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Baskonia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-99
20-35 23-16 23-22 19-26
Position#8
Record9-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#1
Record15-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game77.0
SpainACBRound 17· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Baskonia v Real Madrid
15 Nov 2026
BAS v MAD
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
BAS86
MAD104
03 Apr 2026
BAS98
MAD96
12 Oct 2025
BAS105
MAD100
06 Jun 2025
BAS103
MAD112
06 Jan 2025
BAS82
MAD89
15 Oct 2024
BAS76
MAD72
01 May 2024
BAS98
MAD102
07 Jan 2024
BAS85
MAD99
06 Oct 2023
BAS77
MAD79
29 Dec 2022
BAS92
MAD86
23 Oct 2022
BAS88
MAD82
07 Jun 2022
BAS77
MAD85
25 Nov 2021
BAS60
MAD88
31 Oct 2021
BAS65
MAD83
14 Mar 2021
BAS74
MAD85
02 Oct 2020
BAS76
MAD63
22 Mar 2019
BAS86
MAD76
30 Dec 2018
BAS74
MAD91
19 Jun 2018
BAS85
MAD96
17 Jun 2018
BAS78
MAD83
03 Jan 2018
BAS69
MAD81
14 Nov 2017
BAS105
MAD75
18 Feb 2017
BAS99
MAD103
03 Feb 2017
BAS71
MAD79
03 Jan 2017
BAS77
MAD62
01 Apr 2016
BAS89
MAD88
20 Feb 2016
BAS80
MAD86
03 Jan 2016
BAS86
MAD80
20 May 2015
BAS94
MAD81
15 Feb 2014
BAS74
MAD90
10 Mar 2013
BAS92
MAD100
31 May 2012
BAS66
MAD76
29 May 2012
BAS82
MAD79
09 Apr 2012
BAS67
MAD66
18 Dec 2010
BAS67
MAD72
06 Jun 2010
BAS64
MAD56
30 May 2010
BAS85
MAD80
28 May 2010
BAS62
MAD60
20 Feb 2010
BAS50
MAD78
19 Dec 2009
BAS80
MAD62
06 Jun 2009
BAS89
MAD80
30 May 2009
BAS91
MAD80
01 Nov 2008
BAS91
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
104-100
104
100
+4
108avg 66
H10/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
94-82
94
82
+12
83avg 66
H12/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 66
H14/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
53avg 66
A17/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 66
A19/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 66
A22/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
67-76
67
76
-9
66avg 66
A28/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-85
93
85
+8
90avg 66
A30/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 66
H03/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
75avg 66
A05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
34-19
22-29
26-27
14-20
23-23
25-25
32-14
15-24
28-18
17-21
21-28
19-17
14-20
11-19
18-26
22-22
27-25
18-21
14-21
17-17
19-19
21-24
30-20
12-20
19-26
17-14
19-16
22-17
26-23
27-19
18-26
13-12
13-25
24-16
25-20
23-24
19-23
26-15
17-27
167.6Avg total
82.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.885.0169.8-0.256%
Season at home (7)89.685.0174.6+4.671%
Season away (9)81.085.0166.0-4.044%
Last 10 (10)82.984.7167.6-1.850%
Last 5 (5)81.480.6162.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.582.0161.5-2.550%
vs Similar (17)83.285.9169.2-2.747%
vs Weaker (5)87.682.2169.8+5.480%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
94avg 75
H10/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 75
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-74
85
74
+11
69avg 75
A16/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
72-58
72
58
+14
74avg 75
A19/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
88avg 75
H21/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
106avg 75
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 75
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 75
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
117avg 75
H05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
23-23
20-16
23-18
19-23
23-14
21-20
25-16
15-19
24-15
23-14
23-26
20-20
25-14
16-11
11-13
26-19
22-17
28-15
15-24
26-18
27-17
26-20
22-18
18-19
15-20
18-18
26-19
20-15
21-19
26-19
16-21
25-21
22-24
15-15
16-23
25-18
13-18
26-25
17-20
168.5Avg total
90.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)91.177.0168.1+14.194%
Season at home (9)92.676.3168.9+16.289%
Season away (7)89.377.9167.1+11.4100%
Last 10 (10)90.278.3168.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)93.886.4180.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.782.7169.3+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.476.7167.1+13.693%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
BaskoniaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A28/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A30/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H03/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A05/01
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
40.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.583.1+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.240.382.5+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.783.7-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.982.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.277.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.439.280.6+2.138%-
vs Similar (17)41.342.083.3-0.753%-
vs Weaker (5)43.243.286.4+0.060%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A16/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A19/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/01
Euroleague
80.7Avg total
44.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.836.881.6+8.187%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.535.480.9+10.188%-
Last 30 away (14)44.138.482.4+5.786%-
Last 10 (10)44.036.780.7+7.390%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.736.481.1+8.385%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.9
52.0%
53.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.2
37.0%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
75.6%17.3
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.2
59.7%
53.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.5
34.9%
34.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
75.6%15.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWWLWLLLWW
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-2.9
Net rating
+15.2
107.5
Offensive rating
113.8
110.4
Defensive rating
98.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
56.3%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
34.9%
65.3%
Assist %
70.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 113.8Defence110.4 · 98.7Shooting53.6% · 56.3%3-point %37.0% · 34.9%Ball care18.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds24.9% · 25.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Baskonia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24ABarcelona85-89
03/01/24HPanathinaikos75-73
30/12/23ABasquet Girona93-85
28/12/23AOlimpia Milano67-76
22/12/23AAnadolu Efes87-80
19/12/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-89
17/12/23ABarcelona62-82
14/12/23HVirtus Bologna81-91
12/12/23HPalencia94-82
10/12/23HTenerife104-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HAnadolu Efes130-126 OT
03/01/24ABarcelona78-83
31/12/23HValencia83-74
28/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
23/12/23AJoventut Badalona101-73
21/12/23HPartizan91-75
19/12/23ACrvena zvezda72-58
16/12/23AObradoiro CAB85-74
14/12/23HBayern88-73
10/12/23HGran Canaria97-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game84.889.681.0
Allowed / game85.085.085.0
Point differential-0.2+4.6-4.0
Avg total169.8174.6166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %94%89%100%
Points / game91.192.689.3
Allowed / game77.076.377.9
Point differential+14.1+16.2+11.4
Avg total168.1168.9167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1615194%91.177.0+14.1
2 Unicaja1714382%88.176.6+11.5
3 Barcelona1711665%85.880.2+5.6
4 Gran Canaria1711665%83.882.1+1.7
5 Murcia1710759%83.280.6+2.5
6 Valencia1710759%80.478.8+1.6
7 Baskonia169756%84.885.0-0.2
8 Tenerife179853%82.580.6+1.9
9 Manresa179853%83.984.2-0.3
10 Basket Zaragoza178947%81.881.8+0.0
11 Joventut Badalona178947%80.487.3-6.9
12 Bilbao1771041%77.279.1-1.8
13 Basquet Girona1771041%82.286.5-4.3
14 MoraBanc Andorra1761135%82.584.1-1.6
15 Obradoiro CAB1761135%81.483.9-2.5
16 Granada1751229%83.586.5-2.9
17 Breogan1751229%73.980.4-6.5
18 Palencia1721512%75.586.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2023231985
Real Madrid3516222699
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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