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Real Madrid vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-81
22-27 14-19 22-16 15-19
Position#8
Record20-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Paris 🏆
Position#9
Record19-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals· Movistar Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Paris
04 Feb 2027
MAD v PRS
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
MAD95
PRS90
15 Apr 2025
MAD73
PRS81
03 Apr 2025
MAD105
PRS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
71avg 83
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 83
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 83
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 83
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 83
A28/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 83
H30/03
ACB
Paris
#9
W
105-104
105
104
+1
99avg 83
H03/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
85avg 83
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 83
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 83
A13/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
18-20
17-13
27-25
32-10
20-24
16-19
13-17
25-21
21-27
22-30
39-27
31-16
23-25
24-22
18-26
22-9
20-18
13-18
23-27
22-17
12-17
29-18
25-18
23-28
30-25
21-27
31-24
20-24
22-15
26-22
23-28
22-24
26-22
17-28
26-15
23-15
22-19
21-15
13-19
173.3Avg total
89.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)85.182.7167.8+2.459%
Season at home (17)90.886.0176.8+4.876%
Season away (17)79.479.5158.9-0.141%
Last 10 (10)89.983.4173.3+6.5100%
Last 5 (5)90.884.0174.8+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.685.1168.7-1.554%
vs Weaker (16)88.878.3167.1+10.5100%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
92avg 89
H15/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
83avg 89
H18/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
96avg 89
A21/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
L
100-101
100
101
-1
98avg 89
A25/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-98
101
98
+3
100avg 89
A28/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
109-66
109
66
+43
130avg 89
H30/03
LNB
Real Madrid
#8
L
104-105
104
105
-1
97avg 89
A03/04
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
W
106-103
106
103
+3
113avg 89
H06/04
LNB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
72-63
72
63
+9
65avg 89
H10/04
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
W
98-91
98
91
+7
113avg 89
A12/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
19-22
25-13
23-32
22-18
26-19
28-30
16-12
17-17
18-24
26-20
26-18
24-17
27-27
33-27
16-30
33-23
23-25
30-21
15-29
26-13
30-14
29-22
24-17
28-23
25-30
27-21
24-31
31-39
27-16
23-19
25-29
22-14
24-17
14-8
12-24
26-25
23-23
23-32
26-11
184.4Avg total
96.8Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.585.6172.1+0.956%
Season at home (17)82.281.4163.6+0.865%
Season away (17)90.889.8180.5+1.047%
Last 10 (10)96.887.6184.4+9.280%
Last 5 (5)97.885.6183.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.890.1178.9-1.343%
vs Weaker (14)92.681.4174.1+11.293%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
Real MadridParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/03
ACB
Paris
#9
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H03/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/04
ACB
85.1Avg total
45.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.881.0+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.341.786.0+2.643%-
Last 30 away (16)40.336.376.6+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)45.539.685.1+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.285.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.540.781.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker (16)43.537.981.4+5.662%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H18/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A21/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A25/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A28/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H30/03
LNB
Real Madrid
#8
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A03/04
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H06/04
LNB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/04
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A12/04
LNB
93.3Avg total
50.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.543.089.5+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.742.489.1+4.361%-
Last 30 away (12)46.244.090.2+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)50.343.093.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)52.442.895.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.048.079.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.043.889.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (14)47.942.490.2+5.564%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.6
58.9%
54.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.116.3
73.8%
78.0%16.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.4
59.6%
54.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.713.3
43.3%
36.2%39.9
🏀 Free throws18.515.1
81.6%
78.0%15.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Paris
WWWLWWLWWW
#8
League position
#9
+8.3
Net rating
+12.0
117.9
Offensive rating
128.2
109.5
Defensive rating
116.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
62.2%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.4%
3-point %
43.3%
55.0%
Assist %
58.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 128.2Defence109.5 · 116.1Shooting56.5% · 62.2%3-point %35.4% · 43.3%Ball care17.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds36.1% · 33.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Real Madrid wins
0
Paris wins
DateGameScore
03/04/25Real Madrid v Paris105-104
17/12/24Paris v Real Madrid85-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25ATenerife79-68
10/04/25APartizan91-89
06/04/25ABarcelona91-89
03/04/25HParis105-104
30/03/25HBilbao88-70
28/03/25ACrvena zvezda78-72
25/03/25HOlimpia Milano96-89
23/03/25AUnicaja107-105
20/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne81-70
16/03/25HBaskonia83-78
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AJL Bourg98-91
10/04/25HAlba Berlin72-63
06/04/25HLe Mans106-103
03/04/25AReal Madrid104-105
30/03/25HGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
28/03/25APanathinaikos101-98
25/03/25AFenerbahce100-101
21/03/25AStrasbourg87-79
18/03/25HOlimpia Milano92-79
15/03/25HJL Bourg99-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %59%76%41%
Points / game85.190.879.4
Allowed / game82.786.079.5
Point differential+2.4+4.8-0.1
Avg total167.8176.8158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeWLLWW65%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%65%47%
Points / game86.582.290.8
Allowed / game85.681.489.8
Point differential+0.9+0.8+1.0
Avg total172.1163.6180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)75% (8)14% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos34241071%86.981.8+5.1
2 Fenerbahce34231168%83.281.2+2.0
3 Panathinaikos34221265%88.483.9+4.5
4 Monaco34211362%86.382.9+3.4
5 Anadolu Efes34201459%86.882.2+4.5
6 Barcelona34201459%88.184.4+3.7
7 Real Madrid34201459%85.182.7+2.4
8 Bayern35201557%87.587.9-0.4
9 Paris34191556%86.585.6+0.9
10 Crvena zvezda35181751%83.181.6+1.5
11 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.486.7-1.2
12 Partizan34161847%81.880.1+1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34151944%77.479.0-1.6
14 Baskonia34142041%82.683.6-1.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%80.985.3-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv34112332%85.989.8-3.9
17 Virtus Bologna3492526%79.283.7-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3452915%78.791.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2214221573
Paris2719161981
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