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Virtus Bologna vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-85
16-23 27-20 15-23 22-19
Position#17
Record13-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#14
Record15-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 36· Segafredo Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Bayern
11 Feb 2027
VIR v BAY
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VIR80
BAY85
29 Oct 2024
VIR84
BAY87
03 Jan 2024
VIR85
BAY83
13 Oct 2022
VIR66
BAY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
80avg 80
A05/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
85avg 80
A07/03
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
72avg 80
H11/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
104-94
104
94
+10
100avg 80
H15/03
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
91-109
91
109
-18
86avg 80
A19/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
62avg 80
A22/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
87-103
87
103
-16
87avg 80
A26/03
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
82-103
82
103
-21
82avg 80
H31/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
78avg 80
H03/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
81avg 80
H05/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-24
21-18
23-28
16-21
23-19
24-10
27-21
25-29
23-23
15-13
19-23
30-22
24-23
20-28
30-21
19-34
21-31
22-21
29-23
25-20
12-25
14-24
19-15
19-32
30-25
17-22
21-24
20-19
27-34
16-23
19-27
20-22
23-22
20-27
18-23
15-17
27-21
21-25
19-23
177.7Avg total
85.3Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)82.086.7168.6-4.737%
Season at home (17)84.884.9169.7-0.253%
Season away (18)79.388.3167.6-8.922%
Last 10 (10)85.392.4177.7-7.120%
Last 5 (5)80.494.0174.4-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.690.4174.0-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.690.4174.0-6.838%
vs Weaker (10)76.470.6147.0+5.870%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 78
A06/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 78
H10/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 78
H12/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
92avg 78
A15/03
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 78
H19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 78
A24/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
93-83
93
83
+10
89avg 78
H26/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 78
A29/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 78
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 78
A04/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
27-26
22-27
13-10
23-20
27-17
26-27
22-16
17-14
22-12
19-27
22-28
15-14
25-34
27-18
26-31
21-18
16-24
14-23
23-22
18-18
20-16
19-29
14-15
19-18
20-24
25-21
29-20
22-24
20-24
17-21
22-27
25-12
18-18
24-30
18-16
19-26
23-16
15-28
22-21
168.8Avg total
83.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)80.683.5164.1-2.843%
Season at home (19)82.180.2162.3+1.963%
Season away (16)78.987.3166.2-8.419%
Last 10 (10)83.984.9168.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)81.884.8166.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.881.9163.6-0.162%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.082.6167.6+2.450%
vs Weaker (14)88.778.0166.7+10.764%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
Virtus BolognaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A05/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/03
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H11/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H15/03
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A19/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A26/03
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H31/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H03/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/04
Lega A
92.4Avg total
43.9Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.145.188.2-2.041%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.044.490.4+1.653%-
Last 30 away (14)39.945.985.8-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)43.948.592.4-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.491.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.147.289.3-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.947.192.0-2.225%-
vs Weaker (9)42.840.483.2+2.367%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A06/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H10/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H26/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A29/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/04
BBL
81.2Avg total
42.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.181.5+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.537.477.9+3.259%-
Last 30 away (13)45.041.386.3+3.754%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.281.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.280.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.141.484.5+1.862%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.639.279.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker (14)43.137.680.8+5.557%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.317.9
68.1%
60.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.9%
35.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws10.28.1
79.4%
78.2%8.1
They take 51.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.1 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.914.9
65.1%
60.4%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.9
36.5%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws8.16.1
75.3%
78.2%6.1
They take 50.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLLLLLWLWL
Bayern
LWLWLLLLWW
#17
League position
#14
+0.7
Net rating
-2.0
64.3
Offensive rating
55.2
63.6
Defensive rating
57.2
58.2%
Effective FG%
59.5%
65.7%
Opp. effective FG%
64.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.16
31.9%
3-point %
36.5%
73.7%
Assist %
73.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence64.3 · 55.2Defence63.6 · 57.2Shooting58.2% · 59.5%3-point %31.9% · 36.5%Ball care19.2% · 18.6%Free throws0.20 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
4
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26HVenezia82-86
03/04/26HValencia81-94
31/03/26HParis82-103
26/03/26AOlimpia Milano87-103
22/03/26AReggiana70-84
19/03/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-109
15/03/26HOlimpia Milano104-94
11/03/26HPartizan82-88
07/03/26ABasket Napoli90-71
05/03/26AReal Madrid84-92
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26ASyntainics MBC79-91
01/04/26HFenerbahce85-76
29/03/26AHamburg81-96
26/03/26HLyon-Villeurbanne93-83
24/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas71-78
19/03/26HDubai74-87
15/03/26ABamberg93-97
12/03/26HAnadolu Efes80-81
10/03/26HBasketball Braunschweig98-80
06/03/26ACrvena zvezda85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeLWLLL53%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %37%53%22%
Points / game82.084.879.3
Allowed / game86.784.988.3
Point differential-4.7-0.2-8.9
Avg total168.6169.7167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%24%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLLWW63%
AwayWLLWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %43%63%19%
Points / game80.682.178.9
Allowed / game83.580.287.3
Point differential-2.8+1.9-8.4
Avg total164.1162.3166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos36241267%90.483.9+6.5
2 Fenerbahce36231364%82.380.9+1.5
3 Valencia35221363%90.186.1+4.0
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv35221363%88.184.6+3.5
5 Real Madrid36221461%87.983.5+4.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas36211558%87.883.1+4.7
7 Panathinaikos35201557%86.985.3+1.6
8 Barcelona35201557%84.683.8+0.8
9 Crvena zvezda36201656%87.285.6+1.6
10 Monaco35191654%90.387.3+3.0
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv34181653%90.491.7-1.3
12 Dubai36191753%88.887.9+0.9
13 Olimpia Milano35171849%86.186.7-0.5
14 Bayern35152043%80.683.5-2.8
15 Partizan35152043%81.887.1-5.3
16 Paris36142239%89.791.4-1.7
17 Virtus Bologna35132237%82.086.7-4.7
18 Baskonia35112431%88.493.6-5.2
19 Anadolu Efes35102529%80.584.8-4.3
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3582723%79.186.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1627152280
Bayern2320231985
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