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Baskonia vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record3-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game100.4
SpainACBRound 14· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Baskonia v Breogan
27 Dec 2026
BAS v BRE
upcoming
03 May 2026
BAS112
BRE84
19 Jan 2025
BAS97
BRE91
14 Apr 2024
BAS76
BRE74
30 Apr 2023
BAS97
BRE76
20 Mar 2022
BAS89
BRE84
09 Dec 2018
BAS100
BRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
118-78
118
78
+40
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
86-104
86
104
-18
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
34-16
32-19
32-17
20-28
31-21
20-24
13-19
24-21
21-18
23-17
25-17
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
171.9Avg total
84.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.282.8175.0+9.460%
Season at home (2)105.575.5181.0+30.0100%
Season away (3)83.387.7171.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)84.887.1171.9-2.320%
Last 5 (5)79.289.8169.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.395.2178.6-11.911%
vs Similar (13)82.583.9166.4-1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)101.284.4185.6+16.9100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A23/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
105-84
105
84
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
110-113
110
113
-3
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
110-104
110
104
+6
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
115-92
115
92
+23
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
L
102-108
102
108
-6
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H25/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
23-22
23-26
22-24
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
201.1Avg total
103.6Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)103.6100.4204.0+3.260%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (2)101.5101.5203.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)103.697.5201.1+6.150%
Last 5 (5)103.6100.4204.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)90.5102.6193.1-12.125%
vs Similar (13)93.892.8186.7+1.054%
vs Weaker (8)103.092.2195.2+10.862%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
BaskoniaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
42.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.185.0-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.142.987.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.343.481.7-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.887.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.684.8-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.448.489.9-7.011%-
vs Similar (13)39.141.480.5-2.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.040.087.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A23/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
96.6Avg total
51.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.046.192.2-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.945.092.9+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)44.147.391.4-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)51.045.696.6+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)53.646.4100.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.249.190.4-7.90%-
vs Similar (13)45.047.792.7-2.738%-
vs Weaker (8)51.141.692.8+9.575%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
75.7%18.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.4
58.0%
55.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.814.2
46.1%
36.2%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
75.7%16.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLLLLLWLW
Breogan
LLWWWLWWLL
#3
League position
#6
-3.1
Net rating
+7.0
96.5
Offensive rating
112.7
99.6
Defensive rating
105.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
63.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
46.1%
67.3%
Assist %
58.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 112.7Defence99.6 · 105.7Shooting51.7% · 63.0%3-point %34.2% · 46.1%Ball care15.5% · 14.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Baskonia wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Baskonia v Breogan112-84
29/12/25Breogan v Baskonia100-103
30/03/25Breogan v Baskonia88-82
19/01/25Baskonia v Breogan97-91
14/04/24Baskonia v Breogan76-74
24/09/23Breogan v Baskonia79-88
30/04/23Baskonia v Breogan97-76
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
13/10/26HDubai79-93
11/10/26HJoventut Badalona93-73
09/10/26HBesiktas84-92
04/10/26HBasquet Girona118-78
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80
29/05/26HBasket Zaragoza94-95
23/05/26AUnicaja83-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game92.2105.583.3
Allowed / game82.875.587.7
Point differential+9.4+30.0-4.3
Avg total175.0181.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game103.6105.0101.5
Allowed / game100.499.7101.5
Point differential+3.2+5.3+0.0
Avg total204.0204.7203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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