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Baskonia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-62
20-19 12-8 33-15 12-20
Position#3
Record8-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game75.9
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Baskonia v Real Madrid
15 Nov 2026
BAS v MAD
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
BAS86
MAD104
03 Apr 2026
BAS98
MAD96
12 Oct 2025
BAS105
MAD100
06 Jun 2025
BAS103
MAD112
06 Jan 2025
BAS82
MAD89
15 Oct 2024
BAS76
MAD72
01 May 2024
BAS98
MAD102
07 Jan 2024
BAS85
MAD99
06 Oct 2023
BAS77
MAD79
29 Dec 2022
BAS92
MAD86
23 Oct 2022
BAS88
MAD82
07 Jun 2022
BAS77
MAD85
25 Nov 2021
BAS60
MAD88
31 Oct 2021
BAS65
MAD83
14 Mar 2021
BAS74
MAD85
02 Oct 2020
BAS76
MAD63
22 Mar 2019
BAS86
MAD76
30 Dec 2018
BAS74
MAD91
19 Jun 2018
BAS85
MAD96
17 Jun 2018
BAS78
MAD83
03 Jan 2018
BAS69
MAD81
14 Nov 2017
BAS105
MAD75
18 Feb 2017
BAS99
MAD103
03 Feb 2017
BAS71
MAD79
03 Jan 2017
BAS77
MAD62
01 Apr 2016
BAS89
MAD88
20 Feb 2016
BAS80
MAD86
03 Jan 2016
BAS86
MAD80
20 May 2015
BAS94
MAD81
15 Feb 2014
BAS74
MAD90
10 Mar 2013
BAS92
MAD100
31 May 2012
BAS66
MAD76
29 May 2012
BAS82
MAD79
09 Apr 2012
BAS67
MAD66
18 Dec 2010
BAS67
MAD72
06 Jun 2010
BAS64
MAD56
30 May 2010
BAS85
MAD80
28 May 2010
BAS62
MAD60
20 Feb 2010
BAS50
MAD78
19 Dec 2009
BAS80
MAD62
06 Jun 2009
BAS89
MAD80
30 May 2009
BAS91
MAD80
01 Nov 2008
BAS91
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
H27/11
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
W
69-62
69
62
+7
104avg 108
H02/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
94-60
94
60
+34
no box
A04/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
W
73-52
73
52
+21
105avg 108
H09/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H11/12
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
92-91
92
91
+1
116avg 108
A15/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
W
65-62
65
62
+3
92avg 108
H21/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
96avg 108
A23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
61-74
61
74
-13
no box
A27/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
133avg 108
H29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
15-14
25-24
17-17
22-9
14-23
18-16
15-14
29-12
18-13
27-16
20-19
18-9
19-10
18-14
18-19
24-13
19-22
12-23
27-19
22-20
21-20
24-27
25-24
9-16
15-14
23-15
18-17
18-27
23-10
18-18
9-14
6-22
18-18
18-10
19-24
30-24
12-16
29-24
30-24
148.5Avg total
77.7Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.579.6165.1+5.862%
Season at home (6)86.577.2163.7+9.383%
Season away (7)84.681.7166.3+2.943%
Last 10 (10)77.770.8148.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)77.476.8154.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.394.7174.0-15.333%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.076.4154.4+1.638%
vs Weaker (13)86.676.9163.5+9.792%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
112avg 117
A01/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
H04/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
126avg 117
H08/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A11/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
102avg 117
A15/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
106-59
106
59
+47
no box
H18/12
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
130avg 117
H20/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
70-82
70
82
-12
96avg 117
A22/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
109avg 117
A29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
21-16
17-18
20-21
23-12
24-20
24-19
21-25
25-22
24-27
25-20
22-22
22-13
26-25
17-24
20-15
20-17
11-18
13-17
24-29
20-22
28-18
33-8
25-11
24-9
23-16
25-15
23-32
19-20
16-23
16-19
19-20
28-23
18-18
23-19
16-26
21-22
16-14
24-27
19-15
163.4Avg total
85.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.775.9166.6+14.885%
Season at home (7)95.472.6168.0+22.9100%
Season away (6)85.279.8165.0+5.367%
Last 10 (10)85.478.0163.4+7.460%
Last 5 (5)87.275.4162.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.075.6159.6+8.462%
vs Weaker (21)90.679.5170.1+11.081%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
BaskoniaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H27/11
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H02/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A04/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H09/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H11/12
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H21/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A27/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/12
Euroleague
69.7Avg total
36.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.277.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.636.974.4+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.879.9+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.069.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.472.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.746.390.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.337.875.2-0.546%-
vs Weaker (13)40.137.277.3+2.869%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H04/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/12
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H20/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A22/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/12
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
42.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.483.9+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.641.286.8+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.480.6+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.880.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.079.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.441.481.8-1.050%-
vs Weaker (21)44.539.784.2+4.967%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.0 points a game
42%
38%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.8
50.6%
50.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.8
32.4%
41.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.7
80.8%
74.9%14.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.0 points a game
42%
38%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.6
50.6%
50.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.0
37.7%
41.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.615.0
80.6%
74.9%15.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLLWWWWWWL
Real Madrid
WLLWWLWWWL
#3
League position
#1
+6.6
Net rating
+7.4
105.5
Offensive rating
113.6
98.9
Defensive rating
106.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
37.7%
53.1%
Assist %
69.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 113.6Defence98.9 · 106.2Shooting49.9% · 53.1%3-point %32.4% · 37.7%Ball care17.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.3% · 31.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv101-88
27/12/16AGran Canaria61-74
23/12/16APanathinaikos68-69
21/12/16HBarcelona65-62
15/12/16AUnics Kazan92-91
11/12/16HEstudiantes82-77
09/12/16HDarussafaka73-52
04/12/16AReal Betis94-60
02/12/16HGalatasaray69-62
27/11/16HTenerife72-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/16AAnadolu Efes80-78
27/12/16AReal Betis85-86
22/12/16ACrvena zvezda70-82
20/12/16HBamberg95-72
18/12/16HObradoiro CAB106-59
15/12/16ADarussafaka68-81
11/12/16ABilbao85-77
08/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas96-91
04/12/16HFuenlabrada92-76
01/12/16AFenerbahce77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game85.586.584.6
Allowed / game79.677.281.7
Point differential+5.8+9.3+2.9
Avg total165.1163.7166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %15%17%14%
Real Madrid
ACB 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game90.795.485.2
Allowed / game75.972.679.8
Point differential+14.8+22.9+5.3
Avg total166.6168.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%86%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1311285%90.775.9+14.8
2 Barcelona1411379%83.978.5+5.4
3 Valencia1410471%83.373.6+9.6
4 Tenerife1410471%79.172.4+6.7
5 Unicaja149564%85.480.1+5.3
6 Baskonia138562%85.579.6+5.8
7 Gran Canaria159660%84.976.9+8.0
8 MoraBanc Andorra148657%83.485.3-1.9
9 Bilbao147750%79.281.1-1.9
10 Fuenlabrada146843%75.982.6-6.6
11 Real Betis146843%75.883.9-8.1
12 Murcia145936%81.482.8-1.4
13 Tecnyconta Zaragoza145936%78.480.6-2.3
14 Estudiantes1441029%80.183.5-3.4
15 Obradoiro CAB1441029%74.481.8-7.4
16 Joventut Badalona1541127%76.683.3-6.7
17 Manresa1421214%70.985.4-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2012331277
Real Madrid198152062
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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