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Bayern vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-94
21-35 22-17 25-23 19-19
Position#18
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#13
Record1-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· BMW Park
European cup2026
Meetings · Bayern v Virtus Bologna
08 Oct 2026
BAY87
VIR94
30 Oct 2025
BAY86
VIR70
17 Jan 2025
BAY72
VIR82
30 Nov 2023
BAY90
VIR76
27 Jan 2023
BAY91
VIR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 80
H14/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
91-83
91
83
+8
80avg 80
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-71
61
71
-10
47avg 80
A19/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 80
H21/06
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
108-72
108
72
+36
106avg 80
H20/09
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 80
A24/09
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#11
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 80
H26/09
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
76-100
76
100
-24
70avg 80
A29/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 80
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#12
W
113-60
113
60
+53
119avg 80
H04/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
27-16
15-24
19-22
25-24
18-16
18-20
30-23
23-26
22-16
9-16
7-13
25-20
22-7
19-26
15-31
30-13
25-15
28-22
25-22
16-21
28-18
24-18
18-27
22-12
18-12
26-18
29-19
15-31
16-19
20-25
25-25
27-22
20-24
18-11
19-29
17-18
40-13
32-18
24-11
166.1Avg total
87.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.090.0172.0-8.033%
Season at home (1)84.086.0170.0-2.00%
Season away (2)81.092.0173.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)87.478.7166.1+8.750%
Last 5 (5)90.878.2169.0+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.090.0172.0-8.033%
vs Similar (3)82.786.3169.0-3.767%
vs Weaker (24)89.874.4164.2+15.383%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
106-95
106
95
+11
105avg 80
H26/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 80
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 80
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 80
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
78avg 80
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 80
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#6
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 80
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 80
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 80
H01/10
Euroleague
Maxima Roma
#5
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 80
H04/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
30-27
18-24
30-16
23-18
23-27
19-19
18-27
29-16
33-26
20-12
16-25
28-16
17-24
14-19
26-30
23-24
19-13
27-20
14-33
17-23
21-16
17-20
13-19
26-21
21-18
21-19
22-11
20-30
21-17
26-19
18-21
33-30
16-20
26-20
21-24
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
175.3Avg total
89.2Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.086.3169.3-3.333%
Season at home (1)96.094.0190.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)76.582.5159.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)89.286.1175.3+3.150%
Last 5 (5)87.483.4170.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.093.8177.8-9.825%
vs Similar (7)85.191.4176.6-6.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.683.5172.1+5.158%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
BayernVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H21/06
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H20/09
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/09
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#11
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H26/09
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A29/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/10
BBL
82.1Avg total
45.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.137.682.7+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.236.382.5+9.994%-
Last 30 away (13)43.739.483.1+4.362%-
Last 10 (10)45.436.782.1+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.081.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.745.085.7-4.367%-
vs Similar (3)42.039.781.7+2.333%-
vs Weaker (24)46.036.582.5+9.688%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H26/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/10
Euroleague
Maxima Roma
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/10
Lega A
90.1Avg total
46.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.788.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.444.292.6+4.153%-
Last 30 away (13)40.643.183.7-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)46.543.690.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.549.592.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (7)45.747.192.9-1.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.341.386.5+4.068%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.5
57.6%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.3
79.0%
77.1%17.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.4
59.2%
55.2%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.1
31.4%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.617.9
79.2%
77.1%17.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWWWLLWL
Virtus Bologna
WWLWLLLWLW
#18
League position
#13
+10.3
Net rating
+3.9
101.4
Offensive rating
101.9
91.0
Defensive rating
98.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
31.4%
59.3%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 101.9Defence91.0 · 98.0Shooting54.4% · 54.4%3-point %33.3% · 31.4%Ball care14.2% · 15.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HOldenburg113-60
02/10/26HPartizan84-86
29/09/26AFenerbahce76-100
26/09/26HAlba Berlin95-61
24/09/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-84
20/09/26HBamberg108-72
21/06/26HAlba Berlin81-84
19/06/26AAlba Berlin61-71
17/06/26AAlba Berlin91-83
14/06/26HAlba Berlin79-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HMaxima Roma98-89
01/10/26HOlympiacos96-94
29/09/26AOlimpia Milano85-87
27/09/26AVarese90-69
25/09/26AFenerbahce68-78
06/06/26AVenezia83-90
04/06/26AVenezia85-89
01/06/26HVenezia98-79
30/05/26HVenezia83-91
26/05/26HTrento106-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game82.084.081.0
Allowed / game90.086.092.0
Point differential-8.0-2.0-11.0
Avg total172.0170.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.096.076.5
Allowed / game86.394.082.5
Point differential-3.3+2.0-6.0
Avg total169.3190.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos330100%94.372.7+21.7
2 Fenerbahce330100%84.770.0+14.7
3 Valencia330100%104.091.3+12.7
4 Partizan330100%90.079.7+10.3
5 Olympiacos32167%97.792.0+5.7
6 Barcelona32167%90.386.0+4.3
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%89.088.0+1.0
8 Crvena zvezda42250%77.873.5+4.2
9 Dubai42250%74.079.2-5.2
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne42250%88.294.2-6.0
11 Besiktas31233%95.094.7+0.3
12 Zalgiris Kaunas31233%84.084.0+0.0
13 Anadolu Efes31233%82.783.3-0.7
14 Virtus Bologna31233%83.086.3-3.3
15 Bayern31233%82.090.0-8.0
16 Baskonia31233%87.797.7-10.0
17 Paris41325%82.289.8-7.5
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%82.890.5-7.8
19 Olimpia Milano41325%79.590.0-10.5
20 Real Madrid3030%86.391.3-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2122251987
Virtus Bologna3517231994
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