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Baskonia vs Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game93.3
SpainACBRound 10· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Baskonia v Murcia
06 Dec 2026
BAS v MUR
upcoming
14 May 2026
BAS87
MUR80
12 Oct 2024
BAS95
MUR92
10 May 2024
BAS94
MUR79
04 Dec 2022
BAS102
MUR73
13 Apr 2022
BAS93
MUR83
04 Oct 2020
BAS75
MUR83
21 Oct 2018
BAS93
MUR49
29 Apr 2018
BAS87
MUR85
07 Oct 2016
BAS87
MUR75
15 Nov 2015
BAS90
MUR67
03 May 2015
BAS77
MUR85
01 Dec 2013
BAS98
MUR90
09 Dec 2012
BAS87
MUR83
21 Apr 2012
BAS71
MUR65
17 Jan 2010
BAS78
MUR64
23 Nov 2008
BAS105
MUR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 83
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 83
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 83
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
106-83
106
83
+23
104avg 83
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
65-84
65
84
-19
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
18-33
14-19
9-11
24-21
27-20
27-19
24-23
20-31
18-23
20-19
22-23
6-15
168.4Avg total
80.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.084.3179.3+10.771%
Season at home (3)105.778.0183.7+27.7100%
Season away (4)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.987.5168.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.192.8172.9-12.79%
vs Similar (11)80.883.7164.5-2.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)104.885.2190.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 81
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 81
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 81
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 81
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 81
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 81
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 81
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
20-22
19-25
16-16
16-27
29-19
21-18
15-11
33-18
173.5Avg total
89.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.193.3183.4-3.143%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (3)80.396.7177.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)89.584.0173.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)90.883.0173.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.297.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar (7)86.192.4178.6-6.329%
vs Weaker (19)91.979.4171.4+12.589%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
BaskoniaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
40.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.288.5+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.785.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.348.288.5-7.99%-
vs Similar (11)38.240.578.7-2.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.439.890.1+10.6100%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/11
Champions League
80.5Avg total
40.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.682.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.940.283.2+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)40.741.181.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.980.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.483.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.548.887.2-10.20%-
vs Similar (7)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (19)43.438.281.5+5.274%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
55.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
36.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
76.0%18.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
55.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWLWLLLLLL
Murcia
WLWLWLWLWW
#3
League position
#11
-5.0
Net rating
+1.2
94.9
Offensive rating
97.1
99.9
Defensive rating
95.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.2%
3-point %
32.7%
65.6%
Assist %
53.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 97.1Defence99.9 · 95.9Shooting51.4% · 50.0%3-point %33.2% · 32.7%Ball care16.2% · 14.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
3
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
14/05/26Baskonia v Murcia87-80
26/10/25Murcia v Baskonia89-84
12/04/25Murcia v Baskonia82-91
12/10/24Baskonia v Murcia95-92 OT
10/05/24Baskonia v Murcia94-79
27/09/23Murcia v Baskonia88-76
29/01/23Murcia v Baskonia80-87
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APartizan66-80
07/11/26AForca Lleida98-93
05/11/26AFenerbahce65-84
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBamberg98-66
08/11/26AReal Madrid71-90
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game95.0105.787.0
Allowed / game84.378.089.0
Point differential+10.7+27.7-2.0
Avg total179.3183.7176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game90.197.580.3
Allowed / game93.390.896.7
Point differential-3.1+6.8-16.3
Avg total183.4188.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
3 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+7.7
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+4.9
6 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+4.0
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-0.6
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-0.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-10.7
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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