-12
16-24
17-18
17-15
23-16
14-23
17-19
18-32
27-14
24-18
18-12
15-28
19-18
23-16
9-23
22-30
25-22
31-20
21-13
22-22
11-16
19-12
27-12
23-30
16-29
13-16
12-13
16-28
37-22
28-20
21-19
24-21
14-11
162.9Avg total
82.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.480.7159.2-2.335%
Season at home (11)80.381.9162.2-1.636%
Season away (12)76.879.7156.4-2.933%
Last 10 (10)82.280.7162.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.879.0161.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.385.5163.8-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.677.8155.4-0.236%
vs Weaker (3)79.070.0149.0+9.067%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
75avg 76
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
55avg 76
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 76
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 76
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 76
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 76
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 76
A24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
21-20
24-22
27-23
25-15
20-20
13-30
27-27
24-27
24-30
16-24
11-33
19-24
16-20
22-8
20-20
21-17
21-22
13-26
29-23
20-24
20-25
25-22
26-24
26-19
20-13
9-20
24-23
22-21
21-21
18-18
21-20
20-18
18-16
24-18
18-20
22-22
19-26
23-23
15-19
168.1Avg total
81.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.683.1167.7+1.457%
Season at home (11)86.280.9167.1+5.373%
Season away (12)83.185.2168.2-2.142%
Last 10 (10)81.786.4168.1-4.740%
Last 5 (5)82.282.4164.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.887.7170.5-4.938%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.584.5170.0+0.955%
vs Weaker (5)92.881.2174.0+11.6100%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
Basket ZaragozaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/01
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A08/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H14/01
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A22/01
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H29/01
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A11/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H04/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/03
ACB
74.1Avg total
38.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.073.6-2.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.136.772.8-0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)35.139.374.4-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.174.1+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.873.6+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.039.475.4-3.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.737.472.1-2.729%-
vs Weaker (3)38.334.372.7+4.033%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/03
Euroleague
83.3Avg total
41.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.283.2+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.779.7+2.373%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.686.7-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.082.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.541.883.4-0.354%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.241.985.1+1.355%-
vs Weaker (5)42.637.880.4+4.880%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.1
52.6%
52.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.1
33.0%
34.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.611.8
63.4%
73.9%11.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.9
52.2%
52.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.4
36.7%
34.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.913.6
80.5%
73.9%13.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
WLWWLWLLWL
Valencia
LWWWLLWLLL
#13
League position
#8
+1.1
Net rating
-5.5
100.7
Offensive rating
108.7
99.6
Defensive rating
114.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.0%
3-point %
36.7%
55.3%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 108.7Defence99.6 · 114.2Shooting51.5% · 53.5%3-point %33.0% · 36.7%Ball care20.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 24.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basket Zaragoza wins
5
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23ABreogan87-71
11/03/23HObradoiro CAB78-79
04/03/23HBarcelona85-83
11/02/23AFuenlabrada85-71
05/02/23ABaskonia79-91
29/01/23HReal Betis89-82 OT
22/01/23AValencia76-88
14/01/23HTenerife83-87 OT
08/01/23AManresa72-65
04/01/23HBreogan88-90 OT
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23AMonaco79-90
19/03/23HGranada80-72
16/03/23HFenerbahce82-80
12/03/23ABasquet Girona79-75
09/03/23AReal Madrid91-95
07/03/23HOlimpia Milano84-88
05/03/23HTenerife77-72
03/03/23ABaskonia75-114
24/02/23HOlympiacos85-92
16/02/23AReal Madrid85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW35%
HomeLLWWL36%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game78.480.376.8
Allowed / game80.781.979.7
Point differential-2.3-1.6-2.9
Avg total159.2162.2156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%9%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %17%27%8%
Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%73%42%
Points / game84.686.283.1
Allowed / game83.180.985.2
Point differential+1.4+5.3-2.1
Avg total167.7167.1168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2420483%88.376.1+12.2
2 Barcelona2420483%84.473.2+11.2
3 Baskonia2420483%91.281.8+9.5
4 Tenerife2317674%82.172.3+9.8
5 Unicaja2415962%85.977.5+8.4
6 Joventut Badalona2415962%81.677.8+3.8
7 Gran Canaria24141058%83.678.8+4.8
8 Valencia23131057%84.683.1+1.4
9 Breogan24121250%78.779.3-0.6
10 Obradoiro CAB24111346%77.881.2-3.4
11 Bilbao24101442%76.680.6-4.0
12 Murcia2491538%79.184.9-5.8
13 Basket Zaragoza2381535%78.480.7-2.3
14 Basquet Girona2481633%76.280.8-4.5
15 Granada2481633%77.786.5-8.8
16 Manresa2361726%82.190.4-8.3
17 Real Betis2451921%76.885.5-8.7
18 Fuenlabrada2432112%77.191.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2414202886
Valencia2214192075
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.