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Baskonia vs Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record3-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#14
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game93.0
SpainACBRound 10· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Baskonia v Murcia
06 Dec 2026
BAS v MUR
upcoming
14 May 2026
BAS87
MUR80
12 Oct 2024
BAS95
MUR92
10 May 2024
BAS94
MUR79
04 Dec 2022
BAS102
MUR73
13 Apr 2022
BAS93
MUR83
04 Oct 2020
BAS75
MUR83
21 Oct 2018
BAS93
MUR49
29 Apr 2018
BAS87
MUR85
07 Oct 2016
BAS87
MUR75
15 Nov 2015
BAS90
MUR67
03 May 2015
BAS77
MUR85
01 Dec 2013
BAS98
MUR90
09 Dec 2012
BAS87
MUR83
21 Apr 2012
BAS71
MUR65
17 Jan 2010
BAS78
MUR64
23 Nov 2008
BAS105
MUR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
118-78
118
78
+40
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
86-104
86
104
-18
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
34-16
32-19
32-17
20-28
31-21
20-24
13-19
24-21
21-18
23-17
25-17
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
171.9Avg total
84.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.282.8175.0+9.460%
Season at home (2)105.575.5181.0+30.0100%
Season away (3)83.387.7171.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)84.887.1171.9-2.320%
Last 5 (5)79.289.8169.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.395.2178.6-11.911%
vs Similar (13)82.583.9166.4-1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)101.284.4185.6+16.9100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
93-116
93
116
-23
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H27/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
21-22
24-26
23-21
17-27
19-25
25-27
15-21
16-22
17-14
19-16
25-32
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
170.1Avg total
84.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.093.0180.0-6.040%
Season at home (3)88.388.3176.7+0.067%
Season away (2)85.0100.0185.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)84.485.7170.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.286.8170.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.5102.5191.0-14.025%
vs Similar (7)86.192.4178.6-6.329%
vs Weaker (19)90.079.5169.5+10.589%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
BaskoniaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
42.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.185.0-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.142.987.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.343.481.7-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.887.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.684.8-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.448.489.9-7.011%-
vs Similar (13)39.141.480.5-2.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.040.087.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
77.2Avg total
36.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.082.6+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.840.482.2+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)41.541.883.2-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.377.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.475.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.550.889.2-12.20%-
vs Similar (7)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (19)42.838.481.2+4.474%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
75.7%18.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.5
50.4%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.210.7
32.2%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
75.7%17.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLLLLLWLW
Murcia
LWLWLWWLLW
#3
League position
#14
-3.1
Net rating
-1.5
96.5
Offensive rating
94.9
99.6
Defensive rating
96.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.2%
3-point %
32.2%
67.3%
Assist %
53.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 94.9Defence99.6 · 96.3Shooting51.7% · 49.4%3-point %34.2% · 32.2%Ball care15.5% · 14.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
3
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
14/05/26Baskonia v Murcia87-80
26/10/25Murcia v Baskonia89-84
12/04/25Murcia v Baskonia82-91
12/10/24Baskonia v Murcia95-92 OT
10/05/24Baskonia v Murcia94-79
27/09/23Murcia v Baskonia88-76
29/01/23Murcia v Baskonia80-87
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
13/10/26HDubai79-93
11/10/26HJoventut Badalona93-73
09/10/26HBesiktas84-92
04/10/26HBasquet Girona118-78
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
27/09/26ABasquet Girona77-84
06/06/26HBarcelona76-100
04/06/26ABarcelona90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game92.2105.583.3
Allowed / game82.875.587.7
Point differential+9.4+30.0-4.3
Avg total175.0181.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game87.088.385.0
Allowed / game93.088.3100.0
Point differential-6.0+0.0-15.0
Avg total180.0176.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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