Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	87.7	78.0	165.7	+9.7	86%
Season at home (15)	89.3	76.5	165.9	+12.8	100%
Season away (14)	85.9	79.6	165.4	+6.3	71%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	79.6	161.6	+2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	78.0	155.2	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	81.9	83.4	165.3	-1.5	47%
vs Weaker (14)	85.4	76.0	161.4	+9.4	100%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

104-89

104

+15

103avg 91

A15/03

ACB

Leyma Coruna

#18

127-81

127

+46

140avg 91

H22/03

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

91-82

84avg 91

H25/03

Eurocup

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

91-96

-5

87avg 91

A28/03

Eurocup

Granada

#17

97-69

+28

101avg 91

A30/03

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

92-94

-2

84avg 91

H02/04

Eurocup

Murcia

#10

71-86

-15

62avg 91

H05/04

ACB

Unicaja

84-75

82avg 91

H13/04

ACB

Forca Lleida

#16

76-67

76avg 91

A20/04

ACB

Baskonia

125-128 OT

125

128

-3

112avg 91

H27/04

ACB

21-26

29-18

29-19

25-26

26-17

27-27

42-19

32-18

20-24

22-24

23-11

26-23

21-23

28-31

22-22

20-20

21-21

23-5

23-26

30-17

22-15

23-29

22-19

25-31

9-21

24-20

23-21

15-24

22-17

22-21

28-22

12-15

20-19

17-11

21-17

18-20

19-29

25-22

24-25

26-18

182.5Avg total

95.8Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	97.0	85.9	182.9	+11.1	72%
Season at home (15)	98.9	86.3	185.3	+12.6	80%
Season away (14)	94.9	85.4	180.3	+9.6	64%
Last 10 (10)	95.8	86.7	182.5	+9.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	90.0	179.6	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	85.0	84.0	169.0	+1.0	100%
vs Weaker (28)	97.1	86.4	183.4	+10.7	64%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	21.1	46.3	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.1	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	17.0	9.0	26.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (28)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.2	22.5	47.7	+2.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	20.8	44.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (28)	23.6	21.0	44.7	+2.6	57%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

#12

48-46

A10/04

Euroleague

Tenerife

45-34

+11

A13/04

ACB

Paris

36-46

-10

H15/04

Euroleague

Bayern

52-33

+19

H18/04

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

46-44

H20/04

ACB

Olympiacos

29-47

-18

A23/04

Euroleague

Olympiacos

38-38

A25/04

Euroleague

Basquet Girona

#14

34-29

A27/04

ACB

Olympiacos

38-44

-6

H29/04

Euroleague

Olympiacos

47-42

H01/05

Euroleague

81.6Avg total

41.3Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	38.3	79.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	40.4	84.1	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.5	36.5	75.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.3	81.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.0	77.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.8	41.1	81.9	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.9	35.9	76.8	+4.9	64%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

50-44

A15/03

ACB

Leyma Coruna

#18

53-44

H22/03

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

42-48

-6

H25/03

Eurocup

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

49-54

-5

A28/03

Eurocup

Granada

#17

44-26

+18

A30/03

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

45-44

H02/04

Eurocup

Murcia

#10

33-41

-8

H05/04

ACB

Unicaja

44-38

H13/04

ACB

Forca Lleida

#16

37-30

A20/04

ACB

Baskonia

44-51

-7

H27/04

ACB

86.1Avg total

44.1Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	41.8	87.3	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	48.1	42.6	90.6	+5.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.2	40.8	82.9	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	42.0	86.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.8	81.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	40.0	30.0	70.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (28)	46.2	42.3	88.5	+3.9	68%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.4	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	22.4	46.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.4	22.2	47.6	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	20.1	45.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.8	44.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	16.0	29.0	45.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	24.9	22.0	46.9	+2.9	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.1	42.8	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.6	41.9	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	20.4	44.7	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.1	21.1	46.2	+3.9	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.4	19.5	42.8	+3.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.2	44.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	29.0	25.0	54.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (28)	24.5	20.5	45.0	+4.1	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	41.1	84.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	40.0	84.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	42.1	83.7	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.1	42.3	83.3	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (14)	44.6	40.1	84.6	+4.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.8	42.8	91.5	+6.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	50.5	43.3	93.8	+7.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	46.5	42.1	88.6	+4.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	41.3	89.9	+7.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	42.4	85.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	45.0	54.0	99.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	49.4	42.5	91.9	+6.9	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	20.3	56.4%	54.0%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.1	35.5%	35.6%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.3	73.9%	76.4%	13.3

They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.8	59.7%	54.0%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.6	11.3	34.7%	35.6%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	21.4	17.5	81.8%	76.4%	17.5

They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.3	50.7%	54.0%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.5	33.5%	35.6%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.7	74.5%	76.4%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.8	52.1%	54.0%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	10.5	33.9%	35.6%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.6	78.5%	76.4%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	20.4	55.9%	54.0%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.7	33.1%	35.6%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.3	76.7%	76.4%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	20.8	59.4%	54.0%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.9	12.9	38.1%	35.6%	38.7
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.9	79.0%	76.4%	15.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	18.3	49.1%	54.0%	36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.9	34.5%	35.6%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.0	75.3%	76.4%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	21.1	51.8%	54.0%	42.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	9.7	32.1%	35.6%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.7	75.0%	76.4%	13.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

LWWLLWWLWW

Valencia

LWWLLWLWWW

League position

+3.3

Net rating

+11.8

112.7

Offensive rating

120.4

109.4

Defensive rating

108.6

55.1%

Effective FG%

56.1%

50.5%

Opp. effective FG%

51.5%

17.4%

Turnover %

15.7%

29.9%

Off. rebound %

33.2%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.31

35.5%

3-point %

34.7%

60.9%

Assist %

66.5%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/24	Valencia v Real Madrid	85-84
10/05/24	Valencia v Real Madrid	99-93
17/02/24	Real Madrid v Valencia	95-76
11/01/24	Real Madrid v Valencia	96-86 OT
31/12/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	83-74
14/11/23	Valencia v Real Madrid	73-76
12/05/23	Valencia v Real Madrid	68-79
09/03/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	95-91
16/02/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	86-85
04/12/22	Real Madrid v Valencia	79-62

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/25	H	Olympiacos	84-86
29/04/25	H	Olympiacos	80-72
27/04/25	A	Basquet Girona	79-71
25/04/25	A	Olympiacos	71-77
23/04/25	A	Olympiacos	72-84
20/04/25	H	MoraBanc Andorra	98-97
18/04/25	H	Bayern	93-71
15/04/25	H	Paris	73-81
13/04/25	A	Tenerife	79-68
10/04/25	A	Partizan	91-89

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/25	H	Baskonia	125-128 OT
20/04/25	A	Forca Lleida	76-67
13/04/25	H	Unicaja	84-75
05/04/25	H	Murcia	71-86
02/04/25	H	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	92-94
30/03/25	A	Granada	97-69
28/03/25	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	91-96
25/03/25	H	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	91-82
22/03/25	H	Leyma Coruna	127-81
15/03/25	A	Joventut Badalona	104-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	86%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	86%	100%	71%
Points / game	87.7	89.3	85.9
Allowed / game	78.0	76.5	79.6
Point differential	+9.7	+12.8	+6.3
Avg total	165.7	165.9	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	53%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	100% (4)	43% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	72%
Home	WWLWL	80%
Away	LWWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	72%	80%	64%
Points / game	97.0	98.9	94.9
Allowed / game	85.9	86.3	85.4
Point differential	+11.1	+12.6	+9.6
Avg total	182.9	185.3	180.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	60%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	67% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	29	25	4	86%	87.7	78.0	+9.7
2	Tenerife	31	24	7	77%	87.2	82.8	+4.4
3	Valencia	29	21	8	72%	97.0	85.9	+11.1
4	Unicaja	31	21	10	68%	89.6	84.3	+5.3
5	Barcelona	29	18	11	62%	91.8	86.9	+5.0
6	Joventut Badalona	30	17	13	57%	85.4	84.0	+1.4
7	Gran Canaria	29	16	13	55%	84.4	84.0	+0.4
8	Manresa	30	16	14	53%	88.5	85.7	+2.8
9	Baskonia	30	16	14	53%	88.0	87.6	+0.4
10	Murcia	30	14	16	47%	81.4	81.4	-0.0
11	Breogan	30	13	17	43%	80.2	86.3	-6.1
12	Basket Zaragoza	30	12	18	40%	88.9	89.8	-0.9
13	Forca Lleida	29	11	18	38%	83.5	87.0	-3.6
14	MoraBanc Andorra	30	11	19	37%	86.9	91.3	-4.4
15	Bilbao	30	10	20	33%	81.2	83.7	-2.5
16	Basquet Girona	30	10	20	33%	81.1	87.7	-6.6
17	Granada	30	7	23	23%	81.0	87.7	-6.7
18	Leyma Coruna	29	6	23	21%	86.0	95.4	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	27	19	28	22	96
Valencia	20	24	19	26	89

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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