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Virtus Bologna vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-83
22-24 20-22 23-23 20-14
Position#8
Record12-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game80.4
Virtus Bologna 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#15
Record8-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Segafredo Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Bayern
11 Feb 2027
VIR v BAY
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VIR80
BAY85
29 Oct 2024
VIR84
BAY87
03 Jan 2024
VIR85
BAY83
13 Oct 2022
VIR66
BAY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 81
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 81
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
69-67
69
67
+2
61avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
68avg 81
A21/12
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
86avg 81
A23/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 81
A28/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
90avg 81
H30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
15-21
23-16
24-14
28-29
21-20
29-23
22-18
23-21
21-27
21-19
15-15
24-15
18-28
21-17
28-21
15-23
20-17
24-21
21-19
17-19
11-21
19-15
22-12
21-26
26-11
7-23
17-19
28-16
23-12
16-20
24-22
23-18
18-18
19-19
17-20
15-19
26-13
17-16
25-18
159.6Avg total
82.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.480.4162.8+2.171%
Season at home (9)85.178.7163.8+6.489%
Season away (8)79.482.2161.6-2.950%
Last 10 (10)82.677.0159.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)78.271.4149.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.278.3156.5-0.267%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.481.5165.9+2.967%
vs Weaker (12)88.876.7165.5+12.275%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
87avg 76
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
65avg 76
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 76
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 76
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 76
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 76
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 76
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 76
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
83-57
83
57
+26
84avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
22-14
11-13
21-24
8-24
21-17
15-13
25-23
22-19
25-24
25-15
14-20
23-19
14-23
20-21
16-25
25-17
18-28
23-18
29-17
20-17
30-24
21-18
15-12
14-17
17-29
29-21
20-24
28-13
18-19
28-22
22-20
16-16
22-23
22-23
25-22
24-7
17-19
17-11
25-20
162.8Avg total
84.4Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.681.5161.1-1.947%
Season at home (8)84.179.4163.5+4.875%
Season away (9)75.683.3158.9-7.822%
Last 10 (10)84.478.4162.8+6.070%
Last 5 (5)86.075.4161.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.785.9158.6-13.10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.979.6164.4+5.378%
vs Weaker (13)86.375.0161.3+11.377%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Virtus BolognaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/12
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A23/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/12
Lega A
80.9Avg total
41.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.482.5+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.238.882.0+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)42.940.283.1+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.880.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.676.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.043.382.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.141.585.6+2.658%-
vs Weaker (12)44.135.479.5+8.775%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/12
BBL
80.0Avg total
40.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.680.9+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.683.1+3.857%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.579.0+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.480.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.742.376.0-8.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.841.384.1+1.456%-
vs Weaker (13)43.437.280.6+6.269%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.5
55.0%
53.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.9
40.7%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.212.6
77.8%
77.4%12.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.0
52.6%
53.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.0
39.4%
36.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.712.6
80.3%
77.4%12.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWLWLWW
Bayern
WWWLWWLWLW
#8
League position
#15
+12.0
Net rating
+8.7
116.1
Offensive rating
114.9
104.1
Defensive rating
106.2
57.4%
Effective FG%
55.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.7%
3-point %
39.4%
68.1%
Assist %
57.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 114.9Defence104.1 · 106.2Shooting57.4% · 55.5%3-point %40.7% · 39.4%Ball care16.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
30/11/23Bayern v Virtus Bologna90-76
27/01/23Bayern v Virtus Bologna91-84
13/10/22Virtus Bologna v Bayern66-63
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HPesaro83-66
28/12/23APartizan77-75
23/12/23APistoia91-70
21/12/23AValencia71-79
19/12/23HOlympiacos69-67
16/12/23HVenezia84-85 OT
14/12/23ABaskonia91-81
10/12/23AOlimpia Milano80-82
08/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-90
06/12/23HBarcelona80-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HHeidelberg83-57
28/12/23HValencia85-84
26/12/23ATubingen96-74
22/12/23HMonaco80-91
20/12/23HAnadolu Efes86-71
17/12/23HUlm95-80
14/12/23AReal Madrid73-88
10/12/23ABonn86-78
08/12/23AOlympiacos69-77
05/12/23HOlimpia Milano91-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%89%50%
Points / game82.485.179.4
Allowed / game80.478.782.2
Point differential+2.1+6.4-2.9
Avg total162.8163.8161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%75%22%
Points / game79.684.175.6
Allowed / game81.579.483.3
Point differential-1.9+4.8-7.8
Avg total161.1163.5158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%87.574.5+12.9
2 Virtus Bologna1712571%82.480.4+2.1
3 Barcelona1711665%82.579.1+3.4
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv1811761%86.886.5+0.3
5 Panathinaikos1710759%82.179.5+2.6
6 Olympiacos1810856%77.573.9+3.6
7 Partizan1810856%85.483.8+1.7
8 Monaco1810856%81.480.0+1.4
9 Valencia1810856%75.775.2+0.4
10 Fenerbahce1810856%81.881.4+0.3
11 Baskonia179853%82.182.6-0.5
12 Bayern178947%79.681.5-1.9
13 Olimpia Milano1871139%78.877.3+1.5
14 Crvena zvezda1871139%81.180.3+0.7
15 Anadolu Efes1871139%81.687.4-5.8
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1861233%78.480.6-2.2
17 Alba Berlin1831517%75.785.7-10.1
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1821611%78.387.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2220232085
Bayern2422231483
← all games of the day
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