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Baskonia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-89
18-28 21-19 17-16 26-26
Position#7
Record6-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#1
Record9-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game76.4
SpainACBRound 15· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Baskonia v Real Madrid
15 Nov 2026
BAS v MAD
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
BAS86
MAD104
03 Apr 2026
BAS98
MAD96
12 Oct 2025
BAS105
MAD100
06 Jun 2025
BAS103
MAD112
06 Jan 2025
BAS82
MAD89
15 Oct 2024
BAS76
MAD72
01 May 2024
BAS98
MAD102
07 Jan 2024
BAS85
MAD99
06 Oct 2023
BAS77
MAD79
29 Dec 2022
BAS92
MAD86
23 Oct 2022
BAS88
MAD82
07 Jun 2022
BAS77
MAD85
25 Nov 2021
BAS60
MAD88
31 Oct 2021
BAS65
MAD83
14 Mar 2021
BAS74
MAD85
02 Oct 2020
BAS76
MAD63
22 Mar 2019
BAS86
MAD76
30 Dec 2018
BAS74
MAD91
19 Jun 2018
BAS85
MAD96
17 Jun 2018
BAS78
MAD83
03 Jan 2018
BAS69
MAD81
14 Nov 2017
BAS105
MAD75
18 Feb 2017
BAS99
MAD103
03 Feb 2017
BAS71
MAD79
03 Jan 2017
BAS77
MAD62
01 Apr 2016
BAS89
MAD88
20 Feb 2016
BAS80
MAD86
03 Jan 2016
BAS86
MAD80
20 May 2015
BAS94
MAD81
15 Feb 2014
BAS74
MAD90
10 Mar 2013
BAS92
MAD100
31 May 2012
BAS66
MAD76
29 May 2012
BAS82
MAD79
09 Apr 2012
BAS67
MAD66
18 Dec 2010
BAS67
MAD72
06 Jun 2010
BAS64
MAD56
30 May 2010
BAS85
MAD80
28 May 2010
BAS62
MAD60
20 Feb 2010
BAS50
MAD78
19 Dec 2009
BAS80
MAD62
06 Jun 2009
BAS89
MAD80
30 May 2009
BAS91
MAD80
01 Nov 2008
BAS91
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
78avg 80
A05/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
69-67
69
67
+2
66avg 80
A08/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 80
H12/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 80
A15/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
95-85
95
85
+10
95avg 80
A17/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
69-104
69
104
-35
61avg 80
A19/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 80
H22/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
87avg 80
H27/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
83avg 80
A29/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
73-75
73
75
-2
63avg 80
H02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
21-21
17-25
19-25
20-14
20-18
17-16
12-19
21-21
17-17
19-18
24-26
18-20
16-16
26-14
15-23
34-23
23-20
18-17
20-25
12-33
23-20
20-23
14-28
23-20
17-22
16-27
32-21
28-26
13-31
23-15
30-9
11-24
20-19
24-18
27-19
16-16
12-26
24-18
21-15
163.7Avg total
80.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.788.4174.1-2.746%
Season at home (6)90.795.7186.3-5.033%
Season away (7)81.482.1163.6-0.757%
Last 10 (10)80.683.1163.7-2.550%
Last 5 (5)81.286.0167.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.192.9175.0-10.825%
vs Similar (19)80.581.5162.0-0.942%
vs Weaker (3)85.076.3161.3+8.7100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 83
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 83
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 83
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 83
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
96avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
76avg 83
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 83
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 83
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
11-25
16-23
23-22
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
19-8
24-21
27-19
36-21
26-17
26-31
18-19
26-18
29-22
24-13
24-12
17-25
9-17
21-23
29-16
25-29
28-15
17-19
16-17
19-18
21-15
15-16
21-20
16-20
23-16
24-14
15-20
26-26
164.2Avg total
86.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.876.4163.2+10.469%
Season at home (8)89.974.4164.2+15.5100%
Season away (5)81.879.6161.4+2.220%
Last 10 (10)86.477.8164.2+8.670%
Last 5 (5)83.874.6158.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)83.681.4165.1+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.976.2163.2+10.775%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
BaskoniaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A05/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H12/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A15/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A17/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A19/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/12
ACB
Paris
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H27/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A29/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
38.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.481.6-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.983.0-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.980.2-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.081.8-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.047.482.4-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.844.882.5-7.025%-
vs Similar (19)39.642.482.0-2.732%-
vs Weaker (3)40.036.776.7+3.333%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H03/01
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
41.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.780.8+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.837.681.4+6.278%-
Last 30 away (12)39.640.279.8-0.742%-
Last 10 (10)41.437.278.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.076.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)39.940.180.0-0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.137.481.4+6.781%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.6
56.6%
54.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.4
32.8%
35.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
76.4%13.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.7
55.8%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
35.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.116.4
77.7%
76.4%16.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWWLLWWLWL
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWLWL
#7
League position
#1
-3.7
Net rating
+12.2
108.0
Offensive rating
116.5
111.7
Defensive rating
104.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.8%
3-point %
37.2%
56.9%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 116.5Defence111.7 · 104.3Shooting53.5% · 55.8%3-point %32.8% · 37.2%Ball care19.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Baskonia v Real Madrid76-72
12/05/24Real Madrid v Baskonia106-100
01/05/24Baskonia v Real Madrid98-102
25/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia101-90
23/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia90-74
05/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia91-95
07/01/24Baskonia v Real Madrid85-99
06/10/23Baskonia v Real Madrid77-79
19/03/23Real Madrid v Baskonia88-95
07/03/23Real Madrid v Baskonia81-85
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25HCrvena zvezda73-75
29/12/24AManresa82-80
27/12/24HParis94-81
22/12/24HUnicaja88-90
19/12/24APanathinaikos69-104
17/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv95-85
15/12/24AGranada75-73
12/12/24HVirtus Bologna81-82
08/12/24ABilbao69-67
05/12/24ABayern80-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HBayern88-76
29/12/24HBarcelona73-71
26/12/24AAlba Berlin80-69
22/12/24AValencia84-85
19/12/24HMonaco94-72
17/12/24AParis96-85
15/12/24HBreogan106-69
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77
05/12/24HFenerbahce70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW46%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%33%57%
Points / game85.790.781.4
Allowed / game88.495.782.1
Point differential-2.7-5.0-0.7
Avg total174.1186.3163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%100%20%
Points / game86.889.981.8
Allowed / game76.474.479.6
Point differential+10.4+15.5+2.2
Avg total163.2164.2161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1512380%95.885.6+10.2
2 Unicaja1512380%88.182.3+5.8
3 Tenerife1511473%87.682.7+4.9
4 Real Madrid139469%86.876.4+10.4
5 Joventut Badalona1510567%84.580.7+3.7
6 Gran Canaria1510567%83.981.2+2.7
7 Manresa158753%84.580.9+3.7
8 Basket Zaragoza158753%91.088.9+2.1
9 Barcelona147750%89.085.5+3.5
10 Baskonia136746%85.788.4-2.7
11 Bilbao156940%81.882.5-0.7
12 Murcia156940%79.582.3-2.8
13 MoraBanc Andorra1551033%86.790.4-3.7
14 Forca Lleida1551033%83.987.9-4.1
15 Breogan1551033%75.385.3-9.9
16 Granada1441029%77.782.0-4.3
17 Leyma Coruna1441029%85.092.1-7.1
18 Basquet Girona1431121%77.189.1-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1821172682
Real Madrid2819162689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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