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Baskonia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 94-79
30-24 16-24 23-11 25-20
Position#8
Record17-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Position#6
Record20-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game80.6
SpainACBRound 33· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Baskonia v Murcia
06 Dec 2026
BAS v MUR
upcoming
14 May 2026
BAS87
MUR80
12 Oct 2024
BAS95
MUR92
10 May 2024
BAS94
MUR79
04 Dec 2022
BAS102
MUR73
13 Apr 2022
BAS93
MUR83
04 Oct 2020
BAS75
MUR83
21 Oct 2018
BAS93
MUR49
29 Apr 2018
BAS87
MUR85
07 Oct 2016
BAS87
MUR75
15 Nov 2015
BAS90
MUR67
03 May 2015
BAS77
MUR85
01 Dec 2013
BAS98
MUR90
09 Dec 2012
BAS87
MUR83
21 Apr 2012
BAS71
MUR65
17 Jan 2010
BAS78
MUR64
23 Nov 2008
BAS105
MUR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 79
A12/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 79
H14/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
85-113
85
113
-28
81avg 79
A16/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 79
H19/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
92avg 79
A21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
66avg 79
A23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
90-101
90
101
-11
83avg 79
A25/04
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 79
A27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
98-102
98
102
-4
90avg 79
H01/05
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
92-96
92
96
-4
86avg 79
H05/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-31
31-21
20-17
13-27
20-12
18-19
25-16
15-28
21-27
25-31
24-27
21-22
20-19
31-16
17-20
35-27
19-21
17-18
20-29
17-26
20-22
16-22
21-20
21-23
19-23
23-28
27-27
27-32
21-25
28-15
25-22
22-22
34-30
17-20
25-30
26-37
22-17
18-19
26-23
182.4Avg total
89.1Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.988.1176.0-0.253%
Season at home (16)91.587.3178.8+4.269%
Season away (16)84.488.9173.2-4.538%
Last 10 (10)89.193.3182.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)91.096.6187.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)92.498.0190.4-5.629%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.691.4177.9-4.838%
vs Weaker (7)90.483.4173.9+7.071%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
85avg 75
H31/03
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
98-72
98
72
+26
104avg 75
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 75
A06/04
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 75
A09/04
Champions League
Palencia
#18
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 75
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
72avg 75
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 75
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
87-84
87
84
+3
74avg 75
A28/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 75
H01/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
66avg 75
A05/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
29-18
26-24
23-22
27-14
17-19
27-22
27-17
21-23
17-19
20-15
24-18
25-20
22-17
17-21
21-14
19-11
20-19
22-29
29-18
22-21
18-26
28-32
18-18
26-15
14-18
15-26
19-21
27-23
17-12
19-20
24-29
22-24
16-16
23-13
21-24
18-25
18-22
15-31
20-18
167.0Avg total
85.4Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.880.6164.4+3.262%
Season at home (16)86.675.9162.5+10.688%
Season away (16)81.185.3166.4-4.238%
Last 10 (10)85.481.6167.0+3.870%
Last 5 (5)80.086.8166.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.781.7151.3-12.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.986.6168.5-4.825%
vs Weaker (18)86.376.2162.5+10.189%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
BaskoniaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A12/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H14/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A16/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/04
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H01/05
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H05/05
ACB
93.0Avg total
43.7Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.246.690.8-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.788.6+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.550.593.0-7.97%-
Last 10 (10)43.749.393.0-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)45.851.497.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.648.496.0-0.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.646.889.4-4.225%-
vs Weaker (7)44.444.388.7+0.143%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H31/03
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/04
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/04
Champions League
Palencia
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/05
ACB
80.0Avg total
41.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.179.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.634.177.7+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)39.341.680.9-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.039.072.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.242.582.8-2.238%-
vs Weaker (18)43.635.779.3+7.878%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.5
56.1%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.213.3
38.9%
34.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws17.013.4
78.8%
75.6%13.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.5
55.7%
53.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.8
76.4%
75.6%17.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLWLLLWLWW
Murcia
LWWLLWWWWW
#8
League position
#6
-6.2
Net rating
+4.8
117.4
Offensive rating
112.4
123.6
Defensive rating
107.6
57.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.9%
3-point %
33.5%
62.3%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 112.4Defence123.6 · 107.6Shooting57.3% · 53.3%3-point %38.9% · 33.5%Ball care16.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 31.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
27/09/23Murcia v Baskonia88-76
29/01/23Murcia v Baskonia80-87
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
11/04/21Murcia v Baskonia92-87 OT
04/10/20Baskonia v Murcia75-83
07/04/19Murcia v Baskonia75-86
21/10/18Baskonia v Murcia93-49
29/04/18Baskonia v Murcia87-85
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HBasquet Girona92-96
01/05/24HReal Madrid98-102
27/04/24APalencia101-94
25/04/24AReal Madrid90-101
23/04/24AReal Madrid74-90
21/04/24AUnicaja91-95
19/04/24HVirtus Bologna89-77
16/04/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-113
14/04/24HBreogan76-74
12/04/24AVirtus Bologna95-91
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24AUnicaja71-96
01/05/24HBasket Zaragoza82-77
28/04/24APeristeri87-84
26/04/24HUnicaja74-80
20/04/24ABarcelona86-97
13/04/24HPalencia90-77
09/04/24ALudwigsburg85-72
06/04/24AJoventut Badalona82-75
03/04/24HLudwigsburg98-72
31/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra99-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%69%38%
Points / game87.991.584.4
Allowed / game88.187.388.9
Point differential-0.2+4.2-4.5
Avg total176.0178.8173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%88%38%
Points / game83.886.681.1
Allowed / game80.675.985.3
Point differential+3.2+10.6-4.2
Avg total164.4162.5166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%69%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3227584%87.678.4+9.2
2 Unicaja3226681%88.577.1+11.4
3 Barcelona32221069%88.281.5+6.7
4 Gran Canaria32201262%84.881.6+3.2
5 Murcia32201262%83.880.6+3.2
6 Valencia32201262%83.981.1+2.8
7 Tenerife33201361%83.781.2+2.5
8 Manresa33191458%84.884.6+0.2
9 Baskonia32171553%87.988.1-0.2
10 Joventut Badalona33161748%82.086.1-4.2
11 Bilbao33132039%79.182.0-2.9
12 MoraBanc Andorra32122038%84.285.2-1.0
13 Basket Zaragoza32122038%82.385.3-3.0
14 Basquet Girona32122038%80.985.8-4.9
15 Breogan32102231%74.178.6-4.4
16 Obradoiro CAB33102330%80.784.8-4.1
17 Granada3292328%81.187.1-6.0
18 Palencia3362718%79.287.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia3016232594
Murcia2424112079
← all games of the day
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