Bauru vs Cearense Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	76.7	77.7	154.4	-1.0	43%
Season at home (4)	70.5	75.5	146.0	-5.0	25%
Season away (3)	85.0	80.7	165.7	+4.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	78.5	155.2	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	79.0	153.4	-4.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	82.1	85.6	167.8	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (14)	82.2	82.9	165.1	-0.7	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	89.1	78.4	167.5	+10.8	88%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCearense

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#13

83-107

107

-24

76avg 61

H06/04

NBB

Minas

56-87

-31

45avg 61

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

77-86

-9

64avg 61

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#16

69-93

-24

55avg 61

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

63-98

-35

40avg 61

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

53-96

-43

no box

A02/11

NBB

Mogi

78-89

-11

no box

A04/11

NBB

Paulistano

#13

65-58

no box

H07/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

68-75

-7

no box

H09/11

NBB

Minas

63-77

-14

no box

A14/11

NBB

20-23

18-36

22-25

23-23

9-25

21-24

15-24

11-14

23-20

19-23

23-18

12-25

17-32

23-22

13-18

16-21

15-24

17-22

18-26

13-26

11-27

12-31

15-24

15-14

21-11

21-22

19-26

17-30

18-15

10-14

25-16

12-13

16-19

17-15

17-23

18-18

18-17

11-23

16-14

18-23

154.1Avg total

67.5Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	65.6	83.7	149.3	-18.1	14%
Season at home (4)	66.2	81.0	147.2	-14.8	25%
Season away (3)	64.7	87.3	152.0	-22.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	67.5	86.6	154.1	-19.1	10%
Last 5 (5)	65.4	79.0	144.4	-13.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	70.7	89.2	159.9	-18.4	8%
vs Similar (4)	78.0	77.2	155.2	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BauruCearense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.9	20.8	43.6	+2.1	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	21.3	39.5	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	23.9	42.5	-5.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.3	38.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.1	23.5	41.6	-5.5	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.3	42.7	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.4	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	20.6	37.9	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	21.7	38.4	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	23.2	40.1	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	21.0	35.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.8	21.1	37.9	-4.2	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

39-51

-12

H24/04

NBB

Paulistano

53-31

+22

H26/04

NBB

Paulistano

32-35

-3

A29/04

NBB

Flamengo

43-36

A18/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

34-42

-8

H21/10

NBB

Mogi

34-39

-5

H23/10

NBB

Paulistano

#13

35-52

-17

A30/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

45-39

H03/11

NBB

Minas

36-39

-3

H05/11

NBB

Pato

#15

54-42

+12

A09/11

NBB

81.1Avg total

40.5Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	41.2	86.7	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	40.1	78.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	40.6	81.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	45.2	42.5	87.8	+2.8	62%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	44.2	38.1	82.4	+6.1	88%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#13

38-59

-21

H06/04

NBB

Minas

30-49

-19

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

42-43

-1

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#16

40-54

-14

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

32-46

-14

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

23-58

-35

A02/11

NBB

Mogi

42-33

A04/11

NBB

Paulistano

#13

28-29

-1

H07/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

33-34

-1

H09/11

NBB

Minas

29-40

-11

A14/11

NBB

78.2Avg total

33.7Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	43.8	79.2	-8.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.6	41.9	77.5	-6.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	45.7	80.9	-10.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	44.5	78.2	-10.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	38.8	69.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	34.9	44.6	79.5	-9.7	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.8	38.2	77.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.9	40.2	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	17.6	32.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.4	21.9	38.2	-5.5	12%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.5	40.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	22.5	40.1	-4.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.3	22.5	41.8	-3.2	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	15.2	33.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	21.2	41.8	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.8	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.9	19.5	43.4	+4.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	21.8	38.5	-5.1	13%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.0	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	20.7	36.2	-5.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.6	35.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	40.3	81.6	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	40.9	81.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	37.9	74.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	36.8	70.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.9	43.1	80.0	-6.2	12%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.5	39.4	80.9	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	44.9	40.2	85.1	+4.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	43.3	79.2	-7.5	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	42.2	79.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	44.5	78.9	-10.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	42.1	75.9	-8.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	40.2	74.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.8	44.5	80.3	-8.7	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.0	35.5	71.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.4	49.6%	49.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.3	28.6%	31.6%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	17.2	11.5	66.9%	71.3%	11.5

They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	18.7	44.8%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.0	29.2%	31.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	24.3	16.1	66.3%	71.3%	16.1

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	19.0	54.8%	49.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.3	32.9%	31.6%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.0	74.3%	71.3%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	22.2	59.8%	49.8%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	11.0	37.8%	31.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.3	73.8%	71.3%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	20.6	53.3%	49.8%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.1	32.7%	31.6%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.3	71.5%	71.3%	14.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	18.7	46.3%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.0	28.1%	31.6%	20.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.0	70.4%	71.3%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	18.2	54.0%	49.8%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	8.9	32.6%	31.6%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.7	74.5%	71.3%	16.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	21.7	60.3%	49.8%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.6	34.9%	31.6%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.3	71.9%	71.3%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Bauru

WLLLLWWLWL

Cearense

LLWLLLLLLL

#11

League position

#17

-7.8

Net rating

-21.2

86.0

Offensive rating

82.4

93.8

Defensive rating

103.6

47.1%

Effective FG%

44.4%

52.3%

Opp. effective FG%

58.5%

14.3%

Turnover %

16.2%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.37

28.6%

3-point %

29.2%

65.7%

Assist %

54.1%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Bauru ■ Cearense

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bauru wins

Cearense wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/26	Bauru v Cearense	107-70
20/11/25	Cearense v Bauru	91-72
11/03/25	Cearense v Bauru	66-74
27/11/24	Bauru v Cearense	80-71
18/01/24	Bauru v Cearense	93-88 OT
31/10/23	Cearense v Bauru	80-77
22/03/23	Cearense v Bauru	79-77
15/12/22	Bauru v Cearense	82-50
13/02/22	Cearense v Bauru	74-72
10/11/21	Bauru v Cearense	74-59

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	A	Pato	98-78
05/11/26	H	Minas	64-77
03/11/26	H	Cruzeiro	74-78
30/10/26	A	Paulistano	75-83
23/10/26	H	Mogi	61-79
21/10/26	H	Sao Jose	83-68
18/10/26	A	Flamengo	82-81
29/04/26	A	Paulistano	62-71
26/04/26	H	Paulistano	88-75
24/04/26	H	Paulistano	80-95

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/26	A	Minas	63-77
09/11/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	68-75
07/11/26	H	Paulistano	65-58
04/11/26	A	Mogi	78-89
02/11/26	A	Sao Jose	53-96
22/10/26	H	Pinheiros	63-98
20/10/26	H	Osasco	69-93
16/04/26	A	Cruzeiro	77-86
14/04/26	A	Minas	56-87
06/04/26	H	Caxias do Sul	83-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	43%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	25%	67%
Points / game	76.7	70.5	85.0
Allowed / game	77.7	75.5	80.7
Point differential	-1.0	-5.0	+4.3
Avg total	154.4	146.0	165.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cearense

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	14%
Home	LLWL	25%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	14%	25%	0%
Points / game	65.6	66.2	64.7
Allowed / game	83.7	81.0	87.3
Point differential	-18.1	-14.8	-22.7
Avg total	149.3	147.2	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	8	8	0	100%	85.1	65.4	+19.8
2	Mogi	7	6	1	86%	83.1	73.9	+9.3
3	Pinheiros	8	6	2	75%	85.2	73.1	+12.1
4	Flamengo	7	5	2	71%	80.9	73.4	+7.4
5	Unifacisa	7	5	2	71%	79.4	75.1	+4.3
6	Franca	8	5	3	62%	78.9	71.6	+7.2
7	Uniao Corinthians	7	4	3	57%	72.3	74.7	-2.4
8	Brasilia	8	4	4	50%	80.6	79.8	+0.9
9	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
10	Corinthians Paulista	7	3	4	43%	80.0	79.0	+1.0
11	Bauru	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
12	Sao Jose	7	3	4	43%	80.3	81.7	-1.4
13	Paulistano	7	3	4	43%	69.6	73.9	-4.3
14	Botafogo	6	2	4	33%	76.7	83.0	-6.3
15	Pato	8	2	6	25%	72.6	81.5	-8.9
16	Osasco	6	1	5	17%	77.8	86.8	-9.0
17	Cearense	7	1	6	14%	65.6	83.7	-18.1
18	Caxias do Sul	7	0	7	0%	64.7	79.6	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Bauru vs Cearense Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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