Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	89.5	77.5	167.0	+12.0	100%
Season at home (2)	89.5	77.5	167.0	+12.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	88.1	83.3	171.4	+4.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	77.6	163.0	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	85.7	78.0	163.7	+7.7	100%
vs Weaker (26)	89.2	80.5	169.7	+8.7	77%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Barcelona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBarcelona

Date

Competition

Granada

#17

94-61

+33

96avg 81

A21/01

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#12

70-74

-4

62avg 81

A26/01

Euroleague

Palencia

#18

102-94

102

103avg 81

H28/01

ACB

Virtus Bologna

84-57

+27

82avg 81

H31/01

Euroleague

Crvena zvezda

#16

85-76

82avg 81

A02/02

Euroleague

Valencia

76-79

-3

71avg 81

H04/02

ACB

Alba Berlin

#18

93-77

+16

93avg 81

H09/02

Euroleague

Manresa

87-77

+10

88avg 81

A11/02

ACB

Manresa

102-91

102

+11

95avg 81

H16/02

Spanish Cup

Tenerife

108-76

108

+32

113avg 81

H17/02

Spanish Cup

19-16

23-16

25-15

27-14

12-23

16-24

21-10

21-17

29-16

23-27

18-25

32-26

20-17

21-10

20-17

23-13

18-17

27-15

19-19

21-25

19-19

21-19

18-22

18-19

31-26

20-13

29-12

13-26

27-19

20-19

17-23

23-16

22-23

28-20

24-28

28-20

14-16

40-8

24-24

30-28

166.3Avg total

90.1Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	105.0	83.5	188.5	+21.5	100%
Season at home (2)	105.0	83.5	188.5	+21.5	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	90.1	76.2	166.3	+13.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	80.0	173.2	+13.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.0	84.5	161.5	-7.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	81.5	81.8	163.3	-0.4	55%
vs Weaker (16)	90.8	78.5	169.3	+12.3	75%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridBarcelona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	18.2	42.7	+6.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.5	42.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	25.7	18.3	44.0	+7.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (26)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.8	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.2	19.8	41.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	22.0	45.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	20.5	40.3	-0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.4	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.4	39.4	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (26)	20.2	19.7	39.8	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	17.1	41.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	15.8	41.6	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	25.5	43.0	-8.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	22.6	43.7	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.8	17.9	40.8	+4.9	69%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#13

48-38

+10

H21/01

ACB

Olympiacos

52-30

+22

H25/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

36-57

-21

A28/01

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

52-45

H30/01

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

45-35

+10

H01/02

Euroleague

Basquet Girona

#14

48-44

H04/02

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#12

29-48

-19

A08/02

Euroleague

Breogan

#16

39-42

-3

A11/02

ACB

Murcia

44-34

+10

H15/02

Spanish Cup

Valencia

48-39

H17/02

Spanish Cup

85.3Avg total

44.1Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	39.2	82.5	+4.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	36.6	82.1	+8.8	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	41.5	82.9	-0.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	41.2	85.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	45.0	37.0	82.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (26)	43.0	39.7	82.7	+3.3	73%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Granada

#17

42-32

+10

A21/01

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#12

28-47

-19

A26/01

Euroleague

Palencia

#18

52-43

H28/01

ACB

Virtus Bologna

41-27

+14

H31/01

Euroleague

Crvena zvezda

#16

45-32

+13

A02/02

Euroleague

Valencia

40-38

H04/02

ACB

Alba Berlin

#18

51-39

+12

H09/02

Euroleague

Manresa

47-38

A11/02

ACB

Manresa

50-43

H16/02

Spanish Cup

Tenerife

54-24

+30

H17/02

Spanish Cup

81.3Avg total

45.0Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	40.1	83.0	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	43.8	39.3	83.2	+4.5	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.6	41.2	82.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	36.3	81.3	+8.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	36.4	84.8	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	47.5	88.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.8	43.2	84.0	-2.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	44.2	36.9	81.1	+7.3	81%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	17.9	40.1	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	18.3	41.9	+5.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (26)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.7	20.7	43.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.4	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	23.1	44.1	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (26)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.0	19.1	43.1	+4.9	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	18.5	38.1	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.9	19.4	43.3	+4.4	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	38.9	81.8	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	41.4	86.1	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	36.7	78.1	+4.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	42.1	86.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	36.2	80.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (26)	43.3	38.4	81.7	+4.9	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	40.1	83.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	46.7	39.8	86.5	+6.9	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.8	40.7	79.4	-1.9	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	39.9	85.0	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	43.6	88.4	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	37.0	73.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.6	38.6	79.3	+2.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (16)	45.9	41.1	87.0	+4.9	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.4	56.2%	54.1%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.9	38.2%	35.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.2	19.0	85.6%	79.8%	19.0

They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 89.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	24.6	56.8%	54.1%	49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	8.6	40.4%	35.9%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.3	76.9%	79.8%	14.3

They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	20.5	49.2%	54.1%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	10.0	38.0%	35.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	11.1	74.0%	79.8%	11.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	20.5	50.5%	54.1%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	7.3	27.0%	35.9%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.3	76.9%	79.8%	12.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	19.9	56.8%	54.1%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.4	37.0%	35.9%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	20.1	16.8	83.4%	79.8%	16.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	22.9	56.3%	54.1%	45.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	9.0	40.2%	35.9%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.0	74.9%	79.8%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	21.0	49.3%	54.1%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.8	32.9%	35.9%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	14.9	11.1	74.5%	79.8%	11.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.8	51.4%	54.1%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.5	35.7%	35.9%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	15.3	11.5	75.0%	79.8%	11.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWWLWWWLWW

Barcelona

WWWWLWWWLW

League position

+7.3

Net rating

+18.6

118.7

Offensive rating

117.9

111.3

Defensive rating

99.3

56.7%

Effective FG%

58.0%

52.2%

Opp. effective FG%

46.5%

16.1%

Turnover %

18.5%

27.4%

Off. rebound %

35.2%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.29

38.2%

3-point %

40.4%

69.3%

Assist %

57.5%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Barcelona

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Barcelona wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	83-78
26/10/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	65-64
01/10/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	86-79
16/09/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	80-90
20/06/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	82-93
18/06/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	86-85
16/06/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	97-88
19/05/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	66-78
16/04/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	97-82
26/01/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	91-86 OT

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/24	H	Valencia	95-76
15/02/24	H	Murcia	84-79
11/02/24	A	Breogan	80-73
08/02/24	A	Olimpia Milano	76-81
04/02/24	H	Basquet Girona	92-79
01/02/24	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	86-79
30/01/24	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	106-101
28/01/24	A	Gran Canaria	77-100
25/01/24	H	Olympiacos	90-85
21/01/24	H	Bilbao	95-80

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/24	H	Tenerife	108-76
16/02/24	H	Manresa	102-91
11/02/24	A	Manresa	87-77
09/02/24	H	Alba Berlin	93-77
04/02/24	H	Valencia	76-79
02/02/24	A	Crvena zvezda	85-76
31/01/24	H	Virtus Bologna	84-57
28/01/24	H	Palencia	102-94
26/01/24	A	Olimpia Milano	70-74
21/01/24	A	Granada	94-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Spanish Cup 2024

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	89.5	89.5	-
Allowed / game	77.5	77.5	-
Point differential	+12.0	+12.0	-
Avg total	167.0	167.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Barcelona

Spanish Cup 2024

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	105.0	105.0	-
Allowed / game	83.5	83.5	-
Point differential	+21.5	+21.5	-
Avg total	188.5	188.5	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	100%	105.0	83.5	+21.5
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	100%	89.5	77.5	+12.0
3	Valencia	2	1	1	50%	82.5	88.0	-5.5
4	Tenerife	2	1	1	50%	83.5	95.5	-12.0
5	Murcia	1	0	1	0%	79.0	84.0	-5.0
6	Gran Canaria	1	0	1	0%	81.0	89.0	-8.0
7	Unicaja	1	0	1	0%	83.0	91.0	-8.0
8	Manresa	1	0	1	0%	91.0	102.0	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	19	24	23	30	96
Barcelona	19	26	18	22	85

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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