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Virtus Bologna vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-87
25-19 8-21 27-28 24-19
Position#17
Record1-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game91.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6· Segafredo Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Bayern
11 Feb 2027
VIR v BAY
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VIR80
BAY85
29 Oct 2024
VIR84
BAY87
03 Jan 2024
VIR85
BAY83
13 Oct 2022
VIR66
BAY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
A22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trapani
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
88avg 78
A28/09
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-76
67
76
-9
61avg 78
H04/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 78
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
85-87
85
87
-2
82avg 78
A10/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 78
A12/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-71
68
71
-3
57avg 78
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
85-101
85
101
-16
79avg 78
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
70-69
70
69
+1
61avg 78
A23/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 78
A26/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
21-19
22-28
15-20
29-25
21-16
19-20
20-27
21-15
15-21
16-15
15-25
32-19
19-20
17-10
16-19
27-38
22-19
21-16
15-14
22-14
21-17
17-23
16-14
15-16
15-28
22-16
16-11
24-20
23-26
17-25
21-30
15-20
17-17
25-24
13-8
15-20
17-17
23-17
19-15
158.9Avg total
79.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.080.8155.8-5.820%
Season at home (2)67.573.5141.0-6.00%
Season away (3)80.085.7165.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)79.479.5158.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.675.6150.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.0156.0-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.081.3159.3-3.330%
vs Weaker (16)86.076.2162.2+9.881%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 79
H29/09
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 79
H03/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
99avg 79
A06/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 79
A10/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#17
W
91-85
91
85
+6
93avg 79
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 79
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
109-107
109
107
+2
107avg 79
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
72avg 79
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
47avg 79
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 79
H27/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-20
16-19
23-20
26-29
26-22
12-22
33-16
24-21
19-24
31-17
21-19
16-25
18-22
24-19
21-28
19-26
22-20
29-15
21-24
15-24
17-25
20-22
26-15
24-21
30-26
27-31
28-29
19-17
16-23
20-19
20-20
20-19
12-24
27-18
25-19
18-18
10-15
21-20
21-16
170.9Avg total
85.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.491.2180.6-1.860%
Season at home (3)96.792.0188.7+4.7100%
Season away (2)78.590.0168.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)85.985.0170.9+0.970%
Last 5 (5)83.284.2167.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.587.0168.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.876.1155.9+3.767%
vs Weaker (18)83.975.4159.4+8.578%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
Virtus BolognaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trapani
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A28/09
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A10/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A12/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/10
Lega A
82.1Avg total
41.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.182.4+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.136.780.8+7.469%-
Last 30 away (17)42.740.983.6+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.482.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.339.778.0-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.740.380.0-0.640%-
vs Weaker (16)45.938.684.5+7.469%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/09
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H03/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A10/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H27/10
BBL
83.5Avg total
39.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.879.5+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.137.980.9+5.280%-
Last 30 away (15)38.439.778.1-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.283.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.478.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.639.480.0+1.156%-
vs Weaker (18)41.737.479.1+4.378%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.1
53.1%
54.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.3
30.8%
36.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.9
81.0%
78.0%17.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.0
55.0%
54.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.3
35.4%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.718.0
82.9%
78.0%18.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWLLWLWLWL
Bayern
WWLWLWLWWW
#17
League position
#7
+0.3
Net rating
+1.2
107.5
Offensive rating
115.8
107.2
Defensive rating
114.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.8%
3-point %
35.4%
64.8%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 115.8Defence107.2 · 114.5Shooting50.3% · 54.1%3-point %30.8% · 35.4%Ball care18.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds31.2% · 35.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
03/01/24Virtus Bologna v Bayern85-83
30/11/23Bayern v Virtus Bologna90-76
27/01/23Bayern v Virtus Bologna91-84
13/10/22Virtus Bologna v Bayern66-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ACremona74-69
23/10/24APartizan70-69
18/10/24AMonaco85-101
15/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas68-71
12/10/24AVenezia76-68
10/10/24ALyon-Villeurbanne85-87
06/10/24HPistoia84-68
04/10/24HAnadolu Efes67-76
28/09/24ATrapani89-88
22/09/24AOlimpia Milano96-98 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HWurzburg70-69
25/10/24HOlympiacos84-80
19/10/24ASyntainics MBC75-79
17/10/24HParis109-107
15/10/24APartizan78-86
13/10/24ABonn91-85
10/10/24APanathinaikos79-94
06/10/24AGottingen95-81
03/10/24HReal Madrid97-89
29/09/24HHamburg81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game75.067.580.0
Allowed / game80.873.585.7
Point differential-5.8-6.0-5.7
Avg total155.8141.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game89.496.778.5
Allowed / game91.292.090.0
Point differential-1.8+4.7-11.5
Avg total180.6188.7168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona65183%87.780.5+7.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas54180%75.270.8+4.4
3 Baskonia64267%78.774.7+4.0
4 Fenerbahce64267%76.776.5+0.2
5 Panathinaikos53260%85.681.2+4.4
6 Monaco53260%86.083.4+2.6
7 Crvena zvezda53260%80.079.6+0.4
8 Bayern53260%89.491.2-1.8
9 Olympiacos63350%80.377.0+3.3
10 Real Madrid63350%84.782.7+2.0
11 Paris63350%86.885.2+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes63350%86.785.5+1.2
13 Partizan52340%82.881.6+1.2
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne52340%81.483.4-2.0
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%80.885.2-4.3
16 Virtus Bologna51420%75.080.8-5.8
17 Olimpia Milano61517%79.387.5-8.2
18 Alba Berlin61517%74.284.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna258272484
Bayern1921281987
← all games of the day
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